OSPREY RIDGE LOOP TX 78645
| Owner | WOLT PROPERTY ASSOCIATION II I |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0152760145 |
| Short ID | 475035 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 604,874 SF |
| Acres | 13.886 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 23 BLK B WATERFORD ON LAKE TRAVIS SEC 2 |
| Neighborhood | S05AC |
| Land | $70,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $70,000 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $70,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $70,000 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $70,000 |
| Taxable Value | $70,000 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +110.0% from $33,326 (2021) to $70,000 (2025), a CAGR of 20.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7107% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,198. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 59.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($70,000 land vs $0 improvements), about $0/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $70,000, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -36.3% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $368 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $6. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $711.83 | $711.83 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $263.09 | $263.09 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $82.62 | $82.62 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $70.00 | $70.00 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $69.98 | $69.98 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8712% | 1.7799% | 1.6087% | 1.6603% | 1.7107% | +0.0504% | $1,197.52 | $1,197.52 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.0169% | $711.83 | 59.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $263.09 | 22.0% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $82.62 | 6.9% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $70.00 | 5.8% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $69.98 | 5.8% |
| Total | 1.7107% | $1,197.52 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,500 | $70,000 | -95.0% |
| Assessed Value | $3,500 | $70,000 | -95.0% |
| Land Value | $3,500 | $70,000 | -95.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $3,500 | $70,000 | -95.0% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$60
Estimated
|
~$1,198
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $3,500 | $3,500 | — | — | $3,500 | $3,500 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $70,000 | $70,000 | — | — | $70,000 | $70,000 | ~$1,198 | Partial |
| 2024 | $70,000 | $70,000 | — | — | $70,000 | $70,000 | $1,162 | Verified |
| 2023 | $70,000 | $70,000 | — | — | $70,000 | $70,000 | $1,126 | Verified |
| 2022 | $126,521 | $126,521 | — | — | $126,521 | $126,521 | $2,252 | Verified |
| 2021 | $33,326 | $33,326 | — | — | $33,326 | $33,326 | $624 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -95.0% ! | -95.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -44.7% | -44.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +279.6% ! | +279.6% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +110.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -95.0% | +28.0% | -36.3% | +279.6% | 2022 | -95.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.7100% | 1.7100% | — | 1.7100% | 2025 | 1.7100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$1,198 | $1,272 | ~$18 | $2,252 | 2022 | $624 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 280% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,230 | ~$2,230 | ~1.6706% | ~$37 | -36.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,421 | ~$1,421 | ~1.6305% | ~$23 | -59.4% |
| 2029 | ~$905 | ~$905 | ~1.5904% | ~$14 | -74.1% |
| 2030 | ~$577 | ~$577 | ~1.5503% | ~$9 | -83.5% |
| 2031 | ~$368 | ~$368 | ~1.5102% | ~$6 | -89.5% |
| 2027 | ~$3,325 | ~$3,325 | ~1.7107% | ~$57 | -5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$3,159 | ~$3,159 | ~1.7107% | ~$54 | -9.7% |
| 2029 | ~$3,001 | ~$3,001 | ~1.7107% | ~$51 | -14.3% |
| 2030 | ~$2,851 | ~$2,851 | ~1.7107% | ~$49 | -18.5% |
| 2031 | ~$2,708 | ~$2,708 | ~1.7107% | ~$46 | -22.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,300 | ~$2,300 | ~1.6506% | ~$38 | -34.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,512 | ~$1,512 | ~1.5904% | ~$24 | -56.8% |
| 2029 | ~$993 | ~$993 | ~1.5302% | ~$15 | -71.6% |
| 2030 | ~$653 | ~$653 | ~1.4701% | ~$10 | -81.3% |
| 2031 | ~$429 | ~$429 | ~1.4099% | ~$6 | -87.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $70,000 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — -17% below the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $70,000 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↓ Below median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $70,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $70,000 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $126,521 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Above median | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $33,326 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |