17211 BLAKE-MANOR RD TX 78653
| Owner | LC MANOR LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0226600209 |
| Short ID | 227204 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 8,745,541 SF |
| Acres | 200.770 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 520 SUR 37 MANNING J H ACR 200.77 [1-D-1] |
| Neighborhood | _BACRE |
| Land | $15,057,750 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $15,057,750 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $11,893,936 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $11,893,936 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$11,872,954 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $20,982 |
| Taxable Value | $20,982 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +194.8% from $4,034,710 (2021) to $11,893,936 (2025), a CAGR of 31.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $373. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($20,982) is $11,872,954 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 127% of market value ($15,057,750 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $11,893,936, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +20.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $38,879,110 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $571,340. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $226.90 | $226.90 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $78.86 | $78.86 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $24.76 | $24.76 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $21.70 | $21.70 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $20.98 | $20.98 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $373.20 | $373.20 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $226.90 | 60.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $78.86 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $24.76 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $21.70 | 5.8% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $20.98 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7787% | $373.20 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $15,057,750 | $11,893,936 | +26.6% |
| Assessed Value | $21,404 | $20,982 | +2.0% |
| Land Value | $15,057,750 | $15,057,750 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $21,404 | $20,982 | +2.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$15,036,346 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$381
Estimated
|
~$373
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $15,057,750 | $15,057,750 | — | −$15,036,346 | $21,404 | $21,404 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $11,893,936 | $15,057,750 | — | −$11,872,954 | $20,982 | $20,982 | ~$373 | Partial |
| 2024 | $11,893,936 | $15,057,750 | — | −$11,872,954 | $20,982 | $20,982 | $364 | Verified |
| 2023 | $7,026,950 | $7,026,950 | — | −$7,005,853 | $21,097 | $21,097 | $356 | Verified |
| 2022 | $7,050,097 | $7,026,950 | $23,147 | −$7,005,082 | $45,015 | $45,015 | $886 | Verified |
| 2021 | $4,034,710 | — | $19,310 | −$3,993,548 | $41,162 | $41,162 | $834 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +26.6% | +2.0% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +69.3% | -0.5% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -0.3% | -53.1% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +74.7% | +9.4% | 0.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 1.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +194.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +26.6% | +34.1% | +20.9% | +74.7% | 2022 | -0.3% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.1% | 0.4% | — | 1.0% | 2021 | 0.1% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$373 | $563 | ~$432,880 | $886 | 2022 | $356 | 2023 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$18,203,350 | ~$18,203,350 | ~1.7168% | ~$312,522 | +20.9% |
| 2028 | ~$22,006,074 | ~$22,006,074 | ~1.6550% | ~$364,203 | +46.1% |
| 2029 | ~$26,603,197 | ~$26,603,197 | ~1.5932% | ~$423,838 | +76.7% |
| 2030 | ~$32,160,669 | ~$32,160,669 | ~1.5314% | ~$492,495 | +113.6% |
| 2031 | ~$38,879,110 | ~$38,879,110 | ~1.4695% | ~$571,340 | +158.2% |
| 2027 | ~$17,902,195 | ~$17,902,195 | ~1.7787% | ~$318,421 | +18.9% |
| 2028 | ~$21,283,964 | ~$21,283,964 | ~1.7787% | ~$378,571 | +41.3% |
| 2029 | ~$25,304,556 | ~$25,304,556 | ~1.7787% | ~$450,084 | +68.1% |
| 2030 | ~$30,084,648 | ~$30,084,648 | ~1.7787% | ~$535,106 | +99.8% |
| 2031 | ~$35,767,710 | ~$35,767,710 | ~1.7787% | ~$636,189 | +137.5% |
| 2027 | ~$18,504,505 | ~$18,504,505 | ~1.6859% | ~$311,972 | +22.9% |
| 2028 | ~$22,740,232 | ~$22,740,232 | ~1.5932% | ~$362,294 | +51.0% |
| 2029 | ~$27,945,526 | ~$27,945,526 | ~1.5004% | ~$419,307 | +85.6% |
| 2030 | ~$34,342,324 | ~$34,342,324 | ~1.4077% | ~$483,437 | +128.1% |
| 2031 | ~$42,203,365 | ~$42,203,365 | ~1.3150% | ~$554,957 | +180.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $11,893,936 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 21× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $11,893,936 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $11,893,936 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $7,026,950 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $7,050,097 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $4,034,710 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |