6416 ROUNDED PEBBLE LN 78610
| Owner | NGUYEN LOAN THUY & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0455070410 |
| Short ID | 954539 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 1,796 SF |
| Land SF | 5,196 SF |
| Acres | 0.119 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | TURNERS CROSSING NORTH PHS 1 BLK L LOT 19 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $62,743 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $62,743 |
| Improvement | $284,264 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $284,264 |
| Market | $347,007 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $347,007 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $347,007 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $347,007 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +622.9% from $48,000 (2022) to $347,007 (2025), a CAGR of 93.4% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 0.7973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,767. P10L is the largest single contributor, at 46.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 18% of market value ($62,743 land vs $284,264 improvements), about $12/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +64.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $4,302,351 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $4,711. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
6 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,796 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 1,796 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 361 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 168 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2,096.06 | $2,096.06 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,043.37 | $1,043.37 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $353.64 | $353.64 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $347.01 | $347.01 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $347.01 | $347.01 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $327.64 | $327.64 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.7740% | 0.7054% | 0.7039% | 0.7537% | 0.7973% | +0.0436% | $4,514.73 | $4,514.73 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | $2,096.06 | 46.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,043.37 | 23.1% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $353.64 | 7.8% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $347.01 | 7.7% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $347.01 | 7.7% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $327.64 | 7.3% |
| Total | 0.7973% 5 of 6 | $4,514.73 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $354,000 | $347,007 | +2.0% |
| Assessed Value | $354,000 | $347,007 | +2.0% |
| Land Value | $62,743 | $62,743 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $291,257 | $284,264 | +2.5% |
| Taxable Value | $354,000 | $347,007 | +2.0% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,822
Estimated
|
~$4,515
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $354,000 | $62,743 | $291,257 | — | $354,000 | $354,000 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $347,007 | $62,743 | $284,264 | — | $347,007 | $347,007 | ~$4,515 | Partial |
| 2024 | $380,899 | $60,000 | $320,899 | — | $380,899 | $304,719 | $4,660 | Verified |
| 2023 | $103,301 | $60,000 | $43,301 | — | $103,301 | $103,301 | $2,976 | Verified |
| 2022 | $48,000 | $60,000 | — | — | $48,000 | $48,000 | $2,563 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +2.0% | +2.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -8.9% | -8.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +268.7% ! | +268.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +115.2% ! | +115.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +622.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +2.0% | +94.2% | +64.8% | +268.7% | 2024 | -8.9% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.3000% | 1.3000% | — | 1.3000% | 2025 | 1.3000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$4,515 | $3,678 | ~$3,879 | $4,660 | 2024 | $2,563 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 115% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$583,370 | ~$389,400 | ~0.8031% | ~$3,127 | +64.8% |
| 2028 | ~$961,356 | ~$428,340 | ~0.8089% | ~$3,465 | +171.6% |
| 2029 | ~$1,584,254 | ~$471,174 | ~0.8147% | ~$3,839 | +347.5% |
| 2030 | ~$2,610,750 | ~$518,291 | ~0.8206% | ~$4,253 | +637.5% |
| 2031 | ~$4,302,351 | ~$570,121 | ~0.8264% | ~$4,711 | +1115.4% |
| 2027 | ~$576,290 | ~$389,400 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,105 | +62.8% |
| 2028 | ~$938,163 | ~$428,340 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,415 | +165.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,527,270 | ~$471,174 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,757 | +331.4% |
| 2030 | ~$2,486,298 | ~$518,291 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,132 | +602.3% |
| 2031 | ~$4,047,536 | ~$570,121 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,545 | +1043.4% |
| 2027 | ~$590,450 | ~$389,400 | ~0.8060% | ~$3,139 | +66.8% |
| 2028 | ~$984,832 | ~$428,340 | ~0.8147% | ~$3,490 | +178.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,642,638 | ~$471,174 | ~0.8235% | ~$3,880 | +364.0% |
| 2030 | ~$2,739,816 | ~$518,291 | ~0.8322% | ~$4,313 | +674.0% |
| 2031 | ~$4,569,840 | ~$570,121 | ~0.8409% | ~$4,794 | +1190.9% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |