15909 PALOMINO RANCH DR TX 78641
| Owner | DING MICHAEL P & KANDICE R |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0526600110 |
| Short ID | 814196 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 484,278 SF |
| Acres | 11.117 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | 11.1175 AC OF LOT 4 BLK A PALOMINO RANCH SUBD (1-D-1) (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN145 |
| Land | $650,971 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $650,971 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $650,971 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $650,971 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$649,831 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,140 |
| Taxable Value | $1,140 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +68.8% from $385,569 (2021) to $650,971 (2025), a CAGR of 14.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 1.8841% in 2025 (+0.0525% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $21. Leander ISD is the largest single contributor, at 57.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($1,140) is $649,831 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($650,971 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $650,971, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +1.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $619,839 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $9,921. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.3370% | 1.2746% | 1.1087% | 1.0869% | 1.0869% | +0.0000% | $12.39 | $12.39 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $4.28 | $4.28 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1.35 | $1.35 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $1.18 | $1.18 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1.14 | $1.14 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $1.14 | $1.14 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.1110% | 1.9686% | 1.7968% | 1.8316% | 1.8841% | +0.0525% | $21.48 | $21.48 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.0869% | $12.39 | 57.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $4.28 | 19.9% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1.35 | 6.3% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $1.18 | 5.5% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $1.14 | 5.3% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $1.14 | 5.3% |
| Total | 1.8841% | $21.48 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $586,615 | $650,971 | -9.9% |
| Assessed Value | $1,175 | $1,140 | +3.1% |
| Land Value | $586,615 | $650,971 | -9.9% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,175 | $1,140 | +3.1% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$585,440 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$22
Estimated
|
~$21
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $586,615 | $586,615 | — | −$585,440 | $1,175 | $1,175 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $650,971 | $650,971 | — | −$649,831 | $1,140 | $1,140 | ~$21 | Partial |
| 2024 | $650,971 | $650,971 | — | −$649,923 | $1,048 | $1,048 | $19 | Verified |
| 2023 | $561,323 | $561,323 | — | −$560,267 | $1,056 | $1,056 | $19 | Verified |
| 2022 | $561,323 | $561,323 | — | −$560,317 | $1,006 | $1,006 | $20 | Verified |
| 2021 | $385,569 | — | — | −$384,613 | $956 | $956 | $19 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -9.9% | +3.1% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +8.8% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +16.0% | -0.8% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +5.0% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +45.6% | +5.2% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +68.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -9.9% | +10.3% | +1.1% | +45.6% | 2022 | -9.9% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.2% | 0.2% | — | 0.2% | 2021 | 0.2% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$21 | $20 | ~$10,386 | $21 | 2025 | $19 | 2023 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$593,114 | ~$593,114 | ~1.8274% | ~$10,839 | +1.1% |
| 2028 | ~$599,685 | ~$599,685 | ~1.7707% | ~$10,619 | +2.2% |
| 2029 | ~$606,329 | ~$606,329 | ~1.7140% | ~$10,392 | +3.4% |
| 2030 | ~$613,047 | ~$613,047 | ~1.6573% | ~$10,160 | +4.5% |
| 2031 | ~$619,839 | ~$619,839 | ~1.6006% | ~$9,921 | +5.7% |
| 2027 | ~$581,382 | ~$581,382 | ~1.8841% | ~$10,954 | -0.9% |
| 2028 | ~$576,195 | ~$576,195 | ~1.8841% | ~$10,856 | -1.8% |
| 2029 | ~$571,055 | ~$571,055 | ~1.8841% | ~$10,759 | -2.7% |
| 2030 | ~$565,961 | ~$565,961 | ~1.8841% | ~$10,663 | -3.5% |
| 2031 | ~$560,912 | ~$560,912 | ~1.8841% | ~$10,568 | -4.4% |
| 2027 | ~$604,846 | ~$604,846 | ~1.7991% | ~$10,882 | +3.1% |
| 2028 | ~$623,644 | ~$623,644 | ~1.7140% | ~$10,689 | +6.3% |
| 2029 | ~$643,027 | ~$643,027 | ~1.6289% | ~$10,474 | +9.6% |
| 2030 | ~$663,011 | ~$663,011 | ~1.5439% | ~$10,236 | +13.0% |
| 2031 | ~$683,617 | ~$683,617 | ~1.4588% | ~$9,973 | +16.5% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $650,971 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +16% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $650,971 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $650,971 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $561,323 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $561,323 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $385,569 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |