NIJINSKY DR 78610
| Owner | FERGUSON SHANELLEE MARIE |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0369130109 |
| Short ID | 970895 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 1,595 SF |
| Land SF | 4,674 SF |
| Acres | 0.107 |
| Year Built | 2023 |
| Legal | DEL CABALLO UNIT 1 BLK 1 LOT 7 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $62,389 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $62,389 |
| Improvement | $235,288 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $235,288 |
| Market | $297,677 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $297,677 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $297,677 |
| Taxable Value | $297,677 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +396.1% from $60,000 (2023) to $297,677 (2025), a CAGR of 122.7% over 2 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +18.1%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 8 taxing entities is 2.9169% in 2025 (+0.0275% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $8,683. Travis County MUD #26 is the largest single contributor, at 38.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 21% of market value ($62,389 land vs $235,288 improvements), about $13/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~3 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $297,677, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +70.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $4,326,127 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $13,677. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
6 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,595 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 1,595 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 380 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 163 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U10F Travis County MUD #26 | 0.6100% | 0.7725% | 0.9000% | 0.9000% | 0.9000% | +0.0000% | $2,679.09 | $2,679.09 | Paid |
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $1,496.20 | $1,496.20 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $895.04 | $895.04 | Paid |
| CMR City of Mustang Ridge | 0.3882% | 0.3112% | 0.2652% | 0.2388% | 0.2708% | +0.0320% | $806.03 | $806.03 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $302.63 | $302.63 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $297.68 | $297.68 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $297.68 | $297.68 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $281.06 | $281.06 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.9742% | 2.9737% | 2.8719% | 2.8894% | 2.9169% | +0.0275% | $7,055.41 | $7,055.41 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| U10F Travis County MUD #26 | 0.9000% | $2,679.09 | 38.0% |
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 0.9489% | $1,496.20 | 21.2% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $895.04 | 12.7% |
| CMR City of Mustang Ridge | 0.2708% | $806.03 | 11.4% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $302.63 | 4.3% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $297.68 | 4.2% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $297.68 | 4.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $281.06 | 4.0% |
| Total | 2.9169% | $7,055.41 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $298,457 | $297,677 | +0.3% |
| Assessed Value | $298,457 | $297,677 | +0.3% |
| Land Value | $62,389 | $62,389 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $236,068 | $235,288 | +0.3% |
| Taxable Value | $298,457 | $297,677 | +0.3% |
| Exemptions | HS | H | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$8,706
Estimated
|
~$7,055
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $298,457 | $62,389 | $236,068 | — | $298,457 | $298,457 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $297,677 | $62,389 | $235,288 | — | $297,677 | $297,677 | ~$7,055 | Partial |
| 2024 | $258,122 | $60,000 | $198,122 | — | $258,122 | $258,122 | $6,520 | Verified |
| 2023 | $60,000 | $60,000 | — | — | $60,000 | $60,000 | $1,723 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.3% | +0.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +15.3% | +15.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +330.2% ! | +330.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +396.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.3% | +115.3% | +70.7% | +330.2% | 2024 | +0.3% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2023 | 100.0% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.3700% | 2.3700% | — | 2.3700% | 2025 | 2.3700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$7,055 | $5,099 | ~$11,510 | $7,055 | 2025 | $1,723 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 330% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$509,478 | ~$328,303 | ~2.9026% | ~$9,529 | +70.7% |
| 2028 | ~$869,699 | ~$361,133 | ~2.8883% | ~$10,431 | +191.4% |
| 2029 | ~$1,484,610 | ~$397,246 | ~2.8740% | ~$11,417 | +397.4% |
| 2030 | ~$2,534,287 | ~$436,971 | ~2.8597% | ~$12,496 | +749.1% |
| 2031 | ~$4,326,127 | ~$480,668 | ~2.8454% | ~$13,677 | +1349.5% |
| 2027 | ~$503,509 | ~$328,303 | ~2.9169% | ~$9,576 | +68.7% |
| 2028 | ~$849,439 | ~$361,133 | ~2.9169% | ~$10,534 | +184.6% |
| 2029 | ~$1,433,037 | ~$397,246 | ~2.9169% | ~$11,587 | +380.1% |
| 2030 | ~$2,417,589 | ~$436,971 | ~2.9169% | ~$12,746 | +710.0% |
| 2031 | ~$4,078,568 | ~$480,668 | ~2.9169% | ~$14,021 | +1266.6% |
| 2027 | ~$515,447 | ~$328,303 | ~2.8955% | ~$9,506 | +72.7% |
| 2028 | ~$890,197 | ~$361,133 | ~2.8740% | ~$10,379 | +198.3% |
| 2029 | ~$1,537,405 | ~$397,246 | ~2.8526% | ~$11,332 | +415.1% |
| 2030 | ~$2,655,159 | ~$436,971 | ~2.8311% | ~$12,371 | +789.6% |
| 2031 | ~$4,585,564 | ~$480,668 | ~2.8096% | ~$13,505 | +1436.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $297,677 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $297,677 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $258,122 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $60,000 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2023–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |