6351 MARSHALLS POINT CV TX 78645
| Owner | MARSHALL HINES M JR |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0170680115 |
| Short ID | 523487 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 553,212 SF |
| Acres | 12.700 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 16 BLK A MARSHALL'S POINT AMENDED PLAT OF LOTS 16&19 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | S14WF |
| Land | $1,388,400 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,388,400 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,388,400 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,388,400 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,386,927 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,473 |
| Taxable Value | $1,473 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +85.7% from $747,600 (2021) to $1,388,400 (2025), a CAGR of 16.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7107% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $25. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 59.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($1,473) is $1,386,927 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,388,400 land vs $0 improvements), about $3/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,388,400, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +0.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,388,400 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $20,967. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $14.98 | $14.98 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $5.54 | $5.54 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1.74 | $1.74 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1.47 | $1.47 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $1.47 | $1.47 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8712% | 1.7799% | 1.6087% | 1.6603% | 1.7107% | +0.0504% | $25.20 | $25.20 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.0169% | $14.98 | 59.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $5.54 | 22.0% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1.74 | 6.9% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $1.47 | 5.8% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $1.47 | 5.8% |
| Total | 1.7107% | $25.20 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,388,400 | $1,388,400 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $1,362 | $1,473 | -7.5% |
| Land Value | $1,388,400 | $1,388,400 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,362 | $1,473 | -7.5% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,387,038 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$23
Estimated
|
~$25
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,388,400 | $1,388,400 | — | −$1,387,038 | $1,362 | $1,362 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,388,400 | $1,388,400 | — | −$1,386,927 | $1,473 | $1,473 | ~$25 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,388,400 | $1,388,400 | — | −$1,386,999 | $1,401 | $1,401 | $23 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,388,400 | $1,388,400 | — | −$1,387,011 | $1,389 | $1,389 | $22 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,388,400 | $1,388,400 | — | −$1,387,113 | $1,287 | $1,287 | $23 | Verified |
| 2021 | $747,600 | — | — | −$746,418 | $1,182 | $1,182 | $22 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | -7.5% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +5.1% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.9% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +7.9% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +85.7% ! | +8.9% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +85.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +17.1% | +0.0% | +85.7% | 2022 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | 0.2% | 2021 | 0.1% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$25 | $23 | ~$22,081 | $25 | 2025 | $22 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 86% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,388,400 | ~$1,388,400 | ~1.6706% | ~$23,195 | +0.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,388,400 | ~$1,388,400 | ~1.6305% | ~$22,638 | +0.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,388,400 | ~$1,388,400 | ~1.5904% | ~$22,081 | +0.0% |
| 2030 | ~$1,388,400 | ~$1,388,400 | ~1.5503% | ~$21,524 | +0.0% |
| 2031 | ~$1,388,400 | ~$1,388,400 | ~1.5102% | ~$20,967 | +0.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,360,632 | ~$1,360,632 | ~1.7107% | ~$23,277 | -2.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,333,419 | ~$1,333,419 | ~1.7107% | ~$22,811 | -4.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,306,751 | ~$1,306,751 | ~1.7107% | ~$22,355 | -5.9% |
| 2030 | ~$1,280,616 | ~$1,280,616 | ~1.7107% | ~$21,908 | -7.8% |
| 2031 | ~$1,255,004 | ~$1,255,004 | ~1.7107% | ~$21,470 | -9.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,416,168 | ~$1,416,168 | ~1.6506% | ~$23,375 | +2.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,444,491 | ~$1,444,491 | ~1.5904% | ~$22,973 | +4.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,473,381 | ~$1,473,381 | ~1.5302% | ~$22,546 | +6.1% |
| 2030 | ~$1,502,849 | ~$1,502,849 | ~1.4701% | ~$22,093 | +8.2% |
| 2031 | ~$1,532,906 | ~$1,532,906 | ~1.4099% | ~$21,612 | +10.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,388,400 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +147% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,388,400 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,388,400 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,388,400 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,388,400 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $747,600 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |