COVERT PASS 78669
| Owner | HH-CH-B BLUE LAKE LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0150950101 |
| Short ID | 987522 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 23,556 SF |
| Acres | 0.541 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | TRAVIS CLUB PHS 1 BLK F LOT 1 |
| Neighborhood | Q23000 |
| Land | $48,524 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $48,524 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $48,524 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $48,524 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$3,524 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $45,000 |
| Taxable Value | $45,000 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +29.4% from $37,500 (2024) to $48,524 (2025), a CAGR of 29.4% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +27.9%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7041% in 2025 (+0.0281% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $767. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 61.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($45,000) is $3,524 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($48,524 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $48,524, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +367.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,830,225,259 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $27,066,067. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $467.87 | $467.87 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $169.13 | $169.13 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $53.11 | $53.11 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $41.86 | $41.86 | Paid |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0880% | 0.0740% | 0.0730% | 0.0750% | 0.0775% | +0.0025% | $34.88 | $34.88 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8843% | 1.7820% | 1.6334% | 1.6760% | 1.7041% | +0.0281% | $766.85 | $766.85 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $467.87 | 61.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $169.13 | 22.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $53.11 | 6.9% |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0930% | $41.86 | 5.5% |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0775% | $34.88 | 4.5% |
| Total | 1.7041% | $766.85 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $819,587 | $48,524 | +1589.0% |
| Assessed Value | $819,587 | $45,000 | +1721.3% |
| Land Value | $1,024,484 | $48,524 | +2011.3% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $819,587 | $45,000 | +1721.3% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$13,966
Estimated
|
~$767
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $819,587 | $1,024,484 | — | — | $819,587 | $819,587 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $48,524 | $48,524 | — | −$3,524 | $45,000 | $45,000 | ~$767 | Partial |
| 2024 | $37,500 | $37,500 | — | — | $37,500 | $37,500 | $629 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +1589.0% ! | +1721.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +29.4% | +20.0% | 92.7% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +29.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +1589.0% | +809.2% | +367.5% | +1589.0% | 2026 | +29.4% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 97.6% | — | 100.0% | 2024 | 92.7% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.5800% | 1.5800% | — | 1.5800% | 2025 | 1.5800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$767 | $698 | ~$6,939,697 | $767 | 2025 | $629 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 1589% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,831,572 | ~$3,831,572 | ~1.6590% | ~$63,567 | +367.5% |
| 2028 | ~$17,912,609 | ~$17,912,609 | ~1.6140% | ~$289,107 | +2085.6% |
| 2029 | ~$83,741,503 | ~$83,741,503 | ~1.5689% | ~$1,313,851 | +10117.5% |
| 2030 | ~$391,491,780 | ~$391,491,780 | ~1.5239% | ~$5,965,892 | +47667.0% |
| 2031 | ~$1,830,225,259 | ~$1,830,225,259 | ~1.4788% | ~$27,066,067 | +223210.7% |
| 2027 | ~$3,815,180 | ~$3,815,180 | ~1.7041% | ~$65,014 | +365.5% |
| 2028 | ~$17,759,674 | ~$17,759,674 | ~1.7041% | ~$302,640 | +2066.9% |
| 2029 | ~$82,671,338 | ~$82,671,338 | ~1.7041% | ~$1,408,788 | +9987.0% |
| 2030 | ~$384,835,328 | ~$384,835,328 | ~1.7041% | ~$6,557,913 | +46854.8% |
| 2031 | ~$1,791,409,617 | ~$1,791,409,617 | ~1.7041% | ~$30,527,107 | +218474.7% |
| 2027 | ~$3,847,963 | ~$3,847,963 | ~1.6365% | ~$62,972 | +369.5% |
| 2028 | ~$18,066,200 | ~$18,066,200 | ~1.5689% | ~$283,447 | +2104.3% |
| 2029 | ~$84,820,864 | ~$84,820,864 | ~1.5014% | ~$1,273,469 | +10249.2% |
| 2030 | ~$398,234,213 | ~$398,234,213 | ~1.4338% | ~$5,709,838 | +48489.6% |
| 2031 | ~$1,869,710,839 | ~$1,869,710,839 | ~1.3662% | ~$25,544,279 | +228028.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $48,524 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — -43% below the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $48,524 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↓ Below median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $37,500 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |