14618 MANSFIELD DAM CT 1 TX 78734
| Owner | SHAHZAD KHURRAM |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0154550202 |
| Short ID | 523036 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 22,634 SF |
| Acres | 0.520 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | UNT 1 VILLAS AT COMMANDERS POINT CONDOMINIUMS SEC I AMD THE PLUS 1.3157 % INT IN COM AREA |
| Neighborhood | R139C |
| Land | $316,873 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $316,873 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $316,873 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $316,873 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$218,979 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $97,894 |
| Taxable Value | $97,894 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +508.7% from $52,058 (2021) to $316,873 (2025), a CAGR of 57.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.6800% in 2025 (+0.0211% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,645. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 61.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($97,894) is $218,979 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($316,873 land vs $0 improvements), about $14/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $316,873, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +43.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,928,781 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $28,157. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $1,017.80 | $1,017.80 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $367.93 | $367.93 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $115.54 | $115.54 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $88.50 | $88.50 | Paid |
| W17 WCID # 17 | 0.0568% | 0.0543% | 0.0533% | 0.0533% | 0.0560% | +0.0027% | $54.82 | $54.82 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8561% | 1.7700% | 1.6158% | 1.6589% | 1.6800% | +0.0211% | $1,644.59 | $1,644.59 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $1,017.80 | 61.9% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $367.93 | 22.4% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $115.54 | 7.0% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $88.50 | 5.4% |
| W17 WCID # 17 | 0.0560% | $54.82 | 3.3% |
| Total | 1.6800% | $1,644.59 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $316,873 | $316,873 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $117,473 | $97,894 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $316,873 | $316,873 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $117,473 | $97,894 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$199,400 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,974
Estimated
|
~$1,645
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $316,873 | $316,873 | — | −$199,400 | $117,473 | $117,473 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $316,873 | $316,873 | — | −$218,979 | $97,894 | $97,894 | ~$1,645 | Partial |
| 2024 | $316,873 | $316,873 | — | −$235,295 | $81,578 | $81,578 | $1,353 | Verified |
| 2023 | $316,873 | $316,873 | — | — | $316,873 | $316,873 | $1,098 | Verified |
| 2022 | $52,058 | $52,058 | — | — | $52,058 | $52,058 | $921 | Verified |
| 2021 | $52,058 | $52,058 | — | — | $52,058 | $52,058 | $966 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 37.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 30.9% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | -74.3% | 25.7% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +508.7% ! | +508.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +508.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +101.7% | +43.5% | +508.7% | 2023 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 37.1% | 65.6% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 25.7% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.5200% | 0.5200% | — | 0.5200% | 2025 | 0.5200% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$1,645 | $1,197 | ~$16,139 | $1,645 | 2025 | $921 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 509% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$454,742 | ~$454,742 | ~1.6359% | ~$7,439 | +43.5% |
| 2028 | ~$652,596 | ~$652,596 | ~1.5919% | ~$10,389 | +105.9% |
| 2029 | ~$936,535 | ~$936,535 | ~1.5479% | ~$14,496 | +195.6% |
| 2030 | ~$1,344,013 | ~$1,344,013 | ~1.5039% | ~$20,212 | +324.1% |
| 2031 | ~$1,928,781 | ~$1,928,781 | ~1.4598% | ~$28,157 | +508.7% |
| 2027 | ~$448,404 | ~$448,404 | ~1.6800% | ~$7,533 | +41.5% |
| 2028 | ~$634,533 | ~$634,533 | ~1.6800% | ~$10,660 | +100.2% |
| 2029 | ~$897,922 | ~$897,922 | ~1.6800% | ~$15,085 | +183.4% |
| 2030 | ~$1,270,642 | ~$1,270,642 | ~1.6800% | ~$21,346 | +301.0% |
| 2031 | ~$1,798,074 | ~$1,798,074 | ~1.6800% | ~$30,207 | +467.4% |
| 2027 | ~$461,079 | ~$461,079 | ~1.6139% | ~$7,441 | +45.5% |
| 2028 | ~$670,912 | ~$670,912 | ~1.5479% | ~$10,385 | +111.7% |
| 2029 | ~$976,239 | ~$976,239 | ~1.4818% | ~$14,466 | +208.1% |
| 2030 | ~$1,420,517 | ~$1,420,517 | ~1.4158% | ~$20,112 | +348.3% |
| 2031 | ~$2,066,981 | ~$2,066,981 | ~1.3498% | ~$27,899 | +552.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $316,873 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $316,873 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $316,873 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $316,873 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $52,058 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↓ Below median | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $52,058 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |