3754 S PAWNEE PASS TX 78738
| Owner | TRADD ALEXANDER S II & SUSAN E |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0127760107 |
| Short ID | 521689 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 6,097 SF |
| Land SF | 866,408 SF |
| Acres | 19.890 |
| Year Built | 1995 |
| Legal | ABS 2204 SUR 56 WARNOCK J P ACR 18.890 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | R3014 |
| Land | $1,842,472 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,842,472 |
| Improvement | $365,829 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $365,829 |
| Market | $2,044,804 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,044,804 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,152,496 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $892,308 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$321,176 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $571,132 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +2770.3% from $71,241 (2021) to $2,044,804 (2025), a CAGR of 131.5% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $9,275. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 59.6% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($892,308) is $1,152,496 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 90% of market value ($1,842,472 land vs $365,829 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~31-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,044,804, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +40.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $11,331,634 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $20,188. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 5,095 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 4,097 SF | ✗ |
| 298 | LIGHT UTILITY BLDG | 3,200 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 1,016 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,002 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 871 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521689 | TRADD ALEXANDER S II & SUSAN E | 3754 PAWNEE PASS 78738 | $1,131,573 | $978,757 | $637,737 |
| 564038 | TRADD ALEXANDER S II & SUSAN E | 18.890 | $1,318,522 | $2,594 | $2,594 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,146.58 | $2,146.58 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $806.64 | $806.64 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $624.52 | $624.52 | Paid |
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $26.29 | $26.29 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $3,604.03 | $3,604.03 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,450,095 | $2,044,804 | +19.8% |
| Assessed Value | $981,351 | $892,308 | +10.0% |
| Land Value | $1,842,472 | $1,842,472 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $607,623 | $365,829 | +66.1% |
| Taxable Value | $640,331 | $571,132 | +12.1% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,468,744 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$10,399
Estimated
|
~$3,604
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,634,305 | $2,450,095 | -184,210 (-7.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $642,380 | $640,331 | -2,049 (-0.3%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2,450,095 | $1,842,472 | $607,623 | −$1,468,744 | $981,351 | $640,331 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $2,044,804 | $1,842,472 | $365,829 | −$1,152,496 | $892,308 | $571,132 | ~$3,604 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,240,097 | — | — | — | — | $— | $3,780 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,409,682 | — | — | — | — | $— | $3,192 | Verified |
| 2022 | $731,926 | — | — | — | — | $— | $5,613 | Verified |
| 2021 | $71,241 | — | — | — | — | $— | $5,696 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +14.2% | +2.6% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -18.4% | +8.9% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +66.1% | -0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1400% | Verified |
| 2023 | -12.0% | +8.7% | 0.3% | 0.1500% | Verified |
| 2022 | -13.3% | +9.7% | 0.2% | 0.2400% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.2% | 8.0000% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +3.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +19.8% | +218.5% | +36.2% | +927.4% | 2022 | -12.0% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 40.1% | 41.9% | — | 43.6% | 2025 | 40.1% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$3,604 | $4,377 | ~$17,787 | $5,696 | 2021 | $3,192 | 2023 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$2,879,916 | ~$981,539 | ~1.5801% | ~$15,510 | +40.8% |
| 2027 | ~$4,056,094 | ~$1,079,693 | ~1.5363% | ~$16,587 | +98.4% |
| 2028 | ~$5,712,631 | ~$1,187,662 | ~1.4925% | ~$17,726 | +179.4% |
| 2029 | ~$8,045,710 | ~$1,306,428 | ~1.4487% | ~$18,926 | +293.5% |
| 2030 | ~$11,331,634 | ~$1,437,071 | ~1.4048% | ~$20,188 | +454.2% |
| 2026 | ~$2,839,020 | ~$981,539 | ~1.6240% | ~$15,940 | +38.8% |
| 2027 | ~$3,941,715 | ~$1,079,693 | ~1.6240% | ~$17,534 | +92.8% |
| 2028 | ~$5,472,705 | ~$1,187,662 | ~1.6240% | ~$19,287 | +167.6% |
| 2029 | ~$7,598,342 | ~$1,306,428 | ~1.6240% | ~$21,216 | +271.6% |
| 2030 | ~$10,549,591 | ~$1,437,071 | ~1.6240% | ~$23,338 | +415.9% |
| 2026 | ~$2,920,812 | ~$981,539 | ~1.5582% | ~$15,295 | +42.8% |
| 2027 | ~$4,172,109 | ~$1,079,693 | ~1.4925% | ~$16,114 | +104.0% |
| 2028 | ~$5,959,469 | ~$1,187,662 | ~1.4267% | ~$16,945 | +191.4% |
| 2029 | ~$8,512,547 | ~$1,306,428 | ~1.3610% | ~$17,780 | +316.3% |
| 2030 | ~$12,159,382 | ~$1,437,071 | ~1.2953% | ~$18,614 | +494.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,044,804 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 3× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,044,804 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,240,097 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,409,682 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $731,926 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $71,241 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.