12909 JOHNSON BAR 78610
| Owner | RUBIN SUSAN WILSON & MICHAEL STUART |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0455050102 |
| Short ID | 954704 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,584 SF |
| Land SF | 7,549 SF |
| Acres | 0.173 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | TURNERS CROSSING NORTH PHS 1 BLK N LOT 5 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $64,338 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $64,338 |
| Improvement | $380,399 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $380,399 |
| Market | $444,737 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $444,737 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $444,737 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $444,737 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +826.5% from $48,000 (2022) to $444,737 (2025), a CAGR of 110.0% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 0.7973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $3,546. P10L is the largest single contributor, at 40.3% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 14% of market value ($64,338 land vs $380,399 improvements), about $9/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +72.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $6,326,238 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,592. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,584 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,590 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 994 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 576 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 214 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 3 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2,096.06 | $2,096.06 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,337.22 | $1,337.22 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $454.69 | $454.69 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $444.74 | $444.74 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $444.74 | $444.74 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $419.91 | $419.91 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.7740% | 0.7054% | 0.7039% | 0.7537% | 0.7973% | +0.0436% | $5,197.36 | $5,197.36 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | $2,096.06 | 40.3% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,337.22 | 25.7% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $454.69 | 8.7% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $444.74 | 8.6% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $444.74 | 8.6% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $419.91 | 8.1% |
| Total | 0.7973% 5 of 6 | $5,197.36 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $420,166 | $444,737 | -5.5% |
| Assessed Value | $420,166 | $444,737 | -5.5% |
| Land Value | $64,338 | $64,338 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $355,828 | $380,399 | -6.5% |
| Taxable Value | $420,166 | $444,737 | -5.5% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$3,350
Estimated
|
~$5,197
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $420,166 | $64,338 | $355,828 | — | $420,166 | $420,166 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $444,737 | $64,338 | $380,399 | — | $444,737 | $444,737 | ~$5,197 | Partial |
| 2024 | $492,990 | $60,000 | $432,990 | — | $492,990 | $411,633 | $5,483 | Verified |
| 2023 | $397,042 | $60,000 | $337,042 | — | $397,042 | $397,042 | $5,044 | Verified |
| 2022 | $48,000 | $60,000 | — | — | $48,000 | $48,000 | $2,563 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.5% | -5.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -9.8% | -9.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +24.2% | +24.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +727.2% ! | +727.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +826.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -5.5% | +184.0% | +72.0% | +727.2% | 2023 | -9.8% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.1700% | 1.1700% | — | 1.1700% | 2025 | 1.1700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$5,197 | $4,572 | ~$4,604 | $5,483 | 2024 | $2,563 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 727% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$722,713 | ~$462,183 | ~0.8031% | ~$3,712 | +72.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,243,113 | ~$508,401 | ~0.8089% | ~$4,113 | +195.9% |
| 2029 | ~$2,138,236 | ~$559,241 | ~0.8147% | ~$4,556 | +408.9% |
| 2030 | ~$3,677,906 | ~$615,165 | ~0.8206% | ~$5,048 | +775.3% |
| 2031 | ~$6,326,238 | ~$676,682 | ~0.8264% | ~$5,592 | +1405.7% |
| 2027 | ~$714,310 | ~$462,183 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,685 | +70.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,214,373 | ~$508,401 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,053 | +189.0% |
| 2029 | ~$2,064,513 | ~$559,241 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,459 | +391.4% |
| 2030 | ~$3,509,807 | ~$615,165 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,905 | +735.3% |
| 2031 | ~$5,966,901 | ~$676,682 | ~0.7973% | ~$5,395 | +1320.1% |
| 2027 | ~$731,116 | ~$462,183 | ~0.8060% | ~$3,725 | +74.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,272,190 | ~$508,401 | ~0.8147% | ~$4,142 | +202.8% |
| 2029 | ~$2,213,694 | ~$559,241 | ~0.8235% | ~$4,605 | +426.9% |
| 2030 | ~$3,851,971 | ~$615,165 | ~0.8322% | ~$5,119 | +816.8% |
| 2031 | ~$6,702,681 | ~$676,682 | ~0.8409% | ~$5,690 | +1495.2% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |