19300 F M RD 969 TX 78653
| Owner | MILLCREEK CAPITAL |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0307700204 |
| Short ID | 288751 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,742,400 SF |
| Acres | 40.000 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 10 SUR 10 DUTY M ACR 40.000 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _BACRE |
| Land | $3,000,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $3,000,000 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $3,000,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $3,000,000 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,995,399 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $4,601 |
| Taxable Value | $4,601 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +275.0% from $800,000 (2021) to $3,000,000 (2025), a CAGR of 39.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 1.7967% in 2025 (-0.0217% vs 2024 — rates decreased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $83. Del Valle ISD is the largest single contributor, at 56.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($4,601) is $2,995,399 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($3,000,000 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $3,000,000, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +21.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $7,777,908 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $110,794. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $43.66 | $43.66 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $17.29 | $17.29 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $5.43 | $5.43 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $4.76 | $4.76 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $4.60 | $4.60 | Paid |
| VWE Village of Webberville | 0.2185% | 0.1715% | 0.1700% | 0.1678% | 0.1505% | -0.0173% | $1.25 | $1.25 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0945% | 1.9717% | 1.7749% | 1.8184% | 1.7967% | -0.0217% | $76.99 | $76.99 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 0.9489% | $43.66 | 56.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $17.29 | 22.5% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $5.43 | 7.1% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $4.76 | 6.2% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $4.60 | 6.0% |
| VWE Village of Webberville | 0.1505% | $1.25 | 1.6% |
| Total | 1.7967% | $76.99 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,000,000 | $3,000,000 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $5,230 | $4,601 | +13.7% |
| Land Value | $3,000,000 | $3,000,000 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $5,230 | $4,601 | +13.7% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,994,770 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$94
Estimated
|
~$77
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $3,000,000 | $3,000,000 | — | −$2,994,770 | $5,230 | $5,230 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $3,000,000 | $3,000,000 | — | −$2,995,399 | $4,601 | $4,601 | ~$77 | Partial |
| 2024 | $3,000,000 | $3,000,000 | — | −$2,995,757 | $4,243 | $4,243 | $71 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,400,000 | $1,400,000 | — | −$1,394,364 | $5,636 | $5,636 | $92 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,400,000 | $1,400,000 | — | −$1,393,376 | $6,624 | $6,624 | $121 | Verified |
| 2021 | $800,000 | — | — | −$792,202 | $7,798 | $7,798 | $149 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +13.7% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +8.4% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +114.3% ! | -24.7% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -14.9% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +75.0% | -15.1% | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 1.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +275.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +37.9% | +21.0% | +114.3% | 2024 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.2% | 0.4% | — | 1.0% | 2021 | 0.1% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$77 | $102 | ~$85,125 | $149 | 2021 | $71 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 114% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,629,690 | ~$3,629,690 | ~1.7223% | ~$62,512 | +21.0% |
| 2028 | ~$4,391,550 | ~$4,391,550 | ~1.6478% | ~$72,364 | +46.4% |
| 2029 | ~$5,313,322 | ~$5,313,322 | ~1.5734% | ~$83,598 | +77.1% |
| 2030 | ~$6,428,571 | ~$6,428,571 | ~1.4989% | ~$96,359 | +114.3% |
| 2031 | ~$7,777,908 | ~$7,777,908 | ~1.4245% | ~$110,794 | +159.3% |
| 2027 | ~$3,569,690 | ~$3,569,690 | ~1.7967% | ~$64,137 | +19.0% |
| 2028 | ~$4,247,563 | ~$4,247,563 | ~1.7967% | ~$76,316 | +41.6% |
| 2029 | ~$5,054,161 | ~$5,054,161 | ~1.7967% | ~$90,808 | +68.5% |
| 2030 | ~$6,013,930 | ~$6,013,930 | ~1.7967% | ~$108,052 | +100.5% |
| 2031 | ~$7,155,955 | ~$7,155,955 | ~1.7967% | ~$128,571 | +138.5% |
| 2027 | ~$3,689,690 | ~$3,689,690 | ~1.6850% | ~$62,172 | +23.0% |
| 2028 | ~$4,537,938 | ~$4,537,938 | ~1.5734% | ~$71,398 | +51.3% |
| 2029 | ~$5,581,195 | ~$5,581,195 | ~1.4617% | ~$81,580 | +86.0% |
| 2030 | ~$6,864,294 | ~$6,864,294 | ~1.3500% | ~$92,670 | +128.8% |
| 2031 | ~$8,442,372 | ~$8,442,372 | ~1.2384% | ~$104,547 | +181.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $3,000,000 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 5× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3,000,000 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $3,000,000 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,400,000 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,400,000 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $800,000 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |