15707 COUNTY LINE RD TX 78621
| Owner | LUND FARM INVESTMENT LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0651090205 |
| Short ID | 358785 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 3,827,399 SF |
| Acres | 87.865 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 2296 SUR 26 CHRISTIAN T ACR 87.8650 (1-D-1) (6.5000AC IN TRAVIS CO) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN320 |
| Land | $3,061,636 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $3,061,636 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $3,061,636 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $3,061,636 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$3,038,043 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $23,593 |
| Taxable Value | $23,593 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +436.1% from $571,123 (2021) to $3,061,636 (2025), a CAGR of 52.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.6473% in 2025 (+0.9936% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $389. Lund Farm MUD is the largest single contributor, at 57.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($23,593) is $3,038,043 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($3,061,636 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $3,061,636, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +31.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $10,407,316 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $298,053. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U12J Lund Farm MUD | — | — | — | — | 0.9500% | — | $15.69 | $15.69 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $6.21 | $6.21 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1.95 | $1.95 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $1.71 | $1.71 | Paid |
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1.65 | $1.65 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6740% | 0.6156% | 0.6039% | 0.6537% | 1.6473% | +0.9936% | $27.21 | $27.21 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| U12J Lund Farm MUD | 0.9500% | $15.69 | 57.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $6.21 | 22.8% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1.95 | 7.2% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $1.71 | 6.3% |
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | $1.65 | 6.1% |
| Total | 1.6473% | $27.21 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,635,950 | $3,061,636 | -13.9% |
| Assessed Value | $24,434 | $23,593 | +3.6% |
| Land Value | $2,635,950 | $3,061,636 | -13.9% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $24,434 | $23,593 | +3.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,611,516 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$402
Estimated
|
~$27
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,635,950 | $2,635,950 | — | −$2,611,516 | $24,434 | $24,434 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $3,061,636 | $3,061,636 | — | −$3,038,043 | $23,593 | $23,593 | ~$27 | Partial |
| 2024 | $3,061,636 | $3,061,636 | — | −$3,045,345 | $16,291 | $16,291 | $106 | Verified |
| 2023 | $878,650 | $878,650 | — | −$860,614 | $18,036 | $18,036 | $109 | Verified |
| 2022 | $878,650 | $878,650 | — | −$860,272 | $18,378 | $18,378 | $113 | Verified |
| 2021 | $571,123 | — | — | −$547,986 | $23,137 | $18,737 | $126 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -13.9% | +3.6% | 0.9% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +44.8% | 0.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +248.4% ! | -9.7% | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -1.9% | 2.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +53.8% | -20.6% | 2.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 4.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +436.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -13.9% | +57.7% | +31.6% | +248.4% | 2024 | -13.9% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.9% | 1.8% | — | 4.1% | 2021 | 0.5% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$27 | $96 | ~$162,227 | $126 | 2021 | $27 | 2025 |
Market value changed by 248% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,469,105 | ~$3,469,105 | ~1.8906% | ~$65,587 | +31.6% |
| 2028 | ~$4,565,599 | ~$4,565,599 | ~2.1339% | ~$97,426 | +73.2% |
| 2029 | ~$6,008,667 | ~$6,008,667 | ~2.3772% | ~$142,840 | +128.0% |
| 2030 | ~$7,907,850 | ~$7,907,850 | ~2.6206% | ~$207,230 | +200.0% |
| 2031 | ~$10,407,316 | ~$10,407,316 | ~2.8639% | ~$298,053 | +294.8% |
| 2027 | ~$3,416,386 | ~$3,416,386 | ~1.6473% | ~$56,277 | +29.6% |
| 2028 | ~$4,427,889 | ~$4,427,889 | ~1.6473% | ~$72,939 | +68.0% |
| 2029 | ~$5,738,873 | ~$5,738,873 | ~1.6473% | ~$94,535 | +117.7% |
| 2030 | ~$7,438,004 | ~$7,438,004 | ~1.6473% | ~$122,524 | +182.2% |
| 2031 | ~$9,640,203 | ~$9,640,203 | ~1.6473% | ~$158,800 | +265.7% |
| 2027 | ~$3,521,824 | ~$3,521,824 | ~2.0123% | ~$70,868 | +33.6% |
| 2028 | ~$4,705,418 | ~$4,705,418 | ~2.3772% | ~$111,859 | +78.5% |
| 2029 | ~$6,286,787 | ~$6,286,787 | ~2.7422% | ~$172,397 | +138.5% |
| 2030 | ~$8,399,612 | ~$8,399,612 | ~3.1072% | ~$260,993 | +218.7% |
| 2031 | ~$11,222,504 | ~$11,222,504 | ~3.4722% | ~$389,666 | +325.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $3,061,636 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 5× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3,061,636 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $3,061,636 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $878,650 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $878,650 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $571,123 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |