10600 CRUMLEY RANCH RD TX 78738
| Owner | PURYEAR ELMER O & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0102960127 |
| Short ID | 103158 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 2,549 SF |
| Land SF | 17,263,656 SF |
| Acres | 396.319 |
| Year Built | 1976 |
| Legal | ABS 2566 SUR 16 & VAR SURS DORROH H J ACR 395.319 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN220 |
| Land | $15,615,505 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $15,615,505 |
| Improvement | $533,523 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $533,523 |
| Market | $16,149,028 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $16,149,028 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$15,807,536 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $341,492 |
| Taxable Value | $341,492 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +7609.1% from $209,480 (2021) to $16,149,028 (2025), a CAGR of 196.3% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $5,546. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 64.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($341,492) is $15,807,536 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 97% of market value ($15,615,505 land vs $533,523 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~50-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $16,149,028, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +242.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $7,556,258,296 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $7,726. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
10 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,549 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,549 SF | ✗ |
| 031 | GARAGE DET 1ST F | 1,300 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 484 SF | ✓ |
| 512 | DECK UNCOVRED | 398 SF | ✗ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 162 SF | ✗ |
| 571 | STORAGE DET | 80 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 316 | HOT TUB FV | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103158 | PURYEAR ELMER ODEAN DECENDENTS TRUST & | 10600 CRUMLEY RANCH RD 78738 | $552,190 | $361,152 | $361,152 |
| 103159 | PURYEAR ELMER O & | 0.000 | $19,765,950 | $41,765 | $41,765 |
Market value changed by 98% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $3,550.49 | $3,550.49 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,283.48 | $1,283.48 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $403.04 | $403.04 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $308.70 | $308.70 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $5,545.71 | $5,545.71 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $20,318,140 | $16,149,028 | +25.8% |
| Assessed Value | $402,917 | $341,492 | +18.0% |
| Land Value | $19,815,950 | $15,615,505 | +26.9% |
| Improvement Value | $502,190 | $533,523 | -5.9% |
| Taxable Value | $402,917 | $341,492 | +18.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$19,915,223 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$6,543
Estimated
|
~$5,546
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $20,318,140 | $20,318,140 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $402,917 | $402,917 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $20,318,140 | $19,815,950 | $502,190 | −$19,915,223 | $402,917 | $402,917 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $16,149,028 | $15,615,505 | $533,523 | −$15,807,536 | $341,492 | $341,492 | ~$5,546 | Partial |
| 2024 | $209,000 | — | — | −$169,599 | $39,401 | $— | $4,625 | Verified |
| 2023 | $209,000 | — | — | −$179,599 | $29,401 | $— | $3,852 | Verified |
| 2022 | $403,692 | — | — | −$374,291 | $29,401 | $— | $4,200 | Verified |
| 2021 | $209,480 | — | — | −$194,630 | $14,850 | $— | $7,875 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +26.9% | +3.0% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +8.8% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +34.0% | -0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0300% | Verified |
| 2023 | +69.5% | +5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0300% | Verified |
| 2022 | +98.0% ! | +5.3% | 0.5% | 0.0600% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 1.0% | 3.7600% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +349.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +25.8% | +1539.4% | +228.0% | +7626.8% | 2025 | -48.2% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 2.0% | 8.6% | — | 18.9% | 2024 | 2.0% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$5,546 | $5,220 | ~$6,807 | $7,875 | 2021 | $3,852 | 2023 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$55,230,436 | ~$375,641 | ~1.5801% | ~$5,936 | +242.0% |
| 2027 | ~$188,890,689 | ~$413,205 | ~1.5363% | ~$6,348 | +1069.7% |
| 2028 | ~$646,015,045 | ~$454,526 | ~1.4925% | ~$6,784 | +3900.3% |
| 2029 | ~$2,209,401,851 | ~$499,978 | ~1.4487% | ~$7,243 | +13581.3% |
| 2030 | ~$7,556,258,296 | ~$549,976 | ~1.4048% | ~$7,726 | +46690.8% |
| 2026 | ~$54,907,455 | ~$375,641 | ~1.6240% | ~$6,100 | +240.0% |
| 2027 | ~$186,687,931 | ~$413,205 | ~1.6240% | ~$6,710 | +1056.0% |
| 2028 | ~$634,747,750 | ~$454,526 | ~1.6240% | ~$7,381 | +3830.6% |
| 2029 | ~$2,158,172,220 | ~$499,978 | ~1.6240% | ~$8,119 | +13264.1% |
| 2030 | ~$7,337,887,104 | ~$549,976 | ~1.6240% | ~$8,931 | +45338.6% |
| 2026 | ~$55,553,416 | ~$375,641 | ~1.5582% | ~$5,853 | +244.0% |
| 2027 | ~$191,106,366 | ~$413,205 | ~1.4925% | ~$6,167 | +1083.4% |
| 2028 | ~$657,414,892 | ~$454,526 | ~1.4267% | ~$6,485 | +3970.9% |
| 2029 | ~$2,261,538,162 | ~$499,978 | ~1.3610% | ~$6,805 | +13904.2% |
| 2030 | ~$7,779,797,697 | ~$549,976 | ~1.2953% | ~$7,124 | +48075.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $16,149,028 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 27× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $16,149,028 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $209,000 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $209,000 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $403,692 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $209,480 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.