2801 GERONIMO TRL TX 78734
| Owner | CTRG VENTURES 3 LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0147550168 |
| Short ID | 149542 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 27,084 SF |
| Acres | 0.622 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 835 APACHE SHORES SEC 2 |
| Neighborhood | R4006 |
| Land | $188,873 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $188,873 |
| Improvement | $205,967 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $205,967 |
| Market | $394,840 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $394,840 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $394,840 |
| Taxable Value | $394,840 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +393.6% from $80,000 (2021) to $394,840 (2025), a CAGR of 49.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $6,412. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 64.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 48% of market value ($188,873 land vs $205,967 improvements), about $7/SF of land. Land and improvements both carry meaningful weight; value is balanced between the structure and its site.
Submarket Position: At $394,840, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +40.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $2,412,526 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $9,940. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
3 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 031 | GARAGE DET 1ST F | 3,750 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 3,750 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $4,105.15 | $4,105.15 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,483.99 | $1,483.99 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $466.00 | $466.00 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $356.93 | $356.93 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $6,412.07 | $6,412.07 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $4,105.15 | 64.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,483.99 | 23.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $466.00 | 7.3% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $356.93 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.6240% | $6,412.07 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $439,320 | $394,840 | +11.3% |
| Assessed Value | $439,320 | $394,840 | +11.3% |
| Land Value | $188,873 | $188,873 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $250,447 | $205,967 | +21.6% |
| Taxable Value | $439,320 | $394,840 | +11.3% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$7,134
Estimated
|
~$6,412
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $439,320 | $188,873 | $250,447 | — | $439,320 | $439,320 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $394,840 | $188,873 | $205,967 | — | $394,840 | $394,840 | ~$6,412 | Partial |
| 2024 | $399,440 | $150,000 | $249,440 | — | $399,440 | $399,440 | $6,413 | Verified |
| 2023 | $706,784 | $337,500 | $369,284 | — | $706,784 | $706,784 | $11,044 | Verified |
| 2022 | $533,756 | $210,000 | $323,756 | — | $533,756 | $533,756 | $9,158 | Verified |
| 2021 | $80,000 | $80,000 | — | — | $80,000 | $80,000 | $1,439 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +11.3% | +11.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -1.2% | -1.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -43.5% | -43.5% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +32.4% | +32.4% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +567.2% ! | +567.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +393.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +11.3% | +113.2% | +40.6% | +567.2% | 2022 | -43.5% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6200% | 1.6200% | — | 1.6200% | 2025 | 1.6200% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$6,412 | $6,893 | ~$8,758 | $11,044 | 2023 | $1,439 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 567% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$617,617 | ~$483,252 | ~1.5801% | ~$7,636 | +40.6% |
| 2028 | ~$868,275 | ~$531,577 | ~1.5363% | ~$8,167 | +97.6% |
| 2029 | ~$1,220,662 | ~$584,735 | ~1.4925% | ~$8,727 | +177.9% |
| 2030 | ~$1,716,065 | ~$643,208 | ~1.4487% | ~$9,318 | +290.6% |
| 2031 | ~$2,412,526 | ~$707,529 | ~1.4048% | ~$9,940 | +449.2% |
| 2027 | ~$608,831 | ~$483,252 | ~1.6240% | ~$7,848 | +38.6% |
| 2028 | ~$843,746 | ~$531,577 | ~1.6240% | ~$8,633 | +92.1% |
| 2029 | ~$1,169,304 | ~$584,735 | ~1.6240% | ~$9,496 | +166.2% |
| 2030 | ~$1,620,476 | ~$643,208 | ~1.6240% | ~$10,445 | +268.9% |
| 2031 | ~$2,245,733 | ~$707,529 | ~1.6240% | ~$11,490 | +411.2% |
| 2027 | ~$626,403 | ~$483,252 | ~1.5582% | ~$7,530 | +42.6% |
| 2028 | ~$893,156 | ~$531,577 | ~1.4925% | ~$7,934 | +103.3% |
| 2029 | ~$1,273,504 | ~$584,735 | ~1.4267% | ~$8,343 | +189.9% |
| 2030 | ~$1,815,822 | ~$643,208 | ~1.3610% | ~$8,754 | +313.3% |
| 2031 | ~$2,589,085 | ~$707,529 | ~1.2953% | ~$9,164 | +489.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $394,840 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 5× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $394,840 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $399,440 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $706,784 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $533,756 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $80,000 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |