COW CREEK RD TX 78654
| Owner | HAILEY TRAVIS T JR & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0517960104 |
| Short ID | 447971 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 2,583 SF |
| Land SF | 2,213,719 SF |
| Acres | 50.820 |
| Year Built | 1997 |
| Legal | ABS 596 SUR 6 PAYNE J C ACR 49.82 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN150 |
| Land | $2,037,755 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,037,755 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $2,037,755 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,037,755 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,032,647 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $5,108 |
| Taxable Value | $5,108 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +116.9% from $939,283 (2021) to $2,037,755 (2025), a CAGR of 21.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6938% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $35. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 54.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($5,108) is $2,032,647 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($2,037,755 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,037,755, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -6.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $822,947 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $61. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,583 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,311 SF | ✓ |
| 301 | BARN SF | 2,075 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 831 SF | ✗ |
| 288 | SHED SF | 700 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 272 SF | ✓ |
| 631 | PORCH CLOS UNFIN | 144 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $19.20 | $19.20 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $6.03 | $6.03 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $5.11 | $5.11 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $5.11 | $5.11 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6692% | 0.5953% | 0.5895% | 0.6434% | 0.6938% | +0.0504% | $35.45 | $35.45 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $19.20 | 54.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $6.03 | 17.0% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $5.11 | 14.4% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $5.11 | 14.4% |
| Total | 0.6938% | $35.45 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,165,456 | $2,037,755 | -42.8% |
| Assessed Value | $5,263 | $5,108 | +3.0% |
| Land Value | $1,165,456 | $2,037,755 | -42.8% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $5,263 | $5,108 | +3.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,160,193 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$37
Estimated
|
~$35
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,165,456 | $1,165,456 | — | −$1,160,193 | $5,263 | $5,263 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,037,755 | $2,037,755 | — | −$2,032,647 | $5,108 | $5,108 | ~$35 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,037,755 | $2,037,755 | — | −$2,033,059 | $4,696 | $4,696 | $1,169 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,539,555 | $1,539,555 | — | −$1,534,823 | $4,732 | $4,732 | $1,009 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,539,555 | $1,539,555 | — | −$1,535,046 | $4,509 | $4,509 | $1,062 | Verified |
| 2021 | $939,283 | — | — | −$935,000 | $4,283 | $4,283 | $1,642 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -42.8% | +3.0% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +8.8% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +32.4% | -0.8% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +4.9% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +63.9% | +5.3% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +116.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -42.8% | +10.7% | -6.7% | +63.9% | 2022 | -42.8% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.5% | 0.4% | — | 0.5% | 2021 | 0.2% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$35 | $983 | ~$50 | $1,642 | 2021 | $35 | 2025 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,087,104 | ~$5,789 | ~0.7000% | ~$41 | -6.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,014,019 | ~$6,368 | ~0.7062% | ~$45 | -13.0% |
| 2029 | ~$945,848 | ~$7,005 | ~0.7123% | ~$50 | -18.8% |
| 2030 | ~$882,260 | ~$7,706 | ~0.7185% | ~$55 | -24.3% |
| 2031 | ~$822,947 | ~$8,476 | ~0.7247% | ~$61 | -29.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,107,183 | ~$5,789 | ~0.6938% | ~$40 | -5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,051,824 | ~$6,368 | ~0.6938% | ~$44 | -9.8% |
| 2029 | ~$999,233 | ~$7,005 | ~0.6938% | ~$49 | -14.3% |
| 2030 | ~$949,271 | ~$7,706 | ~0.6938% | ~$53 | -18.5% |
| 2031 | ~$901,808 | ~$8,476 | ~0.6938% | ~$59 | -22.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,110,413 | ~$5,789 | ~0.7031% | ~$41 | -4.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,057,970 | ~$6,368 | ~0.7123% | ~$45 | -9.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,008,003 | ~$7,005 | ~0.7216% | ~$51 | -13.5% |
| 2030 | ~$960,396 | ~$7,706 | ~0.7308% | ~$56 | -17.6% |
| 2031 | ~$915,038 | ~$8,476 | ~0.7401% | ~$63 | -21.5% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,037,755 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,037,755 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $2,037,755 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,539,555 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,539,555 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $939,283 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |