15501 VOELKER LN TX 78653
| Owner | JOHNSON WILLIAM S JR & JULIA |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0234800519 |
| Short ID | 236985 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 829,644 SF |
| Acres | 19.046 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 154 SUR 52 CALDWELL A C ACR 19.046 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN307 |
| Land | $757,296 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $757,296 |
| Improvement | $21,340 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $21,340 |
| Market | $778,636 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $778,636 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$521,953 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $256,683 |
| Taxable Value | $256,683 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +252.5% from $220,875 (2021) to $778,636 (2025), a CAGR of 37.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $4,566. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($256,683) is $521,953 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 97% of market value ($757,296 land vs $21,340 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $778,636, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +12.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $845,372 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $62. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
2 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 302 | BARN FV | 1,008 SF | ✓ |
| 571 | STORAGE DET | 736 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $2,775.77 | $2,775.77 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $964.73 | $964.73 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $302.94 | $302.94 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $265.41 | $265.41 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $256.68 | $256.68 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $4,565.53 | $4,565.53 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $2,775.77 | 60.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $964.73 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $302.94 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $265.41 | 5.8% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $256.68 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7787% | $4,565.53 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $477,617 | $778,636 | -38.7% |
| Assessed Value | $2,614 | $256,683 | -99.0% |
| Land Value | $477,617 | $757,296 | -36.9% |
| Improvement Value | — | $21,340 | — |
| Taxable Value | $2,614 | $256,683 | -99.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$475,003 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$46
Estimated
|
~$4,566
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $477,617 | $477,617 | — | −$475,003 | $2,614 | $2,614 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $778,636 | $757,296 | $21,340 | −$521,953 | $256,683 | $256,683 | ~$4,566 | Partial |
| 2024 | $778,636 | $757,296 | $21,340 | −$564,507 | $214,129 | $214,129 | $3,715 | Verified |
| 2023 | $302,486 | $281,146 | $21,340 | — | $302,486 | $302,486 | $3,024 | Verified |
| 2022 | $302,486 | $281,146 | $21,340 | −$123,287 | $179,199 | $179,199 | $3,526 | Verified |
| 2021 | $220,875 | $110,003 | $21,340 | −$86,612 | $134,263 | $134,263 | $2,720 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -38.7% | -99.0% | 0.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +19.9% | 33.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +157.4% ! | -29.2% | 27.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +68.8% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +36.9% | +33.5% | 59.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 60.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +252.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -38.7% | +31.1% | +12.1% | +157.4% | 2024 | -38.7% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.5% | 46.8% | — | 100.0% | 2023 | 0.5% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.5900% | 0.5900% | — | 0.5900% | 2025 | 0.5900% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$4,566 | $3,510 | ~$55 | $4,566 | 2025 | $2,720 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 157% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$535,394 | ~$2,875 | ~1.7168% | ~$49 | +12.1% |
| 2028 | ~$600,160 | ~$3,163 | ~1.6550% | ~$52 | +25.7% |
| 2029 | ~$672,761 | ~$3,479 | ~1.5932% | ~$55 | +40.9% |
| 2030 | ~$754,144 | ~$3,827 | ~1.5314% | ~$59 | +57.9% |
| 2031 | ~$845,372 | ~$4,210 | ~1.4695% | ~$62 | +77.0% |
| 2027 | ~$525,842 | ~$2,875 | ~1.7787% | ~$51 | +10.1% |
| 2028 | ~$578,935 | ~$3,163 | ~1.7787% | ~$56 | +21.2% |
| 2029 | ~$637,390 | ~$3,479 | ~1.7787% | ~$62 | +33.5% |
| 2030 | ~$701,746 | ~$3,827 | ~1.7787% | ~$68 | +46.9% |
| 2031 | ~$772,601 | ~$4,210 | ~1.7787% | ~$75 | +61.8% |
| 2027 | ~$544,946 | ~$2,875 | ~1.6859% | ~$48 | +14.1% |
| 2028 | ~$621,767 | ~$3,163 | ~1.5932% | ~$50 | +30.2% |
| 2029 | ~$709,417 | ~$3,479 | ~1.5004% | ~$52 | +48.5% |
| 2030 | ~$809,422 | ~$3,827 | ~1.4077% | ~$54 | +69.5% |
| 2031 | ~$923,526 | ~$4,210 | ~1.3150% | ~$55 | +93.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $778,636 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +39% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $778,636 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $778,636 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $302,486 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $302,486 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $220,875 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |