4937 HAZELNUT LN TX 78617
| Owner | ORTIZ HENRY GERARDO JUAREZ |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0326431011 |
| Short ID | 587080 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 5,533 SF |
| Acres | 0.127 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 31 BLK C LEXINGTON PARKE SEC 1 |
| Neighborhood | G0340 |
| Land | $12,944 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $12,944 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $12,944 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $12,944 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$3,944 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $9,000 |
| Taxable Value | $9,000 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +72.6% from $7,500 (2021) to $12,944 (2025), a CAGR of 14.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.0702% in 2025 (+0.0420% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $186. Del Valle ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($9,000) is $3,944 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($12,944 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $12,944, this parcel sits in the bottom quartile (<25th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +111.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $13,142,282 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $231,527. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $85.40 | $85.40 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $47.16 | $47.16 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $33.83 | $33.83 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $10.62 | $10.62 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $9.31 | $9.31 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.3170% | 2.1629% | 1.9525% | 2.0282% | 2.0702% | +0.0420% | $186.32 | $186.32 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 0.9489% | $85.40 | 45.8% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $47.16 | 25.3% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $33.83 | 18.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $10.62 | 5.7% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $9.31 | 5.0% |
| Total | 2.0702% | $186.32 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $313,954 | $12,944 | +2325.5% |
| Assessed Value | $313,954 | $9,000 | +3388.4% |
| Land Value | $51,777 | $12,944 | +300.0% |
| Improvement Value | $262,177 | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $313,954 | $9,000 | +3388.4% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$6,499
Estimated
|
~$186
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $313,954 | $51,777 | $262,177 | — | $313,954 | $313,954 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $12,944 | $12,944 | — | −$3,944 | $9,000 | $9,000 | ~$186 | Partial |
| 2024 | $7,500 | $7,500 | — | — | $7,500 | $7,500 | $152 | Verified |
| 2023 | $7,500 | $7,500 | — | — | $7,500 | $7,500 | $146 | Verified |
| 2022 | $7,500 | $7,500 | — | — | $7,500 | $7,500 | $162 | Verified |
| 2021 | $7,500 | $7,500 | — | — | $7,500 | $7,500 | $174 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +2325.5% ! | +3388.4% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +72.6% | +20.0% | 69.5% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +72.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +2325.5% | +479.6% | +111.0% | +2325.5% | 2026 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 94.9% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 69.5% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.4400% | 1.4400% | — | 1.4400% | 2025 | 1.4400% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$186 | $164 | ~$88,246 | $186 | 2025 | $146 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 2325% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$662,563 | ~$662,563 | ~2.0085% | ~$13,307 | +111.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,398,260 | ~$1,398,260 | ~1.9468% | ~$27,221 | +345.4% |
| 2029 | ~$2,950,862 | ~$2,950,862 | ~1.8851% | ~$55,626 | +839.9% |
| 2030 | ~$6,227,444 | ~$6,227,444 | ~1.8234% | ~$113,551 | +1883.6% |
| 2031 | ~$13,142,282 | ~$13,142,282 | ~1.7617% | ~$231,527 | +4086.1% |
| 2027 | ~$656,284 | ~$656,284 | ~2.0702% | ~$13,586 | +109.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,371,883 | ~$1,371,883 | ~2.0702% | ~$28,401 | +337.0% |
| 2029 | ~$2,867,759 | ~$2,867,759 | ~2.0702% | ~$59,368 | +813.4% |
| 2030 | ~$5,994,710 | ~$5,994,710 | ~2.0702% | ~$124,102 | +1809.4% |
| 2031 | ~$12,531,230 | ~$12,531,230 | ~2.0702% | ~$259,420 | +3891.4% |
| 2027 | ~$668,842 | ~$668,842 | ~1.9776% | ~$13,227 | +113.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,424,888 | ~$1,424,888 | ~1.8851% | ~$26,860 | +353.9% |
| 2029 | ~$3,035,555 | ~$3,035,555 | ~1.7925% | ~$54,414 | +866.9% |
| 2030 | ~$6,466,890 | ~$6,466,890 | ~1.7000% | ~$109,937 | +1959.8% |
| 2031 | ~$13,776,942 | ~$13,776,942 | ~1.6074% | ~$221,457 | +4288.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $12,944 places it in the bottom 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — -85% below the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $12,944 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $7,500 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $7,500 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $7,500 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $7,500 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |