N F M RD 973 TX
| Owner | 19900 FM 973 #1 LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0280890202 |
| Short ID | 550017 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 681,514 SF |
| Acres | 15.645 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 2213 SUR 533 FORD R W ACR 15.747 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN317 |
| Land | $1,564,540 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,564,540 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,564,540 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,564,540 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,559,485 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $5,055 |
| Taxable Value | $5,055 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +630.1% from $214,278 (2021) to $1,564,540 (2025), a CAGR of 64.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6935% in 2025 (+0.0403% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $86. Pflugerville ISD is the largest single contributor, at 65.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($5,055) is $1,559,485 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,564,540 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,564,540, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +38.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $7,829,465 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $107,771. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.3880% | 1.2646% | 1.1092% | 1.1069% | 1.1069% | +0.0000% | $55.95 | $55.95 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $19.00 | $19.00 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $5.97 | $5.97 | Paid |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0900% | 0.0800% | 0.0773% | 0.0939% | 0.0928% | -0.0011% | $4.69 | $4.69 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.9472% | 1.7615% | 1.5918% | 1.6532% | 1.6935% | +0.0403% | $85.61 | $85.61 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.1069% | $55.95 | 65.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $19.00 | 22.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $5.97 | 7.0% |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0928% | $4.69 | 5.5% |
| Total | 1.6935% | $85.61 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,564,540 | $1,564,540 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $5,187 | $5,055 | +2.6% |
| Land Value | $1,564,540 | $1,564,540 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $5,187 | $5,055 | +2.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,559,353 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$88
Estimated
|
~$86
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,564,540 | $1,564,540 | — | −$1,559,353 | $5,187 | $5,187 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,564,540 | $1,564,540 | — | −$1,559,485 | $5,055 | $5,055 | ~$86 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,564,540 | $1,564,540 | — | −$1,559,914 | $4,626 | $4,626 | $76 | Verified |
| 2023 | $691,730 | $691,730 | — | −$689,185 | $2,545 | $2,545 | $41 | Verified |
| 2022 | $431,430 | $431,430 | — | −$428,813 | $2,617 | $2,617 | $46 | Verified |
| 2021 | $214,278 | — | — | −$211,636 | $2,642 | $2,642 | $51 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +2.6% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +9.3% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +126.2% ! | +81.8% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +60.3% | -2.8% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +101.3% ! | -0.9% | 0.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 1.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +630.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +57.6% | +38.0% | +126.2% | 2024 | +0.0% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.3% | 0.5% | — | 1.2% | 2021 | 0.3% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$86 | $60 | ~$66,629 | $86 | 2025 | $41 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 101% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,159,015 | ~$2,159,015 | ~1.6301% | ~$35,195 | +38.0% |
| 2028 | ~$2,979,373 | ~$2,979,373 | ~1.5667% | ~$46,678 | +90.4% |
| 2029 | ~$4,111,440 | ~$4,111,440 | ~1.5033% | ~$61,807 | +162.8% |
| 2030 | ~$5,673,656 | ~$5,673,656 | ~1.4399% | ~$81,694 | +262.6% |
| 2031 | ~$7,829,465 | ~$7,829,465 | ~1.3765% | ~$107,771 | +400.4% |
| 2027 | ~$2,127,725 | ~$2,127,725 | ~1.6935% | ~$36,034 | +36.0% |
| 2028 | ~$2,893,638 | ~$2,893,638 | ~1.6935% | ~$49,005 | +85.0% |
| 2029 | ~$3,935,256 | ~$3,935,256 | ~1.6935% | ~$66,645 | +151.5% |
| 2030 | ~$5,351,822 | ~$5,351,822 | ~1.6935% | ~$90,635 | +242.1% |
| 2031 | ~$7,278,308 | ~$7,278,308 | ~1.6935% | ~$123,261 | +365.2% |
| 2027 | ~$2,190,306 | ~$2,190,306 | ~1.5984% | ~$35,010 | +40.0% |
| 2028 | ~$3,066,359 | ~$3,066,359 | ~1.5033% | ~$46,097 | +96.0% |
| 2029 | ~$4,292,805 | ~$4,292,805 | ~1.4082% | ~$60,450 | +174.4% |
| 2030 | ~$6,009,791 | ~$6,009,791 | ~1.3131% | ~$78,912 | +284.1% |
| 2031 | ~$8,413,516 | ~$8,413,516 | ~1.2179% | ~$102,472 | +437.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,564,540 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +179% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,564,540 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,564,540 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $691,730 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $431,430 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $214,278 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |