4301 S F M RD 973 TX 78653
| Owner | PECAN FARM LTD |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0323310207 |
| Short ID | 552181 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,769,451 SF |
| Acres | 40.621 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 24 DELVALLE S ACR 40.621 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN415 |
| Land | $1,217,614 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,217,614 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,217,614 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,217,614 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,212,941 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $4,673 |
| Taxable Value | $4,673 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +152.4% from $482,326 (2021) to $1,217,614 (2025), a CAGR of 26.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 7 taxing entities is 2.2702% in 2025 (+0.0420% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $106. Del Valle ISD is the largest single contributor, at 47.5% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($4,673) is $1,212,941 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,217,614 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,217,614, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +41.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $9,191,483 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $180,309. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $44.34 | $44.34 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $19.10 | $19.10 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $17.56 | $17.56 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $5.52 | $5.52 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $4.83 | $4.83 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1.03 | $1.03 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1.03 | $1.03 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.5170% | 2.3527% | 2.1525% | 2.2282% | 2.2702% | +0.0420% | $93.41 | $93.41 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 0.9489% | $44.34 | 47.5% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $19.10 | 20.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $17.56 | 18.8% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $5.52 | 5.9% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $4.83 | 5.2% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $1.03 | 1.1% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $1.03 | 1.1% |
| Total | 2.2702% | $93.41 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,624,840 | $1,217,614 | +33.4% |
| Assessed Value | $5,311 | $4,673 | +13.7% |
| Land Value | $1,624,840 | $1,217,614 | +33.4% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $5,311 | $4,673 | +13.7% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,619,529 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$121
Estimated
|
~$93
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,624,840 | $1,624,840 | — | −$1,619,529 | $5,311 | $5,311 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,217,614 | $1,217,614 | — | −$1,212,941 | $4,673 | $4,673 | ~$93 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,217,614 | $1,217,614 | — | −$1,213,305 | $4,309 | $4,309 | $85 | Verified |
| 2023 | $406,210 | $406,210 | — | −$400,487 | $5,723 | $5,723 | $112 | Verified |
| 2022 | $406,210 | $406,210 | — | −$399,483 | $6,727 | $6,727 | $145 | Verified |
| 2021 | $482,326 | — | — | −$474,407 | $7,919 | $7,919 | $182 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +33.4% | +13.7% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +8.4% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +199.7% ! | -24.7% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -14.9% | 1.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | -15.8% | -15.1% | 1.7% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 1.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +152.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +33.4% | +43.5% | +41.4% | +199.7% | 2024 | -15.8% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.3% | 1.0% | — | 1.7% | 2022 | 0.3% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$93 | $123 | ~$105,631 | $182 | 2021 | $85 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 200% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,297,871 | ~$2,297,871 | ~2.2085% | ~$50,748 | +41.4% |
| 2028 | ~$3,249,680 | ~$3,249,680 | ~2.1468% | ~$69,764 | +100.0% |
| 2029 | ~$4,595,742 | ~$4,595,742 | ~2.0851% | ~$95,825 | +182.8% |
| 2030 | ~$6,499,360 | ~$6,499,360 | ~2.0234% | ~$131,507 | +300.0% |
| 2031 | ~$9,191,483 | ~$9,191,483 | ~1.9617% | ~$180,309 | +465.7% |
| 2027 | ~$2,265,374 | ~$2,265,374 | ~2.2702% | ~$51,428 | +39.4% |
| 2028 | ~$3,158,415 | ~$3,158,415 | ~2.2702% | ~$71,702 | +94.4% |
| 2029 | ~$4,403,505 | ~$4,403,505 | ~2.2702% | ~$99,968 | +171.0% |
| 2030 | ~$6,139,427 | ~$6,139,427 | ~2.2702% | ~$139,376 | +277.8% |
| 2031 | ~$8,559,672 | ~$8,559,672 | ~2.2702% | ~$194,320 | +426.8% |
| 2027 | ~$2,330,368 | ~$2,330,368 | ~2.1776% | ~$50,747 | +43.4% |
| 2028 | ~$3,342,245 | ~$3,342,245 | ~2.0851% | ~$69,689 | +105.7% |
| 2029 | ~$4,793,493 | ~$4,793,493 | ~1.9925% | ~$95,512 | +195.0% |
| 2030 | ~$6,874,892 | ~$6,874,892 | ~1.9000% | ~$130,623 | +323.1% |
| 2031 | ~$9,860,064 | ~$9,860,064 | ~1.8074% | ~$178,215 | +506.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,217,614 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +117% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,217,614 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,217,614 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $406,210 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $406,210 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $482,326 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |