12813 WILLOWGROVE LN 78653
| Owner | AL SAADI SALIH & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0252401614 |
| Short ID | 953715 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 3,557 SF |
| Land SF | 5,802 SF |
| Acres | 0.133 |
| Year Built | 2023 |
| Legal | LOT 4 BLK G EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS 2 |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $96,007 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $96,007 |
| Improvement | $420,408 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $420,408 |
| Market | $516,415 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $516,415 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $516,415 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $516,415 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +932.8% from $50,000 (2022) to $516,415 (2025), a CAGR of 117.8% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +53.5%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $11,375. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 46.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 19% of market value ($96,007 land vs $420,408 improvements), about $17/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~3 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $516,415, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +82.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $11,092,621 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $16,634. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 3,557 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,977 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,580 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 441 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 277 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 3 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $4,070.55 | $4,070.55 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $2,164.88 | $2,164.88 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,552.74 | $1,552.74 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $528.63 | $528.63 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $487.59 | $487.59 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $8,804.39 | $8,804.39 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $4,070.55 | 46.2% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $2,164.88 | 24.6% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,552.74 | 17.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $528.63 | 6.0% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $487.59 | 5.5% |
| Total | 2.2027% | $8,804.39 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $551,652 | $516,415 | +6.8% |
| Assessed Value | $551,652 | $516,415 | +6.8% |
| Land Value | $102,674 | $96,007 | +6.9% |
| Improvement Value | $448,978 | $420,408 | +6.8% |
| Taxable Value | $551,652 | $516,415 | +6.8% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$12,151
Estimated
|
~$8,804
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $551,652 | $102,674 | $448,978 | — | $551,652 | $551,652 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $516,415 | $96,007 | $420,408 | — | $516,415 | $516,415 | ~$8,804 | Partial |
| 2024 | $593,338 | $100,000 | $493,338 | — | $593,338 | $474,670 | $10,344 | Verified |
| 2023 | $80,000 | $100,000 | — | — | $80,000 | $80,000 | $1,629 | Verified |
| 2022 | $50,000 | $50,000 | — | — | $50,000 | $50,000 | $1,165 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +6.8% | +6.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -13.0% | -13.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +641.7% ! | +641.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +60.0% | +60.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +932.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +6.8% | +173.9% | +82.3% | +641.7% | 2024 | -13.0% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.7000% | 1.7000% | — | 1.7000% | 2025 | 1.7000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$8,804 | $5,486 | ~$14,759 | $10,344 | 2024 | $1,165 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 642% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,005,400 | ~$606,817 | ~2.1366% | ~$12,965 | +82.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,832,368 | ~$667,499 | ~2.0705% | ~$13,821 | +232.2% |
| 2029 | ~$3,339,540 | ~$734,249 | ~2.0045% | ~$14,718 | +505.4% |
| 2030 | ~$6,086,399 | ~$807,674 | ~1.9384% | ~$15,656 | +1003.3% |
| 2031 | ~$11,092,621 | ~$888,441 | ~1.8723% | ~$16,634 | +1910.8% |
| 2027 | ~$994,367 | ~$606,817 | ~2.2027% | ~$13,366 | +80.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,792,373 | ~$667,499 | ~2.2027% | ~$14,703 | +224.9% |
| 2029 | ~$3,230,800 | ~$734,249 | ~2.2027% | ~$16,173 | +485.7% |
| 2030 | ~$5,823,601 | ~$807,674 | ~2.2027% | ~$17,791 | +955.7% |
| 2031 | ~$10,497,194 | ~$888,441 | ~2.2027% | ~$19,570 | +1802.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,016,433 | ~$606,817 | ~2.1036% | ~$12,765 | +84.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,872,805 | ~$667,499 | ~2.0045% | ~$13,380 | +239.5% |
| 2029 | ~$3,450,693 | ~$734,249 | ~1.9054% | ~$13,990 | +525.5% |
| 2030 | ~$6,357,992 | ~$807,674 | ~1.8062% | ~$14,589 | +1052.5% |
| 2031 | ~$11,714,767 | ~$888,441 | ~1.7071% | ~$15,167 | +2023.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $516,415 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 6× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $516,415 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $593,338 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $80,000 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $50,000 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↓ Below median | +100.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |