9808 F M RD 969 TX 78724
| Owner | JONES PATSY & AL E |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0210410304 |
| Short ID | 201590 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,465,358 SF |
| Acres | 33.640 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 16 SUR 18 MCELROY P ACR 33.64 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN405 |
| Land | $1,827,887 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,827,887 |
| Improvement | $37,848 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $37,848 |
| Market | $1,865,735 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,865,735 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,821,762 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $43,973 |
| Taxable Value | $43,973 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +393.8% from $377,814 (2021) to $1,865,735 (2025), a CAGR of 49.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7053% in 2025 (+0.0402% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $750. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 63.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($43,973) is $1,821,762 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 98% of market value ($1,827,887 land vs $37,848 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,865,735, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +58.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $24,590,789 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $326,905. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
5 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| SO | Sketch Only | 8,243 SF | ✗ |
| 302 | BARN FV | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 341 | OUT BUILDINGS FV | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 509 | CANOPY FV | 1 SF | ✗ |
| 289 | SHED FV | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $475.52 | $475.52 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $165.27 | $165.27 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $51.90 | $51.90 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $45.47 | $45.47 | Paid |
| E04 Travis County ESD # 04 | 0.0800% | 0.0600% | 0.0400% | 0.0300% | 0.0266% | -0.0034% | $11.70 | $11.70 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0060% | 1.9276% | 1.6300% | 1.6651% | 1.7053% | +0.0402% | $749.86 | $749.86 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $475.52 | 63.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $165.27 | 22.0% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $51.90 | 6.9% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $45.47 | 6.1% |
| E04 Travis County ESD # 04 | 0.0266% | $11.70 | 1.6% |
| Total | 1.7053% | $749.86 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,459,928 | $1,865,735 | +31.8% |
| Assessed Value | $44,355 | $43,973 | +0.9% |
| Land Value | $2,422,080 | $1,827,887 | +32.5% |
| Improvement Value | $37,848 | $37,848 | +0.0% |
| Taxable Value | $44,355 | $43,973 | +0.9% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,415,573 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$756
Estimated
|
~$750
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,459,928 | $2,422,080 | $37,848 | −$2,415,573 | $44,355 | $44,355 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,865,735 | $1,827,887 | $37,848 | −$1,821,762 | $43,973 | $43,973 | ~$750 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,053,341 | $1,015,493 | $37,848 | −$1,010,326 | $43,015 | $43,015 | $716 | Verified |
| 2023 | $389,980 | $352,132 | $37,848 | −$347,141 | $42,839 | $42,839 | $698 | Verified |
| 2022 | $389,980 | $352,132 | $37,848 | −$347,506 | $42,474 | $42,474 | $819 | Verified |
| 2021 | $377,814 | — | $37,848 | −$335,285 | $42,529 | $42,529 | $853 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +31.8% | +0.9% | 1.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +77.1% ! | +2.2% | 2.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +170.1% ! | +0.4% | 4.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.9% | 11.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +3.2% | -0.1% | 10.9% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 11.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +393.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +31.8% | +56.4% | +58.5% | +170.1% | 2024 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 1.8% | 6.9% | — | 11.3% | 2021 | 1.8% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0400% | 0.0400% | — | 0.0400% | 2025 | 0.0400% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$750 | $767 | ~$169,869 | $853 | 2021 | $698 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 170% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,898,454 | ~$3,898,454 | ~1.6301% | ~$63,548 | +58.5% |
| 2028 | ~$6,178,207 | ~$6,178,207 | ~1.5549% | ~$96,066 | +151.2% |
| 2029 | ~$9,791,122 | ~$9,791,122 | ~1.4797% | ~$144,883 | +298.0% |
| 2030 | ~$15,516,811 | ~$15,516,811 | ~1.4046% | ~$217,942 | +530.8% |
| 2031 | ~$24,590,789 | ~$24,590,789 | ~1.3294% | ~$326,905 | +899.7% |
| 2027 | ~$3,849,255 | ~$3,849,255 | ~1.7053% | ~$65,640 | +56.5% |
| 2028 | ~$6,023,252 | ~$6,023,252 | ~1.7053% | ~$102,713 | +144.9% |
| 2029 | ~$9,425,088 | ~$9,425,088 | ~1.7053% | ~$160,723 | +283.1% |
| 2030 | ~$14,748,224 | ~$14,748,224 | ~1.7053% | ~$251,497 | +499.5% |
| 2031 | ~$23,077,782 | ~$23,077,782 | ~1.7053% | ~$393,538 | +838.1% |
| 2027 | ~$3,947,653 | ~$3,947,653 | ~1.5925% | ~$62,866 | +60.5% |
| 2028 | ~$6,335,129 | ~$6,335,129 | ~1.4797% | ~$93,743 | +157.5% |
| 2029 | ~$10,166,512 | ~$10,166,512 | ~1.3670% | ~$138,973 | +313.3% |
| 2030 | ~$16,315,053 | ~$16,315,053 | ~1.2542% | ~$204,624 | +563.2% |
| 2031 | ~$26,182,132 | ~$26,182,132 | ~1.1414% | ~$298,852 | +964.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,865,735 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 3× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,865,735 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,053,341 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $389,980 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $389,980 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $377,814 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |