11830 N F M RD 973 TX 78653
| Owner | DWYER PETER A |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0231590638 |
| Short ID | 710014 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 30 Strip Center (<10,000 SF) |
| Valuation | Income |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 43,954 SF |
| Acres | 1.009 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 11 BLK C WILDHORSE CREEK COMMERCIAL |
| Neighborhood | 1FE3 |
| Land | $186,805 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $186,805 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $186,805 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $186,805 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $186,805 |
| Taxable Value | $186,805 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has fallen +0.0% from $186,805 (2021) to $186,805 (2025), a CAGR of 0.0% over 4 years. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +17.8%, so this parcel has lagged the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.6324% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $4,917. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 41.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the income approach, so changes in rent roll or occupancy move the appraisal more directly than they would for a cost-approach property.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($186,805 land vs $0 improvements), about $4/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $186,805, this parcel sits in the bottom quartile (<25th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,382,921 (P25 $632,506 / P75 $3,258,143, n=13,595). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +46.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $8,427,006 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $203,258. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $2,020.11 | $2,020.11 | Paid |
| CMA City of Manor | 0.7827% | 0.7470% | 0.6789% | 0.8537% | 0.8537% | +0.0000% | $1,594.75 | $1,594.75 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $702.10 | $702.10 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $220.47 | $220.47 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $193.16 | $193.16 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $186.81 | $186.81 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.8087% | 2.7146% | 2.3671% | 2.5888% | 2.6324% | +0.0436% | $4,917.40 | $4,917.40 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $2,020.11 | 41.1% |
| CMA City of Manor | 0.8537% | $1,594.75 | 32.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $702.10 | 14.3% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $220.47 | 4.5% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $193.16 | 3.9% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $186.81 | 3.8% |
| Total | 2.6324% | $4,917.40 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,254,674 | $186,805 | +571.6% |
| Assessed Value | $1,254,674 | $186,805 | +571.6% |
| Land Value | $186,805 | $186,805 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $1,067,869 | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,254,674 | $186,805 | +571.6% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$33,028
Estimated
|
~$4,917
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,254,674 | $186,805 | $1,067,869 | — | $1,254,674 | $1,254,674 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $186,805 | $186,805 | — | — | $186,805 | $186,805 | ~$4,917 | Partial |
| 2024 | $186,805 | $186,805 | — | — | $186,805 | $186,805 | $4,836 | Verified |
| 2023 | $186,805 | $186,805 | — | — | $186,805 | $186,805 | $4,422 | Verified |
| 2022 | $186,805 | $186,805 | — | — | $186,805 | $186,805 | $5,071 | Verified |
| 2021 | $186,805 | $186,805 | — | — | $186,805 | $186,805 | $5,247 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +571.6% ! | +571.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +0.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +571.6% | +114.3% | +46.4% | +571.6% | 2026 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.6300% | 2.6300% | — | 2.6300% | 2025 | 2.6300% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$4,917 | $4,899 | ~$111,787 | $5,247 | 2021 | $4,422 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 572% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,836,367 | ~$1,836,367 | ~2.5883% | ~$47,531 | +46.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,687,744 | ~$2,687,744 | ~2.5442% | ~$68,382 | +114.2% |
| 2029 | ~$3,933,837 | ~$3,933,837 | ~2.5001% | ~$98,351 | +213.5% |
| 2030 | ~$5,757,644 | ~$5,757,644 | ~2.4561% | ~$141,411 | +358.9% |
| 2031 | ~$8,427,006 | ~$8,427,006 | ~2.4120% | ~$203,258 | +571.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,811,273 | ~$1,811,273 | ~2.6324% | ~$47,679 | +44.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,614,791 | ~$2,614,791 | ~2.6324% | ~$68,831 | +108.4% |
| 2029 | ~$3,774,766 | ~$3,774,766 | ~2.6324% | ~$99,366 | +200.9% |
| 2030 | ~$5,449,329 | ~$5,449,329 | ~2.6324% | ~$143,446 | +334.3% |
| 2031 | ~$7,866,763 | ~$7,866,763 | ~2.6324% | ~$207,082 | +527.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,861,460 | ~$1,861,460 | ~2.5663% | ~$47,770 | +48.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,761,700 | ~$2,761,700 | ~2.5001% | ~$69,046 | +120.1% |
| 2029 | ~$4,097,315 | ~$4,097,315 | ~2.4340% | ~$99,729 | +226.6% |
| 2030 | ~$6,078,861 | ~$6,078,861 | ~2.3679% | ~$143,941 | +384.5% |
| 2031 | ~$9,018,722 | ~$9,018,722 | ~2.3018% | ~$207,592 | +618.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $186,805 places it in the bottom 25% for Commercial properties in Travis County (13595 comparable) — -86% below the county median of $1,382,921. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $186,805 | $632,506 | $1,382,921 | $3,258,143 | ↓ Bottom 25% | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $186,805 | $647,500 | $1,401,787 | $3,362,090 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $186,805 | $651,680 | $1,383,015 | $3,277,245 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $186,805 | $535,964 | $1,190,250 | $2,842,216 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $186,805 | $538,645 | $1,173,514 | $2,782,974 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |