F M RD 1431 TX 78641
| Owner | SHIPMAN GARY LAYNE & MICKY RHEA SHIPMAN & RICKY DALE SHIPMAN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0500380101 |
| Short ID | 513795 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 219,630 SF |
| Acres | 5.042 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 693 SUR 51 SANCHEZ J G ACR 5.0420 [1-D-1] |
| Neighborhood | 1NW3 |
| Land | $1,757,036 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,757,036 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,757,036 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,757,036 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,756,451 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $585 |
| Taxable Value | $585 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +300.0% from $439,259 (2021) to $1,757,036 (2025), a CAGR of 41.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.0442% in 2025 (+0.0406% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $12. Leander ISD is the largest single contributor, at 53.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($585) is $1,756,451 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,757,036 land vs $0 improvements), about $8/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,757,036, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +41.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $9,939,297 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $166,051. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.3370% | 1.2746% | 1.1087% | 1.0869% | 1.0869% | +0.0000% | $6.36 | $6.36 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2.20 | $2.20 | Paid |
| CCP City of Cedar Park | 0.4320% | 0.3900% | 0.3700% | 0.3630% | 0.3600% | -0.0030% | $2.11 | $2.11 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $0.69 | $0.69 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $0.60 | $0.60 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.3430% | 2.1802% | 1.9826% | 2.0036% | 2.0442% | +0.0406% | $11.96 | $11.96 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.0869% | $6.36 | 53.2% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $2.20 | 18.4% |
| CCP City of Cedar Park | 0.3600% | $2.11 | 17.6% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $0.69 | 5.8% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $0.60 | 5.0% |
| Total | 2.0442% | $11.96 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,757,036 | $1,757,036 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $541 | $585 | -7.5% |
| Land Value | $1,757,036 | $1,757,036 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $541 | $585 | -7.5% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,756,495 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$11
Estimated
|
~$12
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,757,036 | $1,757,036 | — | −$1,756,495 | $541 | $541 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,757,036 | $1,757,036 | — | −$1,756,451 | $585 | $585 | ~$12 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,757,036 | $1,757,036 | — | −$1,756,480 | $556 | $556 | $11 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,757,036 | $1,757,036 | — | −$1,756,485 | $551 | $551 | $11 | Verified |
| 2022 | $439,259 | $439,259 | — | −$438,748 | $511 | $511 | $11 | Verified |
| 2021 | $439,259 | — | — | −$438,826 | $433 | $433 | $10 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | -7.5% | 0.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +5.2% | 0.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.9% | 0.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +300.0% ! | +7.8% | 0.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +18.0% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +300.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +60.0% | +41.4% | +300.0% | 2023 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | 0.1% | 2021 | 0.0% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$12 | $11 | ~$98,938 | $12 | 2025 | $10 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 300% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,484,824 | ~$2,484,824 | ~1.9695% | ~$48,938 | +41.4% |
| 2028 | ~$3,514,072 | ~$3,514,072 | ~1.8948% | ~$66,583 | +100.0% |
| 2029 | ~$4,969,648 | ~$4,969,648 | ~1.8201% | ~$90,451 | +182.8% |
| 2030 | ~$7,028,144 | ~$7,028,144 | ~1.7454% | ~$122,666 | +300.0% |
| 2031 | ~$9,939,297 | ~$9,939,297 | ~1.6707% | ~$166,051 | +465.7% |
| 2027 | ~$2,449,683 | ~$2,449,683 | ~2.0442% | ~$50,076 | +39.4% |
| 2028 | ~$3,415,382 | ~$3,415,382 | ~2.0442% | ~$69,816 | +94.4% |
| 2029 | ~$4,761,772 | ~$4,761,772 | ~2.0442% | ~$97,339 | +171.0% |
| 2030 | ~$6,638,927 | ~$6,638,927 | ~2.0442% | ~$135,711 | +277.8% |
| 2031 | ~$9,256,082 | ~$9,256,082 | ~2.0442% | ~$189,210 | +426.8% |
| 2027 | ~$2,519,965 | ~$2,519,965 | ~1.9321% | ~$48,689 | +43.4% |
| 2028 | ~$3,614,168 | ~$3,614,168 | ~1.8201% | ~$65,780 | +105.7% |
| 2029 | ~$5,183,488 | ~$5,183,488 | ~1.7080% | ~$88,534 | +195.0% |
| 2030 | ~$7,434,229 | ~$7,434,229 | ~1.5960% | ~$118,647 | +323.1% |
| 2031 | ~$10,662,273 | ~$10,662,273 | ~1.4839% | ~$158,217 | +506.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,757,036 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 3× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,757,036 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,757,036 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,757,036 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $439,259 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $439,259 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |