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DESERT ORCHID DR 78610

Travis County, TX · Land / Vacant Appraisal: 2025 Certified Billing: 2025 Partial 2021–24 billing ✓
2025 Certified
Market Value
$51,056
2025 Verified
Taxable Value
$51,056
2025 Verified
Total Tax
~$967
2025 Partial
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
1.9000%
2025 Tax ÷ 2025 Market Value Partial
2026 Preliminary
Market Value
$320,047
+526.9% 2025 → 2026 Preliminary
Taxable Value
$310,047
2026 Preliminary (3% below market)
Est. 2026 Total Tax
~$6,102
2026 Estimated ⓘ
Est. 2026 Effective Tax Rate
1.9066%
Est. 2026 Tax ÷ 2026 Market Value Estimated
Overview History Projection Position
2026 Property Tax Calendar ◷ Today: July 23, 2026
Valuation Date
Jan 1
Notices Mailed
Apr 15
Protest Deadline
May 15
Rates Adopted
Sep 1
Bills Mailed
Oct 1
Payment Due
Jan 31
This parcel's 2026 values are still Preliminary as of today.
Statutory Travis County annual property-tax calendar — Tax Code §23.01 (valuation), §41.44 (protest deadline); see TCAD's Property Tax System ↗ and the Travis County Tax Office's Truth in Taxation Summary ↗ for full citations (also on the Info page). "Notices Mailed" and "Protest Deadline" show the general statutory window — this parcel's own notice-mailed date isn't in Parcelytics' dataset, so it isn't shown as if it were.
Property Info
Owner CARDON CHRISTIAN & HUNTER MERRILL
Parcel ID 0369101014
Short ID 985456
Type Real
Use Code 01 Single-Family Residence
Valuation Cost
Improvement SF —
Land SF 6,784 SF
Acres 0.156
Year Built —
Legal STALLION RUN UNIT 3 BLK 4 LOT 87
Neighborhood H1501
View this property on TCAD ↗
Current Values 2025 Certified
Land$63,820
Special Use Land MarketNot Available
Total Land $63,820
Improvement—
Total Improvement —
Market$51,056
Special Use Exclusion (−)Not Available
Appraised$51,056
Value Limitation Adjustment (−)—
Net Appraised (assessed) $51,056
Taxable Value $51,056
Build-up from 2025 TCAD certified values. Land and Improvement are shown as single totals — Parcelytics' loaders capture one aggregate value per year, not TCAD's Homesite / Non-Homesite split. Special Use Land Market and Special Use Exclusion (agricultural/productivity valuation) are not in the current dataset.
Satellite View Imagery: Esri
Satellite image not available
We couldn't locate this property on the map — this can happen for parcels whose address our geocoder can't confidently match.
Investor Insight Report

Appreciation: Market value has risen +70.2% from $30,000 (2024) to $51,056 (2025), a CAGR of 70.2% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +27.9%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.

Tax Burden: The combined rate across 7 taxing entities is 1.9680% in 2025 (+0.0755% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,005. Travis County MUD #26 is the largest single contributor, at 47.5% of the total 2025 levy.

Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.

Investment Snapshot — 2025 certified basis
Building (Main)
—
Gross Building
—
Land
6,784 SF
0.156 ac
Value / Bldg SF
—
all-in (incl. land)
Land $/SF
$9
land value only
Land Value Share
125%
Year Built
—
Eff. Tax Rate
1.900%
total tax ÷ market value
Est. Annual Tax ⓘ
$1,005
2025 taxable × rate

Value Composition: Land carries 125% of market value ($63,820 land vs $0 improvements), about $9/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.

Submarket Position: At $51,056, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.

Forward Outlook: Holding the +226.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $118,972,072 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $11,406. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.

No delinquent taxes on record.

Property Tax & County News Travis County · live feed
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Headlines via Google News for “Travis County property tax” / Travis Central Appraisal District. Dates and sources as published; links open the original source in a new tab. Updated hourly.
Post-Acquisition Tax Estimate Estimate · Not a prediction
Property: · 0.156 ac lot
$

Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.

Rate Environment
Historical Tax Rates by Entity (Travis County)
Entity 2021 Rate 2022 Rate 2023 Rate 2024 Rate 2025 Rate YoY (2024→25) Amt Due Amt Paid Balance
U10F Travis County MUD #26 0.6100% 0.7725% 0.9000% 0.9000% 0.9000% +0.0000% $459.50 $459.50 Paid
TCO Travis County 0.3574% 0.3182% 0.3047% 0.3444% 0.3758% +0.0314% $166.13 $166.13 Paid
CMR City of Mustang Ridge 0.3882% 0.3112% 0.2652% 0.2388% 0.2708% +0.0320% $138.25 $138.25 Paid
THD Travis Central Health 0.1118% 0.0987% 0.1007% 0.1080% 0.1180% +0.0101% $52.17 $52.17 Paid
E15 Travis County ESD # 15 0.1000% 0.0949% 0.1000% 0.1000% 0.1000% +0.0000% $51.06 $51.06 Paid
E11 Travis County ESD # 11 0.1000% 0.0949% 0.1000% 0.1000% 0.1000% +0.0000% $51.06 $51.06 Paid
ACT Austin Community College 0.1048% 0.0987% 0.0986% 0.1013% 0.1034% +0.0021% $49.32 $49.32 Paid
Combined Rate 1.7722% 1.7891% 1.8691% 1.8925% 1.9680% +0.0755% $967.49 $967.49 Paid
Rate columns (2021–2025) from Travis County tax rate records. 2025 billing from Travis County Tax Office open data. — = entity not in rate records for that year.
2025 Tax Burden — Entity Split
U10F
47.5% $460
TCO
17.2% $166
CMR
14.3% $138
THD
5.4% $52
E15
5.3% $51
E11
5.3% $51
ACT
5.1% $49
Total: $967
2025 billing by taxing entity, ranked by share of total. From Travis County Tax Office open data.
2025 Tax by Entity — Rate, Amount & Share
Entity Tax Rate Amount Due Share
U10F Travis County MUD #26 0.9000% $459.50 47.5%
TCO Travis County 0.3758% $166.13 17.2%
CMR City of Mustang Ridge 0.2708% $138.25 14.3%
THD Travis Central Health 0.1180% $52.17 5.4%
E15 Travis County ESD # 15 0.1000% $51.06 5.3%
E11 Travis County ESD # 11 0.1000% $51.06 5.3%
ACT Austin Community College 0.1034% $49.32 5.1%
Total 1.9680% $967.49 100.0%
Value History 2021–2026
Current & Preliminary Values
2026 Preliminary Preliminary 2025 Certified Certified Change 2025→2026
Market Value $320,047 $51,056 +526.9%
Assessed Value $320,047 $51,056 +526.9%
Land Value $63,820 $63,820 +0.0%
Improvement Value $256,227 — —
Taxable Value $310,047 $51,056 +507.3%
Exemptions HS,DV3 H
Total Tax 2026 = estimate
~$6,102
Estimated
~$967
Partial
 ⓘ
2026 from June 9, 2026 TCAD preliminary export — subject to change; certified July 25, 2026. No 2026 tax billing until post-certification. Estimated 2026 Total Tax = 2026 preliminary taxable value × 2025 blended entity rates. Actual 2026 tax set after certification and entity budget adoption.
Value History (2021–2026)
Year Market Value Land Value Imprv Value Value Limitation Adj (−) Net Appraised (Assessed) Taxable Value Total Tax Source
2026 Pre $320,047 $63,820 $256,227 — $320,047 $310,047 Not yet — post-cert Preliminary
2025 $51,056 $63,820 — — $51,056 $51,056 ~$967 Partial
2024 $30,000 $30,000 — — $30,000 $30,000 $867 Verified
Data sources: 2025 — TCAD Certified Appraisal Export (Appraisal: Certified — this describes property value data, not tax billing; see each row's Source column above for billing confidence). 2021–2024 values — Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR). 2021–2024 tax — sourced directly from Travis County Tax Office billing records (Verified); this is a comprehensive countywide billing load, not a rate-based estimate or portal receipt. See the "2021–24 billing" badge above for this specific parcel's coverage. 2026 — TCAD Preliminary Export, June 9, 2026 (Preliminary — subject to change until July 25, 2026 certification). The totals above are what's Verified for 2021–2024. This page's per-entity billing breakdown (the "2025 Tax by Entity" table) is shown for 2025 only. ! = assessed value exceeds market value in source data — known AJR data quality issue. "Value Limitation Adj" is the same homestead-cap deduction shown in the Current Values panel, computed per year as Market − Assessed. TCAD's own page also shows "Special Use Land Market" and "Special Use Exclusion" — not in Parcelytics' dataset, so they're omitted here rather than shown as $0 (see Current Values panel note).
Value Trend
Market Value vs. Taxable Value gap up to 3.1%
The gap between these two lines is a homestead cap or exemption reducing what's actually taxed below the certified market value -- not a data error. Same market_value / taxable_value figures as the Value History table above.
Year-over-Year Growth & Assessment Metrics
Year MktVal YoY Assessed YoY Asmt Ratio Eff. Tax Rate Coverage
2026 +526.9% ! +526.9% ~100% Not available Partial
2025 +70.2% +70.2% ~100% Not available Partial
2024 base year — ~100% No billing data Verified
Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +70.2%
Verified = 2025 data with real billing. Partial = 2021–2024 rows in this table reflect AJR appraisal values; billing fields in this table aren't populated for those years (see the Value & Tax History table above for verified 2021–2024 billing). YoY = year-over-year percent change. Assessment ratio = assessed ÷ market.
Annual Trends Tax billing 2025 only
12 Month Hist. Avg Forecast Avg Peak When Trough When
Market Value Growth +526.9% +298.6% +226.6% +526.9% 2026 +70.2% 2025
Assessment Ratio 100.0% 100.0% — 100.0% 2024 100.0% 2024
Effective Tax Rate (2025) 1.9000% 1.9000% — 1.9000% 2025 1.9000% 2025
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed 		$967 $917 ~$9,131 $967 2025 $867 2024
12 Month = most recent available year-over-year figure (2025→2026 preliminary if loaded, else 2024→2025). Hist. Avg = average across available AJR 2021–2026 data. Forecast Avg = average of 5-year projection (estimated, not a recorded value). Peak / Trough = highest / lowest observed in the dataset; "When" = year it occurred.
Risk Indicators
Risk Indicators
!
Large Value Jump

Market value changed by 527% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.

6-Year Projection Estimates Only
5-Year Tax Projection — Scenario Bands ⓘ Estimates Only
Show illustrative scenario:
Year ~Mkt Value ~Assessed ~Rate ~Ann. Tax Value Δ
2027 ~$1,045,346 ~$352,052 ~2.0170% ~$7,101 +226.6%
2028 ~$3,414,336 ~$387,257 ~2.0660% ~$8,001 +966.8%
2029 ~$11,151,994 ~$425,983 ~2.1149% ~$9,009 +3384.5%
2030 ~$36,424,934 ~$468,581 ~2.1639% ~$10,140 +11281.1%
2031 ~$118,972,072 ~$515,439 ~2.2129% ~$11,406 +37073.3%
These are illustrative scenarios, not statistical confidence ranges. ¹ Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026. Low: CAGR −2 pp, rates flat. Base: historical CAGR + rate trend (avg YoY change, 2021–2025). High: CAGR +2 pp, rates trend ×1.5. Actual values set by TCAD appraisal and taxing budgets each year.
Formula (per year i = 1–5 years ahead of the baseline year above): Market Value = Base Market × (1 + CAGR)i. Assessed Value = min(Base Assessed × 1.10i, Market Value) if this parcel carries a homestead cap, else = Market Value. Rate = max(0%, Current Combined Rate + Avg. Annual Rate Change × band multiplier × i). Est. Tax = Assessed Value × Rate ÷ 100. Band multiplier: Low = 0 (flat rates), Base = 1.0, High = 1.5. CAGR: Base = observed value CAGR over the baseline window; Low = max(−5%, Base − 2 pp); High = Base + 2 pp.
Submarket Position
Where This Property Stands — Land/Vacant Benchmark

In 2025, this property's market value of $51,056 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — -40% below the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.

Year This Property Bottom 25% Median Top 25% Position Group YoY
2025 $51,056 $24,862 $84,423 $362,804 ↓ Below median +2.1%
2024 $30,000 $23,000 $66,000 $328,966 ↓ Below median +0.0%
Benchmark figures for the Land/Vacant group. Bottom 25% / Median / Top 25% = 25th, 50th, 75th percentiles of county market values. Use Code filter runs a live query — count shown reflects actual records for the selected group. 2021–2024 values from the Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) — TCAD's own certified data (Appraisal: Verified, unless a specific year's assessed value exceeds market value, in which case that year shows Partial; see the Value & Tax History table above for any flagged years). 2025 from Certified Export (Appraisal: Certified).
Documents & Sources
Source What it provides Coverage for this parcel Confidence
TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions 2025 Certified
Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) Prior-year market and taxable value 2024 Verified
TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) Preliminary
Travis County Rates History ↗ Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities 1990–2025 Verified
TaxCurOpenData Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity 2025 Partial
PIR bulk billing export Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office 2024 Verified
Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) Aerial view of the parcel Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address —
Every row above is a real source that fed this specific parcel's page — not a static list. Sources that don't apply to this parcel (e.g. no delinquency on file) are simply omitted rather than shown empty. See the About page for the site-wide summary of these same sources.