12905 JOHNSON BAR 78610
| Owner | TRAN THAO DUC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0455070714 |
| Short ID | 954700 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 1,754 SF |
| Land SF | 5,791 SF |
| Acres | 0.133 |
| Year Built | 2023 |
| Legal | TURNERS CROSSING NORTH PHS 1 BLK N LOT 3 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $63,146 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $63,146 |
| Improvement | $293,775 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $293,775 |
| Market | $356,921 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $356,921 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $356,921 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $356,921 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +643.6% from $48,000 (2022) to $356,921 (2025), a CAGR of 95.2% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 0.7973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,846. P10L is the largest single contributor, at 45.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 18% of market value ($63,146 land vs $293,775 improvements), about $11/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~3 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +64.3% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $4,194,819 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $4,659. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
6 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,754 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 1,754 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 400 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 216 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2,096.06 | $2,096.06 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,073.18 | $1,073.18 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $363.89 | $363.89 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $356.92 | $356.92 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $356.92 | $356.92 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $337.00 | $337.00 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.7740% | 0.7054% | 0.7039% | 0.7537% | 0.7973% | +0.0436% | $4,583.97 | $4,583.97 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | $2,096.06 | 45.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,073.18 | 23.4% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $363.89 | 7.9% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $356.92 | 7.8% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $356.92 | 7.8% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $337.00 | 7.4% |
| Total | 0.7973% 5 of 6 | $4,583.97 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $350,040 | $356,921 | -1.9% |
| Assessed Value | $350,040 | $356,921 | -1.9% |
| Land Value | $63,146 | $63,146 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $286,894 | $293,775 | -2.3% |
| Taxable Value | $350,040 | $356,921 | -1.9% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,791
Estimated
|
~$4,584
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $350,040 | $63,146 | $286,894 | — | $350,040 | $350,040 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $356,921 | $63,146 | $293,775 | — | $356,921 | $356,921 | ~$4,584 | Partial |
| 2024 | $391,560 | $60,000 | $331,560 | — | $391,560 | $391,560 | $4,736 | Verified |
| 2023 | $60,000 | $60,000 | — | — | $60,000 | $60,000 | $2,672 | Verified |
| 2022 | $48,000 | $60,000 | — | — | $48,000 | $48,000 | $2,563 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.9% | -1.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -8.8% | -8.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +552.6% ! | +552.6% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +25.0% | +25.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +643.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -1.9% | +141.7% | +64.3% | +552.6% | 2024 | -8.8% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.2800% | 1.2800% | — | 1.2800% | 2025 | 1.2800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$4,584 | $3,639 | ~$3,836 | $4,736 | 2024 | $2,563 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 553% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$575,224 | ~$385,044 | ~0.8031% | ~$3,092 | +64.3% |
| 2028 | ~$945,270 | ~$423,548 | ~0.8089% | ~$3,426 | +170.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,553,370 | ~$465,903 | ~0.8147% | ~$3,796 | +343.8% |
| 2030 | ~$2,552,667 | ~$512,494 | ~0.8206% | ~$4,205 | +629.3% |
| 2031 | ~$4,194,819 | ~$563,743 | ~0.8264% | ~$4,659 | +1098.4% |
| 2027 | ~$568,223 | ~$385,044 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,070 | +62.3% |
| 2028 | ~$922,401 | ~$423,548 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,377 | +163.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,497,342 | ~$465,903 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,714 | +327.8% |
| 2030 | ~$2,430,647 | ~$512,494 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,086 | +594.4% |
| 2031 | ~$3,945,691 | ~$563,743 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,495 | +1027.2% |
| 2027 | ~$582,225 | ~$385,044 | ~0.8060% | ~$3,103 | +66.3% |
| 2028 | ~$968,419 | ~$423,548 | ~0.8147% | ~$3,451 | +176.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,610,780 | ~$465,903 | ~0.8235% | ~$3,837 | +360.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,679,223 | ~$512,494 | ~0.8322% | ~$4,265 | +665.4% |
| 2031 | ~$4,456,375 | ~$563,743 | ~0.8409% | ~$4,741 | +1173.1% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |