20041 CONTINENTAL DR TX 78645
| Owner | LITTLE ERIK H & ANNA M NELSON |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0162831805 |
| Short ID | 162107 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 13,649 SF |
| Acres | 0.313 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 7044 HIGHLAND LAKE ESTATES SEC 7 |
| Neighborhood | S04WF |
| Land | $149,688 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $149,688 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $149,688 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $149,688 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $149,688 |
| Taxable Value | $149,688 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +180.0% from $53,460 (2021) to $149,688 (2025), a CAGR of 29.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.1307% in 2025 (+0.0473% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $3,189. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 47.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($149,688 land vs $0 improvements), about $11/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $149,688, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +7.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $104,782 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $1,778. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $1,522.18 | $1,522.18 | Paid |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.6070% | 0.4283% | 0.4139% | 0.4231% | 0.4200% | -0.0031% | $628.69 | $628.69 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $562.59 | $562.59 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $176.67 | $176.67 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $149.69 | $149.69 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $149.64 | $149.64 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4782% | 2.2082% | 2.0226% | 2.0834% | 2.1307% | +0.0473% | $3,189.46 | $3,189.46 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.0169% | $1,522.18 | 47.7% |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.4200% | $628.69 | 19.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $562.59 | 17.6% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $176.67 | 5.5% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $149.69 | 4.7% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $149.64 | 4.7% |
| Total | 2.1307% | $3,189.46 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $74,844 | $149,688 | -50.0% |
| Assessed Value | $74,844 | $149,688 | -50.0% |
| Land Value | $74,844 | $149,688 | -50.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $74,844 | $149,688 | -50.0% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,595
Estimated
|
~$3,189
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $74,844 | $74,844 | — | — | $74,844 | $74,844 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $149,688 | $149,688 | — | — | $149,688 | $149,688 | ~$3,189 | Partial |
| 2024 | $149,688 | $149,688 | — | — | $149,688 | $149,688 | $3,119 | Verified |
| 2023 | $149,688 | $149,688 | — | — | $149,688 | $149,688 | $3,028 | Verified |
| 2022 | $171,072 | $171,072 | — | — | $171,072 | $171,072 | $3,778 | Verified |
| 2021 | $53,460 | $53,460 | — | — | $53,460 | $53,460 | $1,325 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -50.0% | -50.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -12.5% | -12.5% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +220.0% ! | +220.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +180.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -50.0% | +31.5% | +7.0% | +220.0% | 2022 | -50.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.1300% | 2.1300% | — | 2.1300% | 2025 | 2.1300% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$3,189 | $2,888 | ~$1,710 | $3,778 | 2022 | $1,325 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 220% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$80,054 | ~$80,054 | ~2.0439% | ~$1,636 | +7.0% |
| 2028 | ~$85,627 | ~$85,627 | ~1.9570% | ~$1,676 | +14.4% |
| 2029 | ~$91,587 | ~$91,587 | ~1.8702% | ~$1,713 | +22.4% |
| 2030 | ~$97,962 | ~$97,962 | ~1.7833% | ~$1,747 | +30.9% |
| 2031 | ~$104,782 | ~$104,782 | ~1.6964% | ~$1,778 | +40.0% |
| 2027 | ~$78,557 | ~$78,557 | ~2.1307% | ~$1,674 | +5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$82,454 | ~$82,454 | ~2.1307% | ~$1,757 | +10.2% |
| 2029 | ~$86,545 | ~$86,545 | ~2.1307% | ~$1,844 | +15.6% |
| 2030 | ~$90,838 | ~$90,838 | ~2.1307% | ~$1,936 | +21.4% |
| 2031 | ~$95,345 | ~$95,345 | ~2.1307% | ~$2,032 | +27.4% |
| 2027 | ~$81,551 | ~$81,551 | ~2.0004% | ~$1,631 | +9.0% |
| 2028 | ~$88,859 | ~$88,859 | ~1.8702% | ~$1,662 | +18.7% |
| 2029 | ~$96,821 | ~$96,821 | ~1.7399% | ~$1,685 | +29.4% |
| 2030 | ~$105,497 | ~$105,497 | ~1.6096% | ~$1,698 | +41.0% |
| 2031 | ~$114,951 | ~$114,951 | ~1.4793% | ~$1,700 | +53.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $149,688 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — +77% above the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $149,688 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $149,688 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $149,688 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $171,072 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Above median | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $53,460 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |