14733 ARROWHEAD DR TX 78641
| Owner | SANDERS WADE |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0164480212 |
| Short ID | 165209 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | — |
| Acres | — |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 60 BLK 1 ARROWHEAD POINT SUBD NO 1 ABS 709 SUR 700 STEWART J N ACR .618 |
| Neighborhood | T9010WF |
| Land | $800,507 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $800,507 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $800,507 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $800,507 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$70,931 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $729,576 |
| Taxable Value | $729,576 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +163.3% from $303,990 (2021) to $800,507 (2025), a CAGR of 27.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7842% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $13,017. Leander ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($729,576) is $70,931 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($800,507 land vs $0 improvements). With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $800,507, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +18.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,707,480 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $25,623. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.3370% | 1.2746% | 1.1087% | 1.0869% | 1.0869% | +0.0000% | $7,929.76 | $7,929.76 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,742.07 | $2,742.07 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $861.07 | $861.07 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $754.38 | $754.38 | Paid |
| E14 Travis County ESD # 14 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $729.58 | $729.58 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0110% | 1.8902% | 1.7126% | 1.7406% | 1.7842% | +0.0436% | $13,016.86 | $13,016.86 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.0869% | $7,929.76 | 60.9% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $2,742.07 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $861.07 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $754.38 | 5.8% |
| E14 Travis County ESD # 14 | 0.1000% | $729.58 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7842% | $13,016.86 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $720,456 | $800,507 | -10.0% |
| Assessed Value | $720,456 | $729,576 | -1.3% |
| Land Value | $720,456 | $800,507 | -10.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $720,456 | $729,576 | -1.3% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$12,854
Estimated
|
~$13,017
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $720,456 | $720,456 | — | — | $720,456 | $720,456 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $800,507 | $800,507 | — | −$70,931 | $729,576 | $729,576 | ~$13,017 | Partial |
| 2024 | $800,507 | $800,507 | — | −$192,527 | $607,980 | $607,980 | $10,583 | Verified |
| 2023 | $506,650 | $506,650 | — | — | $506,650 | $506,650 | $8,677 | Verified |
| 2022 | $303,990 | $303,990 | — | — | $303,990 | $303,990 | $5,746 | Verified |
| 2021 | $303,990 | $303,990 | — | — | $303,990 | $303,990 | $6,113 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -10.0% | -1.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 91.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +58.0% | +20.0% | 76.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +66.7% | +66.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +163.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -10.0% | +22.9% | +18.8% | +66.7% | 2023 | -10.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 94.5% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 75.9% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6300% | 1.6300% | — | 1.6300% | 2025 | 1.6300% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$13,017 | $8,827 | ~$19,861 | $13,017 | 2025 | $5,746 | 2022 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$856,164 | ~$856,164 | ~1.7275% | ~$14,790 | +18.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,017,435 | ~$1,017,435 | ~1.6708% | ~$16,999 | +41.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,209,084 | ~$1,209,084 | ~1.6141% | ~$19,515 | +67.8% |
| 2030 | ~$1,436,832 | ~$1,436,832 | ~1.5574% | ~$22,377 | +99.4% |
| 2031 | ~$1,707,480 | ~$1,707,480 | ~1.5007% | ~$25,623 | +137.0% |
| 2027 | ~$841,755 | ~$841,755 | ~1.7842% | ~$15,018 | +16.8% |
| 2028 | ~$983,477 | ~$983,477 | ~1.7842% | ~$17,547 | +36.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,149,059 | ~$1,149,059 | ~1.7842% | ~$20,501 | +59.5% |
| 2030 | ~$1,342,520 | ~$1,342,520 | ~1.7842% | ~$23,953 | +86.3% |
| 2031 | ~$1,568,552 | ~$1,568,552 | ~1.7842% | ~$27,986 | +117.7% |
| 2027 | ~$870,573 | ~$870,573 | ~1.6991% | ~$14,792 | +20.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,051,970 | ~$1,051,970 | ~1.6141% | ~$16,979 | +46.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,271,163 | ~$1,271,163 | ~1.5290% | ~$19,436 | +76.4% |
| 2030 | ~$1,536,028 | ~$1,536,028 | ~1.4440% | ~$22,179 | +113.2% |
| 2031 | ~$1,856,082 | ~$1,856,082 | ~1.3589% | ~$25,222 | +157.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $800,507 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 9× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $800,507 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $800,507 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $506,650 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $303,990 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $303,990 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |