806 BAY CIR TX 78669
| Owner | BAIRD ROBERT V & KAREN K |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0147880207 |
| Short ID | 151043 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 95 Marina |
| Valuation | Income |
| Improvement SF | 1 SF |
| Land SF | 46,541 SF |
| Acres | 1.068 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 1-3 BLK C SIESTA SHORES SEC 1 PLUS PT ADJ |
| Neighborhood | 95TRAV_S |
| Land | $2,467,017 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,467,017 |
| Improvement | $8,000 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $8,000 |
| Market | $2,475,017 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,475,017 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,289,085 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $185,932 |
| Taxable Value | $185,932 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1816.8% from $129,119 (2021) to $2,475,017 (2025), a CAGR of 109.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +17.8%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7041% in 2025 (+0.0281% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $3,168. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 61.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($185,932) is $2,289,085 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the income approach, so changes in rent roll or occupancy move the appraisal more directly than they would for a cost-approach property.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($2,467,017 land vs $8,000 improvements), about $53/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,475,017, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,382,921 (P25 $632,506 / P75 $3,258,143, n=13,595). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +80.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $47,442,353 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,314. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
2 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 579 | STORAGE DET FV | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $1,933.14 | $1,933.14 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $698.82 | $698.82 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $219.44 | $219.44 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $172.94 | $172.94 | Paid |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0880% | 0.0740% | 0.0730% | 0.0750% | 0.0775% | +0.0025% | $144.10 | $144.10 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8843% | 1.7820% | 1.6334% | 1.6760% | 1.7041% | +0.0281% | $3,168.44 | $3,168.44 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $1,933.14 | 61.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $698.82 | 22.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $219.44 | 6.9% |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0930% | $172.94 | 5.5% |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0775% | $144.10 | 4.5% |
| Total | 1.7041% | $3,168.44 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,475,017 | $2,475,017 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $223,118 | $185,932 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $2,467,017 | $2,467,017 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $8,000 | $8,000 | +0.0% |
| Taxable Value | $223,118 | $185,932 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,251,899 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$3,802
Estimated
|
~$3,168
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,475,017 | $2,467,017 | $8,000 | −$2,251,899 | $223,118 | $223,118 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,475,017 | $2,467,017 | $8,000 | −$2,289,085 | $185,932 | $185,932 | ~$3,168 | Partial |
| 2024 | $245,471 | $237,471 | $8,000 | −$90,528 | $154,943 | $154,943 | $2,597 | Verified |
| 2023 | $129,119 | $121,119 | $8,000 | — | $129,119 | $129,119 | $2,109 | Verified |
| 2022 | $129,119 | $121,119 | $8,000 | — | $129,119 | $129,119 | $2,301 | Verified |
| 2021 | $129,119 | $121,119 | $8,000 | — | $129,119 | $129,119 | $2,433 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 9.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +908.3% ! | +20.0% | 7.5% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +90.1% ! | +20.0% | 63.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1816.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +199.7% | +80.5% | +908.3% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 9.0% | 63.3% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 7.5% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.1300% | 0.1300% | — | 0.1300% | 2025 | 0.1300% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$3,168 | $2,522 | ~$4,676 | $3,168 | 2025 | $2,109 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 90% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$4,467,821 | ~$245,430 | ~1.6590% | ~$4,072 | +80.5% |
| 2028 | ~$8,065,168 | ~$269,973 | ~1.6140% | ~$4,357 | +225.9% |
| 2029 | ~$14,558,982 | ~$296,970 | ~1.5689% | ~$4,659 | +488.2% |
| 2030 | ~$26,281,407 | ~$326,667 | ~1.5239% | ~$4,978 | +961.9% |
| 2031 | ~$47,442,353 | ~$359,334 | ~1.4788% | ~$5,314 | +1816.8% |
| 2027 | ~$4,418,321 | ~$245,430 | ~1.7041% | ~$4,182 | +78.5% |
| 2028 | ~$7,887,445 | ~$269,973 | ~1.7041% | ~$4,601 | +218.7% |
| 2029 | ~$14,080,413 | ~$296,970 | ~1.7041% | ~$5,061 | +468.9% |
| 2030 | ~$25,135,902 | ~$326,667 | ~1.7041% | ~$5,567 | +915.6% |
| 2031 | ~$44,871,806 | ~$359,334 | ~1.7041% | ~$6,123 | +1713.0% |
| 2027 | ~$4,517,322 | ~$245,430 | ~1.6365% | ~$4,016 | +82.5% |
| 2028 | ~$8,244,871 | ~$269,973 | ~1.5689% | ~$4,236 | +233.1% |
| 2029 | ~$15,048,273 | ~$296,970 | ~1.5014% | ~$4,459 | +508.0% |
| 2030 | ~$27,465,625 | ~$326,667 | ~1.4338% | ~$4,684 | +1009.7% |
| 2031 | ~$50,129,378 | ~$359,334 | ~1.3662% | ~$4,909 | +1925.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,475,017 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Commercial properties in Travis County (13595 comparable) — +79% above the county median of $1,382,921. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,475,017 | $632,506 | $1,382,921 | $3,258,143 | ↑ Above median | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $245,471 | $647,500 | $1,401,787 | $3,362,090 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $129,119 | $651,680 | $1,383,015 | $3,277,245 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $129,119 | $535,964 | $1,190,250 | $2,842,216 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $129,119 | $538,645 | $1,173,514 | $2,782,974 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |