N F M RD 973 TX 78615
| Owner | LIPIEC THOMAS G |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0270820103 |
| Short ID | 776825 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 202,271 SF |
| Acres | 4.644 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 511 SUR 66 MCDOUGAL J ABS 2326 SUR 77 WALTON HILL & WALTON ACR 4.6435(1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN317 |
| Land | $378,431 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $378,431 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $378,431 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $378,431 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$183,466 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $194,965 |
| Taxable Value | $194,965 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +807.6% from $41,696 (2021) to $378,431 (2025), a CAGR of 73.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6935% in 2025 (+0.0403% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $3,302. Pflugerville ISD is the largest single contributor, at 65.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($194,965) is $183,466 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($378,431 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $378,431, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +52.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $3,094,006 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $42,588. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.3880% | 1.2646% | 1.1092% | 1.1069% | 1.1069% | +0.0000% | $2,158.07 | $2,158.07 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $732.77 | $732.77 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $230.10 | $230.10 | Paid |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0900% | 0.0800% | 0.0773% | 0.0939% | 0.0928% | -0.0011% | $180.86 | $180.86 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.9472% | 1.7615% | 1.5918% | 1.6532% | 1.6935% | +0.0403% | $3,301.80 | $3,301.80 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.1069% | $2,158.07 | 65.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $732.77 | 22.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $230.10 | 7.0% |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0928% | $180.86 | 5.5% |
| Total | 1.6935% | $3,301.80 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $375,853 | $378,431 | -0.7% |
| Assessed Value | $233,958 | $194,965 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $375,853 | $378,431 | -0.7% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $233,958 | $194,965 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$141,895 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$3,962
Estimated
|
~$3,302
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $375,853 | $375,853 | — | −$141,895 | $233,958 | $233,958 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $378,431 | $378,431 | — | −$183,466 | $194,965 | $194,965 | ~$3,302 | Partial |
| 2024 | $162,471 | $162,471 | — | −$161,098 | $1,373 | $1,373 | $23 | Verified |
| 2023 | $69,601 | $69,601 | — | −$68,077 | $1,524 | $1,524 | $24 | Verified |
| 2022 | $69,601 | $69,601 | — | −$68,045 | $1,556 | $1,556 | $27 | Verified |
| 2021 | $41,696 | — | — | −$40,109 | $1,587 | $1,587 | $31 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.7% | +20.0% | 62.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +132.9% ! | +14099.9% | 51.5% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +133.4% ! | -9.9% | 0.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -2.1% | 2.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +66.9% | -2.0% | 2.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 3.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +807.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -0.7% | +66.5% | +52.4% | +133.4% | 2024 | -0.7% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 62.2% | 20.4% | — | 62.2% | 2026 | 0.8% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.8700% | 0.8700% | — | 0.8700% | 2025 | 0.8700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$3,302 | $681 | ~$22,970 | $3,302 | 2025 | $23 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 133% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$572,953 | ~$572,953 | ~1.6301% | ~$9,340 | +52.4% |
| 2028 | ~$873,412 | ~$873,412 | ~1.5667% | ~$13,684 | +132.4% |
| 2029 | ~$1,331,435 | ~$1,331,435 | ~1.5033% | ~$20,015 | +254.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,029,647 | ~$2,029,647 | ~1.4399% | ~$29,225 | +440.0% |
| 2031 | ~$3,094,006 | ~$3,094,006 | ~1.3765% | ~$42,588 | +723.2% |
| 2027 | ~$565,435 | ~$565,435 | ~1.6935% | ~$9,576 | +50.4% |
| 2028 | ~$850,645 | ~$850,645 | ~1.6935% | ~$14,406 | +126.3% |
| 2029 | ~$1,279,715 | ~$1,279,715 | ~1.6935% | ~$21,672 | +240.5% |
| 2030 | ~$1,925,210 | ~$1,925,210 | ~1.6935% | ~$32,604 | +412.2% |
| 2031 | ~$2,896,298 | ~$2,896,298 | ~1.6935% | ~$49,050 | +670.6% |
| 2027 | ~$580,470 | ~$580,470 | ~1.5984% | ~$9,278 | +54.4% |
| 2028 | ~$896,481 | ~$896,481 | ~1.5033% | ~$13,477 | +138.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,384,530 | ~$1,384,530 | ~1.4082% | ~$19,497 | +268.4% |
| 2030 | ~$2,138,277 | ~$2,138,277 | ~1.3131% | ~$28,077 | +468.9% |
| 2031 | ~$3,302,367 | ~$3,302,367 | ~1.2179% | ~$40,221 | +778.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $378,431 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — -33% below the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $378,431 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $162,471 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $69,601 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $69,601 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $41,696 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |