12528 ORCHARD GROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | THAI VINH |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0250400520 |
| Short ID | 942777 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,475 SF |
| Land SF | 6,181 SF |
| Acres | 0.142 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 13 BLK P EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS V |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $97,271 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $97,271 |
| Improvement | $349,896 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $349,896 |
| Market | $447,167 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $447,167 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $447,167 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $447,167 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +2881.1% from $15,000 (2021) to $447,167 (2025), a CAGR of 133.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $9,850. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 44.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 22% of market value ($97,271 land vs $349,896 improvements), about $16/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +96.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $12,557,819 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $13,087. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,475 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,413 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,062 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 380 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 129 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,321.70 | $3,321.70 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,874.59 | $1,874.59 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,344.53 | $1,344.53 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $457.20 | $457.20 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $422.21 | $422.21 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $7,420.23 | $7,420.23 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $3,321.70 | 44.8% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $1,874.59 | 25.3% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,344.53 | 18.1% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $457.20 | 6.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $422.21 | 5.7% |
| Total | 2.2027% | $7,420.23 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $434,013 | $447,167 | -2.9% |
| Assessed Value | $434,013 | $447,167 | -2.9% |
| Land Value | $103,937 | $97,271 | +6.9% |
| Improvement Value | $330,076 | $349,896 | -5.7% |
| Taxable Value | $434,013 | $447,167 | -2.9% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$9,560
Estimated
|
~$7,420
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $434,013 | $103,937 | $330,076 | — | $434,013 | $434,013 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $447,167 | $97,271 | $349,896 | — | $447,167 | $447,167 | ~$7,420 | Partial |
| 2024 | $373,335 | $100,000 | $273,335 | — | $373,335 | $308,052 | $6,330 | Verified |
| 2023 | $138,670 | $100,000 | $38,670 | — | $138,670 | $138,670 | $2,823 | Verified |
| 2022 | $50,000 | $50,000 | — | — | $50,000 | $50,000 | $1,165 | Verified |
| 2021 | $15,000 | $15,000 | — | — | $15,000 | $15,000 | $370 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.9% | -2.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +19.8% | +19.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +169.2% ! | +169.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +177.3% ! | +177.3% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +2881.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -2.9% | +119.3% | +96.0% | +233.3% | 2022 | -2.9% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6600% | 1.6600% | — | 1.6600% | 2025 | 1.6600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$7,420 | $3,622 | ~$11,611 | $7,420 | 2025 | $370 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$850,717 | ~$477,414 | ~2.1366% | ~$10,200 | +96.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,667,506 | ~$525,156 | ~2.0705% | ~$10,874 | +284.2% |
| 2029 | ~$3,268,509 | ~$577,671 | ~2.0045% | ~$11,579 | +653.1% |
| 2030 | ~$6,406,664 | ~$635,438 | ~1.9384% | ~$12,317 | +1376.1% |
| 2031 | ~$12,557,819 | ~$698,982 | ~1.8723% | ~$13,087 | +2793.4% |
| 2027 | ~$842,037 | ~$477,414 | ~2.2027% | ~$10,516 | +94.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,633,651 | ~$525,156 | ~2.2027% | ~$11,568 | +276.4% |
| 2029 | ~$3,169,476 | ~$577,671 | ~2.2027% | ~$12,724 | +630.3% |
| 2030 | ~$6,149,158 | ~$635,438 | ~2.2027% | ~$13,997 | +1316.8% |
| 2031 | ~$11,930,094 | ~$698,982 | ~2.2027% | ~$15,396 | +2648.8% |
| 2027 | ~$859,397 | ~$477,414 | ~2.1036% | ~$10,043 | +98.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,701,708 | ~$525,156 | ~2.0045% | ~$10,527 | +292.1% |
| 2029 | ~$3,369,583 | ~$577,671 | ~1.9054% | ~$11,007 | +676.4% |
| 2030 | ~$6,672,174 | ~$635,438 | ~1.8062% | ~$11,478 | +1437.3% |
| 2031 | ~$13,211,693 | ~$698,982 | ~1.7071% | ~$11,933 | +2944.1% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |