12805 WILLOWGROVE LN 78653
| Owner | MORRISON MATTHEW D & TASNUVA ZAMAN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0252401612 |
| Short ID | 953713 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,394 SF |
| Land SF | 5,828 SF |
| Acres | 0.134 |
| Year Built | 2023 |
| Legal | LOT 6 BLK G EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS 2 |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $96,094 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $96,094 |
| Improvement | $370,849 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $370,849 |
| Market | $466,943 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $466,943 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $466,943 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $466,943 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +833.9% from $50,000 (2022) to $466,943 (2025), a CAGR of 110.6% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +53.5%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $10,285. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 21% of market value ($96,094 land vs $370,849 improvements), about $16/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~3 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $466,943, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +73.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $7,102,195 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $13,644. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,394 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,394 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 378 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 166 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,535.56 | $3,535.56 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,957.49 | $1,957.49 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,403.98 | $1,403.98 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $477.65 | $477.65 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $440.88 | $440.88 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $7,815.56 | $7,815.56 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $3,535.56 | 45.2% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $1,957.49 | 25.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,403.98 | 18.0% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $477.65 | 6.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $440.88 | 5.6% |
| Total | 2.2027% | $7,815.56 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $452,483 | $466,943 | -3.1% |
| Assessed Value | $452,483 | $466,943 | -3.1% |
| Land Value | $102,761 | $96,094 | +6.9% |
| Improvement Value | $349,722 | $370,849 | -5.7% |
| Taxable Value | $452,483 | $466,943 | -3.1% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$9,967
Estimated
|
~$7,816
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $452,483 | $102,761 | $349,722 | — | $452,483 | $452,483 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $466,943 | $96,094 | $370,849 | — | $466,943 | $466,943 | ~$7,816 | Partial |
| 2024 | $451,722 | $100,000 | $351,722 | — | $451,722 | $361,378 | $7,617 | Verified |
| 2023 | $80,000 | $100,000 | — | — | $80,000 | $80,000 | $1,568 | Verified |
| 2022 | $50,000 | $50,000 | — | — | $50,000 | $50,000 | $1,165 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.1% | -3.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +3.4% | +3.4% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +464.7% ! | +464.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +60.0% | +60.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +833.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -3.1% | +131.2% | +73.4% | +464.7% | 2024 | -3.1% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6700% | 1.6700% | — | 1.6700% | 2025 | 1.6700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$7,816 | $4,542 | ~$12,106 | $7,816 | 2025 | $1,165 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 465% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$784,802 | ~$497,731 | ~2.1366% | ~$10,635 | +73.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,361,189 | ~$547,504 | ~2.0705% | ~$11,336 | +200.8% |
| 2029 | ~$2,360,894 | ~$602,255 | ~2.0045% | ~$12,072 | +421.8% |
| 2030 | ~$4,094,817 | ~$662,480 | ~1.9384% | ~$12,841 | +805.0% |
| 2031 | ~$7,102,195 | ~$728,728 | ~1.8723% | ~$13,644 | +1469.6% |
| 2027 | ~$775,753 | ~$497,731 | ~2.2027% | ~$10,963 | +71.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,329,978 | ~$547,504 | ~2.2027% | ~$12,060 | +193.9% |
| 2029 | ~$2,280,161 | ~$602,255 | ~2.2027% | ~$13,266 | +403.9% |
| 2030 | ~$3,909,188 | ~$662,480 | ~2.2027% | ~$14,592 | +763.9% |
| 2031 | ~$6,702,049 | ~$728,728 | ~2.2027% | ~$16,052 | +1381.2% |
| 2027 | ~$793,852 | ~$497,731 | ~2.1036% | ~$10,470 | +75.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,392,762 | ~$547,504 | ~2.0045% | ~$10,975 | +207.8% |
| 2029 | ~$2,443,511 | ~$602,255 | ~1.9054% | ~$11,475 | +440.0% |
| 2030 | ~$4,286,981 | ~$662,480 | ~1.8062% | ~$11,966 | +847.4% |
| 2031 | ~$7,521,230 | ~$728,728 | ~1.7071% | ~$12,440 | +1562.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $466,943 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 6× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $466,943 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $451,722 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $80,000 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $50,000 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↓ Below median | +100.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |