F M RD 969 TX 78653
| Owner | TRAVIS COUNTY |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0202600203 |
| Short ID | 190521 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 7,883,488 SF |
| Acres | 180.980 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 12 SUR 13 GILLELAND J ACR 180.9800 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN405 |
| Land | $7,797,016 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $7,797,016 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $7,797,016 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $7,797,016 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $7,797,016 |
| Taxable Value | $7,797,016 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +639.9% from $1,053,830 (2021) to $7,797,016 (2025), a CAGR of 64.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($7,797,016 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $7,797,016, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +45.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $42,702,050 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $0. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $6,515,280 | $7,797,016 | -16.4% |
| Assessed Value | $6,515,280 | $7,797,016 | -16.4% |
| Land Value | $6,515,280 | $7,797,016 | -16.4% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Exemptions | — | E | |
| Total Tax | Pending certification | — | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $6,515,280 | $6,515,280 | — | — | $6,515,280 | $— | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $7,797,016 | $7,797,016 | — | — | $7,797,016 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2024 | $4,331,676 | $4,331,676 | — | −$2,594,268 | $1,737,408 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2023 | $1,447,840 | $1,447,840 | — | — | $1,447,840 | $1,447,840 | $1,422 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,447,840 | $1,447,840 | — | — | $1,447,840 | $1,447,840 | $1,448 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,053,830 | — | — | −$1,026,466 | $27,364 | $27,364 | $27 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -16.4% | -16.4% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +80.0% ! | +348.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +199.2% ! | +20.0% | 40.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +37.4% | +5191.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 2.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +639.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -16.4% | +60.0% | +45.6% | +199.2% | 2024 | -16.4% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 73.8% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 2.6% | 2021 |
|
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tax Amount | $1,422 | $966 | — | $1,448 | 2022 | $27 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 199% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$9,489,344 | ~$9,489,344 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +45.6% |
| 2028 | ~$13,820,996 | ~$13,820,996 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +112.1% |
| 2029 | ~$20,129,940 | ~$20,129,940 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +209.0% |
| 2030 | ~$29,318,760 | ~$29,318,760 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +350.0% |
| 2031 | ~$42,702,050 | ~$42,702,050 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +555.4% |
| 2027 | ~$9,359,039 | ~$9,359,039 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +43.6% |
| 2028 | ~$13,444,028 | ~$13,444,028 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +106.3% |
| 2029 | ~$19,312,015 | ~$19,312,015 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +196.4% |
| 2030 | ~$27,741,233 | ~$27,741,233 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +325.8% |
| 2031 | ~$39,849,596 | ~$39,849,596 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +511.6% |
| 2027 | ~$9,619,650 | ~$9,619,650 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +47.6% |
| 2028 | ~$14,203,176 | ~$14,203,176 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +118.0% |
| 2029 | ~$20,970,639 | ~$20,970,639 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +221.9% |
| 2030 | ~$30,962,630 | ~$30,962,630 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +375.2% |
| 2031 | ~$45,715,559 | ~$45,715,559 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +601.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $7,797,016 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 14× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $7,797,016 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $4,331,676 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,447,840 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,447,840 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $1,053,830 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |