22720 MARY NELL LN TX 78669
| Owner | MCKEE RICHARD A & CHERYL A WIGGINS |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0164970313 |
| Short ID | 797887 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 100,027 SF |
| Acres | 2.296 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 3 BLK A COVES AT SKY RANCH THE (1-D-1B) |
| Neighborhood | Q06WF |
| Land | $768,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $768,000 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $500,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $500,000 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$496,065 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $3,935 |
| Taxable Value | $3,935 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +150.0% from $200,000 (2021) to $500,000 (2025), a CAGR of 25.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7041% in 2025 (+0.0281% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $67. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 61.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($3,935) is $496,065 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 154% of market value ($768,000 land vs $0 improvements), about $8/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $500,000, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +3.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $898,134 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $13,282. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $40.91 | $40.91 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $14.79 | $14.79 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $4.64 | $4.64 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $3.66 | $3.66 | Paid |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0880% | 0.0740% | 0.0730% | 0.0750% | 0.0775% | +0.0025% | $3.05 | $3.05 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8843% | 1.7820% | 1.6334% | 1.6760% | 1.7041% | +0.0281% | $67.05 | $67.05 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $40.91 | 61.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $14.79 | 22.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $4.64 | 6.9% |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0930% | $3.66 | 5.5% |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0775% | $3.05 | 4.5% |
| Total | 1.7041% | $67.05 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $768,000 | $500,000 | +53.6% |
| Assessed Value | $5,807 | $3,935 | +47.6% |
| Land Value | $768,000 | $768,000 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $5,807 | $3,935 | +47.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$762,193 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$99
Estimated
|
~$67
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $768,000 | $768,000 | — | −$762,193 | $5,807 | $5,807 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $500,000 | $768,000 | — | −$496,065 | $3,935 | $3,935 | ~$67 | Partial |
| 2024 | $768,000 | $768,000 | — | −$766,057 | $1,943 | $1,943 | $33 | Verified |
| 2023 | $618,138 | $768,000 | — | −$617,920 | $218 | $218 | $4 | Verified |
| 2022 | $677,606 | $768,000 | — | −$677,398 | $208 | $208 | $4 | Verified |
| 2021 | $200,000 | — | — | −$199,803 | $197 | $197 | $4 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +53.6% | +47.6% | 0.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -34.9% | +102.5% | 0.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +24.2% | +791.3% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -8.8% | +4.8% | 0.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +238.8% ! | +5.6% | 0.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +150.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +53.6% | +54.6% | +3.2% | +238.8% | 2022 | -34.9% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.8% | 0.3% | — | 0.8% | 2025 | 0.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$67 | $22 | ~$13,225 | $67 | 2025 | $4 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 239% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$792,423 | ~$792,423 | ~1.6590% | ~$13,147 | +3.2% |
| 2028 | ~$817,623 | ~$817,623 | ~1.6140% | ~$13,196 | +6.5% |
| 2029 | ~$843,625 | ~$843,625 | ~1.5689% | ~$13,236 | +9.8% |
| 2030 | ~$870,453 | ~$870,453 | ~1.5239% | ~$13,265 | +13.3% |
| 2031 | ~$898,134 | ~$898,134 | ~1.4788% | ~$13,282 | +16.9% |
| 2027 | ~$777,063 | ~$777,063 | ~1.7041% | ~$13,242 | +1.2% |
| 2028 | ~$786,233 | ~$786,233 | ~1.7041% | ~$13,398 | +2.4% |
| 2029 | ~$795,512 | ~$795,512 | ~1.7041% | ~$13,556 | +3.6% |
| 2030 | ~$804,900 | ~$804,900 | ~1.7041% | ~$13,716 | +4.8% |
| 2031 | ~$814,399 | ~$814,399 | ~1.7041% | ~$13,878 | +6.0% |
| 2027 | ~$807,783 | ~$807,783 | ~1.6365% | ~$13,219 | +5.2% |
| 2028 | ~$849,627 | ~$849,627 | ~1.5689% | ~$13,330 | +10.6% |
| 2029 | ~$893,639 | ~$893,639 | ~1.5014% | ~$13,417 | +16.4% |
| 2030 | ~$939,930 | ~$939,930 | ~1.4338% | ~$13,477 | +22.4% |
| 2031 | ~$988,620 | ~$988,620 | ~1.3662% | ~$13,507 | +28.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $500,000 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — -11% below the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $500,000 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $768,000 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $618,138 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $677,606 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $200,000 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |