14725 ARROWHEAD DR TX 78641
| Owner | BERNICE B MARJORIE & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0164480216 |
| Short ID | 165213 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 39,596 SF |
| Acres | 0.909 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 11 BLK H ARROWHEAD POINT SUBD NO 2 & ABS 242 SUR 75 D & W R R CO ACR 0.695 |
| Neighborhood | T9010WF |
| Land | $989,100 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $989,100 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $989,100 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $989,100 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$267,228 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $721,872 |
| Taxable Value | $721,872 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +265.4% from $270,702 (2021) to $989,100 (2025), a CAGR of 38.3% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7842% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $12,879. Leander ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($721,872) is $267,228 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($989,100 land vs $0 improvements), about $25/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $989,100, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +26.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $2,927,345 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $43,929. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.3370% | 1.2746% | 1.1087% | 1.0869% | 1.0869% | +0.0000% | $7,846.03 | $7,846.03 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,713.12 | $2,713.12 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $851.97 | $851.97 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $746.42 | $746.42 | Paid |
| E14 Travis County ESD # 14 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $721.87 | $721.87 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0110% | 1.8902% | 1.7126% | 1.7406% | 1.7842% | +0.0436% | $12,879.41 | $12,879.41 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.0869% | $7,846.03 | 60.9% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $2,713.12 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $851.97 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $746.42 | 5.8% |
| E14 Travis County ESD # 14 | 0.1000% | $721.87 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7842% | $12,879.41 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $890,190 | $989,100 | -10.0% |
| Assessed Value | $866,246 | $721,872 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $890,190 | $989,100 | -10.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $866,246 | $721,872 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$23,944 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$15,455
Estimated
|
~$12,879
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $890,190 | $890,190 | — | −$23,944 | $866,246 | $866,246 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $989,100 | $989,100 | — | −$267,228 | $721,872 | $721,872 | ~$12,879 | Partial |
| 2024 | $989,100 | $989,100 | — | −$387,540 | $601,560 | $601,560 | $10,471 | Verified |
| 2023 | $501,300 | $501,300 | — | — | $501,300 | $501,300 | $8,586 | Verified |
| 2022 | $270,702 | $270,702 | — | — | $270,702 | $270,702 | $5,117 | Verified |
| 2021 | $270,702 | $270,702 | — | — | $270,702 | $270,702 | $5,444 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -10.0% | +20.0% | 97.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 73.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +97.3% ! | +20.0% | 60.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +85.2% ! | +85.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +265.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -10.0% | +34.5% | +26.9% | +97.3% | 2024 | -10.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 97.3% | 88.5% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 60.8% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.3000% | 1.3000% | — | 1.3000% | 2025 | 1.3000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$12,879 | $8,499 | ~$30,533 | $12,879 | 2025 | $5,117 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 85% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,129,486 | ~$1,129,486 | ~1.7275% | ~$19,511 | +26.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,433,109 | ~$1,433,109 | ~1.6708% | ~$23,944 | +61.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,818,350 | ~$1,818,350 | ~1.6141% | ~$29,349 | +104.3% |
| 2030 | ~$2,307,149 | ~$2,307,149 | ~1.5574% | ~$35,931 | +159.2% |
| 2031 | ~$2,927,345 | ~$2,927,345 | ~1.5007% | ~$43,929 | +228.8% |
| 2027 | ~$1,111,682 | ~$1,111,682 | ~1.7842% | ~$19,834 | +24.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,388,286 | ~$1,388,286 | ~1.7842% | ~$24,769 | +56.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,733,712 | ~$1,733,712 | ~1.7842% | ~$30,932 | +94.8% |
| 2030 | ~$2,165,085 | ~$2,165,085 | ~1.7842% | ~$38,629 | +143.2% |
| 2031 | ~$2,703,790 | ~$2,703,790 | ~1.7842% | ~$48,240 | +203.7% |
| 2027 | ~$1,147,290 | ~$1,147,290 | ~1.6991% | ~$19,494 | +28.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,478,644 | ~$1,478,644 | ~1.6141% | ~$23,866 | +66.1% |
| 2029 | ~$1,905,699 | ~$1,905,699 | ~1.5290% | ~$29,138 | +114.1% |
| 2030 | ~$2,456,093 | ~$2,456,093 | ~1.4440% | ~$35,465 | +175.9% |
| 2031 | ~$3,165,449 | ~$3,165,449 | ~1.3589% | ~$43,015 | +255.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $989,100 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 12× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $989,100 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $989,100 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $501,300 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $270,702 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $270,702 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |