27121 HAYNIE FLAT RD TX 78669
| Owner | CHILDRESS GARY |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0574170503 |
| Short ID | 773476 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 871,636 SF |
| Acres | 20.010 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 14 BLK A RANCH AT LAKESIDE SEC 1 THE (17.7817 AC IN TRAVIS CO) (GREENBELT) (17.7817 AC IN TRAVIS CO) (GREENBELT) |
| Neighborhood | Q6008 |
| Land | $21,750 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $21,750 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $21,750 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $21,750 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $21,750 |
| Taxable Value | $21,750 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +190.0% from $7,500 (2021) to $21,750 (2025), a CAGR of 30.5% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6644% in 2025 (+0.0540% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $145. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 55.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($21,750 land vs $0 improvements), about $0/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $21,750, this parcel sits in the bottom quartile (<25th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +23.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $63,075 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $427. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $72.76 | $72.76 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $22.85 | $22.85 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $18.01 | $18.01 | Paid |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0880% | 0.0740% | 0.0730% | 0.0750% | 0.0775% | +0.0025% | $16.86 | $16.86 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6542% | 0.5699% | 0.5593% | 0.6104% | 0.6644% | +0.0540% | $130.48 | $130.48 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $72.76 | 55.8% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $22.85 | 17.5% |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0930% | $18.01 | 13.8% |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0775% | $16.86 | 12.9% |
| Total | 0.6644% | $130.48 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $21,750 | $21,750 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $21,750 | $21,750 | +0.0% |
| Land Value | $21,750 | $21,750 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $21,750 | $21,750 | +0.0% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$144
Estimated
|
~$130
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $21,750 | $21,750 | — | — | $21,750 | $21,750 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $21,750 | $21,750 | — | — | $21,750 | $21,750 | ~$130 | Partial |
| 2024 | $21,750 | $21,750 | — | −$2,392 | $19,358 | $19,358 | $120 | Verified |
| 2023 | $21,750 | $21,750 | — | −$2,392 | $19,358 | $19,358 | $110 | Verified |
| 2022 | $21,750 | $21,750 | — | −$2,392 | $19,358 | $19,358 | $112 | Verified |
| 2021 | $7,500 | $7,500 | — | — | $7,500 | $6,675 | $44 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +12.4% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 89.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 89.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +190.0% ! | +158.1% | 89.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +190.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +38.0% | +23.7% | +190.0% | 2022 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 94.5% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 89.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.6000% | 0.6000% | — | 0.6000% | 2025 | 0.6000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$130 | $103 | ~$290 | $130 | 2025 | $44 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 190% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$26,912 | ~$26,912 | ~0.6669% | ~$179 | +23.7% |
| 2028 | ~$33,298 | ~$33,298 | ~0.6695% | ~$223 | +53.1% |
| 2029 | ~$41,200 | ~$41,200 | ~0.6720% | ~$277 | +89.4% |
| 2030 | ~$50,977 | ~$50,977 | ~0.6746% | ~$344 | +134.4% |
| 2031 | ~$63,075 | ~$63,075 | ~0.6771% | ~$427 | +190.0% |
| 2027 | ~$26,477 | ~$26,477 | ~0.6644% | ~$176 | +21.7% |
| 2028 | ~$32,230 | ~$32,230 | ~0.6644% | ~$214 | +48.2% |
| 2029 | ~$39,234 | ~$39,234 | ~0.6644% | ~$261 | +80.4% |
| 2030 | ~$47,760 | ~$47,760 | ~0.6644% | ~$317 | +119.6% |
| 2031 | ~$58,139 | ~$58,139 | ~0.6644% | ~$386 | +167.3% |
| 2027 | ~$27,347 | ~$27,347 | ~0.6682% | ~$183 | +25.7% |
| 2028 | ~$34,383 | ~$34,383 | ~0.6720% | ~$231 | +58.1% |
| 2029 | ~$43,230 | ~$43,230 | ~0.6759% | ~$292 | +98.8% |
| 2030 | ~$54,354 | ~$54,354 | ~0.6797% | ~$369 | +149.9% |
| 2031 | ~$68,340 | ~$68,340 | ~0.6835% | ~$467 | +214.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $21,750 places it in the bottom 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — -74% below the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $21,750 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $21,750 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $21,750 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $21,750 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↓ Below median | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $7,500 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |