12601 ORCHARD GROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | SANCHEZ FABIOLA RAYGOZA & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0250401009 |
| Short ID | 942855 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 1,915 SF |
| Land SF | 4,600 SF |
| Acres | 0.106 |
| Year Built | 2024 |
| Legal | LOT 28 BLK O EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS V |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $92,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $92,000 |
| Improvement | $290,395 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $290,395 |
| Market | $382,395 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $382,395 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $382,395 |
| Taxable Value | $382,395 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +2449.3% from $15,000 (2021) to $382,395 (2025), a CAGR of 124.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $8,423. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 49.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 24% of market value ($92,000 land vs $290,395 improvements), about $20/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~2 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +90.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $9,392,158 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $175,851. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 1,915 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,141 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 774 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 351 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 150 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $4,135.22 | $4,135.22 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $2,003.81 | $2,003.81 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,437.21 | $1,437.21 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $451.31 | $451.31 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $395.40 | $395.40 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $8,422.95 | $8,422.95 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $4,135.22 | 49.1% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $2,003.81 | 23.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,437.21 | 17.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $451.31 | 5.4% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $395.40 | 4.7% |
| Total | 2.2027% | $8,422.95 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $375,343 | $382,395 | -1.8% |
| Assessed Value | $375,343 | $382,395 | -1.8% |
| Land Value | $98,666 | $92,000 | +7.2% |
| Improvement Value | $276,677 | $290,395 | -4.7% |
| Taxable Value | $375,343 | $382,395 | -1.8% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$8,268
Estimated
|
~$8,423
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $375,343 | $98,666 | $276,677 | — | $375,343 | $375,343 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $382,395 | $92,000 | $290,395 | — | $382,395 | $382,395 | ~$8,423 | Partial |
| 2024 | $80,000 | $100,000 | — | — | $80,000 | $80,000 | $1,690 | Verified |
| 2023 | $80,000 | $100,000 | — | — | $80,000 | $80,000 | $1,629 | Verified |
| 2022 | $50,000 | $50,000 | — | — | $50,000 | $50,000 | $1,165 | Verified |
| 2021 | $15,000 | $15,000 | — | — | $15,000 | $15,000 | $370 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.8% | -1.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +378.0% ! | +378.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +60.0% | +60.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +2449.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -1.8% | +133.9% | +90.4% | +378.0% | 2025 | -1.8% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.2000% | 2.2000% | — | 2.2000% | 2025 | 2.2000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$8,423 | $2,655 | ~$73,369 | $8,423 | 2025 | $370 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$714,654 | ~$714,654 | ~2.1366% | ~$15,269 | +90.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,360,702 | ~$1,360,702 | ~2.0705% | ~$28,174 | +262.5% |
| 2029 | ~$2,590,780 | ~$2,590,780 | ~2.0045% | ~$51,931 | +590.2% |
| 2030 | ~$4,932,851 | ~$4,932,851 | ~1.9384% | ~$95,618 | +1214.2% |
| 2031 | ~$9,392,158 | ~$9,392,158 | ~1.8723% | ~$175,851 | +2402.3% |
| 2027 | ~$707,147 | ~$707,147 | ~2.2027% | ~$15,576 | +88.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,332,266 | ~$1,332,266 | ~2.2027% | ~$29,346 | +254.9% |
| 2029 | ~$2,509,993 | ~$2,509,993 | ~2.2027% | ~$55,287 | +568.7% |
| 2030 | ~$4,728,831 | ~$4,728,831 | ~2.2027% | ~$104,161 | +1159.9% |
| 2031 | ~$8,909,128 | ~$8,909,128 | ~2.2027% | ~$196,240 | +2273.6% |
| 2027 | ~$722,161 | ~$722,161 | ~2.1036% | ~$15,191 | +92.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,389,439 | ~$1,389,439 | ~2.0045% | ~$27,851 | +270.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,673,283 | ~$2,673,283 | ~1.9054% | ~$50,936 | +612.2% |
| 2030 | ~$5,143,402 | ~$5,143,402 | ~1.8062% | ~$92,902 | +1270.3% |
| 2031 | ~$9,895,915 | ~$9,895,915 | ~1.7071% | ~$168,937 | +2536.5% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |