16200 E LAKE SHORE DR F TX 78734
| Owner | LAKE TRAVIS LODGES MARINA ASSO |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0166580135 |
| Short ID | 736272 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 170,537 SF |
| Acres | 3.915 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 12-16 HUDSON BEND COLONY NO 1 PLUS PT OF VAC ROW |
| Neighborhood | 95TRAV_S |
| Land | $2,037,766 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,037,766 |
| Improvement | $11,933 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $11,933 |
| Market | $2,049,699 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,049,699 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $2,049,699 |
| Taxable Value | $2,049,699 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +374.5% from $432,008 (2021) to $2,049,699 (2025), a CAGR of 47.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $33,286. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 64.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 99% of market value ($2,037,766 land vs $11,933 improvements), about $12/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,049,699, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +36.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $9,724,973 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $136,619. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
3 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | PAVED AREA | 22,750 SF | ✗ |
| 326 | GUARD HOUSE SF | 18 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 18 SF | ✗ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $7,277.90 | $7,277.90 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,630.92 | $2,630.92 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $826.16 | $826.16 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $632.79 | $632.79 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $11,367.77 | $11,367.77 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $7,277.90 | 64.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $2,630.92 | 23.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $826.16 | 7.3% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $632.79 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.6240% | $11,367.77 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,049,699 | $2,049,699 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $840,000 | $2,049,699 | -59.0% |
| Land Value | $2,037,766 | $2,037,766 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $11,933 | $11,933 | +0.0% |
| Taxable Value | $840,000 | $2,049,699 | -59.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,209,699 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$13,641
Estimated
|
~$11,368
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,049,699 | $2,037,766 | $11,933 | −$1,209,699 | $840,000 | $840,000 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,049,699 | $2,037,766 | $11,933 | — | $2,049,699 | $2,049,699 | ~$11,368 | Partial |
| 2024 | $432,008 | $425,373 | $6,635 | — | $432,008 | $432,008 | $6,936 | Verified |
| 2023 | $432,008 | $425,373 | $6,635 | — | $432,008 | $432,008 | $6,750 | Verified |
| 2022 | $432,008 | $425,373 | $6,635 | — | $432,008 | $432,008 | $7,412 | Verified |
| 2021 | $432,008 | $425,373 | $6,635 | — | $432,008 | $432,008 | $7,773 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | -59.0% | 41.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +374.5% ! | +374.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +374.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +74.9% | +36.5% | +374.5% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 41.0% | 90.2% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 41.0% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.5500% | 0.5500% | — | 0.5500% | 2025 | 0.5500% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$11,368 | $8,048 | ~$84,117 | $11,368 | 2025 | $6,750 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 374% in 2025, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,798,529 | ~$2,798,529 | ~1.5801% | ~$44,221 | +36.5% |
| 2028 | ~$3,820,933 | ~$3,820,933 | ~1.5363% | ~$58,701 | +86.4% |
| 2029 | ~$5,216,859 | ~$5,216,859 | ~1.4925% | ~$77,861 | +154.5% |
| 2030 | ~$7,122,767 | ~$7,122,767 | ~1.4487% | ~$103,184 | +247.5% |
| 2031 | ~$9,724,973 | ~$9,724,973 | ~1.4048% | ~$136,619 | +374.5% |
| 2027 | ~$2,757,535 | ~$2,757,535 | ~1.6240% | ~$44,781 | +34.5% |
| 2028 | ~$3,709,812 | ~$3,709,812 | ~1.6240% | ~$60,246 | +81.0% |
| 2029 | ~$4,990,945 | ~$4,990,945 | ~1.6240% | ~$81,051 | +143.5% |
| 2030 | ~$6,714,499 | ~$6,714,499 | ~1.6240% | ~$109,041 | +227.6% |
| 2031 | ~$9,033,260 | ~$9,033,260 | ~1.6240% | ~$146,697 | +340.7% |
| 2027 | ~$2,839,523 | ~$2,839,523 | ~1.5582% | ~$44,246 | +38.5% |
| 2028 | ~$3,933,694 | ~$3,933,694 | ~1.4925% | ~$58,710 | +91.9% |
| 2029 | ~$5,449,489 | ~$5,449,489 | ~1.4267% | ~$77,750 | +165.9% |
| 2030 | ~$7,549,376 | ~$7,549,376 | ~1.3610% | ~$102,747 | +268.3% |
| 2031 | ~$10,458,425 | ~$10,458,425 | ~1.2953% | ~$135,463 | +410.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,049,699 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 24× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,049,699 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $432,008 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $432,008 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $432,008 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $432,008 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |