8209 MARIGNY WAY 78744
| Owner | DYKES MATTHEW & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0336080914 |
| Short ID | 953331 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 5,700 SF |
| Acres | 0.131 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 2 BLK O COLTON BLUFF PHS 3 |
| Neighborhood | H0850 |
| Land | $31,932 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $31,932 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $25,546 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $25,546 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $25,546 |
| Taxable Value | $25,546 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +70.3% from $15,000 (2022) to $25,546 (2025), a CAGR of 19.4% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +53.5%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.1213% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $286. City of Austin is the largest single contributor, at 46.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 125% of market value ($31,932 land vs $0 improvements), about $6/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $25,546, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +138.3% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $37,112,420 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $8,790. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $116.48 | $116.48 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $83.55 | $83.55 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $26.24 | $26.24 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $23.06 | $23.06 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.1150% | 0.9783% | 0.9497% | 1.0313% | 1.1213% | +0.0900% | $249.33 | $249.33 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $116.48 | 46.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $83.55 | 33.5% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $26.24 | 10.5% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $23.06 | 9.2% |
| Total | 1.1213% | $249.33 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $483,372 | $25,546 | +1792.2% |
| Assessed Value | $483,372 | $25,546 | +1792.2% |
| Land Value | $31,932 | $31,932 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $451,440 | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $483,372 | $25,546 | +1792.2% |
| Exemptions | HS | H | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$5,420
Estimated
|
~$249
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $483,372 | $31,932 | $451,440 | — | $483,372 | $483,372 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $25,546 | $31,932 | — | — | $25,546 | $25,546 | ~$249 | Partial |
| 2024 | $24,000 | $30,000 | — | — | $24,000 | $24,000 | $487 | Verified |
| 2023 | $24,000 | $30,000 | — | — | $24,000 | $24,000 | $469 | Verified |
| 2022 | $15,000 | $15,000 | — | — | $15,000 | $15,000 | $324 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +1792.2% ! | +1792.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +6.4% | +6.4% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +60.0% | +60.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +70.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +1792.2% | +464.7% | +138.3% | +1792.2% | 2026 | +0.0% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.9800% | 0.9800% | — | 0.9800% | 2025 | 0.9800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$249 | $382 | ~$7,312 | $487 | 2024 | $249 | 2025 |
Market value changed by 1792% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,151,673 | ~$531,709 | ~1.1229% | ~$5,970 | +138.3% |
| 2028 | ~$2,743,953 | ~$584,880 | ~1.1244% | ~$6,577 | +467.7% |
| 2029 | ~$6,537,688 | ~$643,368 | ~1.1260% | ~$7,244 | +1252.5% |
| 2030 | ~$15,576,566 | ~$707,705 | ~1.1276% | ~$7,980 | +3122.5% |
| 2031 | ~$37,112,420 | ~$778,475 | ~1.1292% | ~$8,790 | +7577.8% |
| 2027 | ~$1,142,005 | ~$531,709 | ~1.1213% | ~$5,962 | +136.3% |
| 2028 | ~$2,698,079 | ~$584,880 | ~1.1213% | ~$6,558 | +458.2% |
| 2029 | ~$6,374,429 | ~$643,368 | ~1.1213% | ~$7,214 | +1218.7% |
| 2030 | ~$15,060,100 | ~$707,705 | ~1.1213% | ~$7,935 | +3015.6% |
| 2031 | ~$35,580,696 | ~$778,475 | ~1.1213% | ~$8,729 | +7260.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,161,340 | ~$531,709 | ~1.1237% | ~$5,975 | +140.3% |
| 2028 | ~$2,790,213 | ~$584,880 | ~1.1260% | ~$6,586 | +477.2% |
| 2029 | ~$6,703,711 | ~$643,368 | ~1.1284% | ~$7,260 | +1286.9% |
| 2030 | ~$16,106,203 | ~$707,705 | ~1.1307% | ~$8,002 | +3232.1% |
| 2031 | ~$38,696,448 | ~$778,475 | ~1.1331% | ~$8,821 | +7905.5% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $25,546 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — -70% below the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $25,546 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↓ Below median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $24,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $24,000 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $15,000 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↓ Below median | +100.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |