19531 LAKEHURST LOOP TX 78738
| Owner | MCBEE CREEK III LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0139920105 |
| Short ID | 138235 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 367,420 SF |
| Acres | 8.435 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | 8.4348AC OF LOT 1 BLK 6 LAKEHURST RESUB |
| Neighborhood | _RGN250 |
| Land | $741,783 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $741,783 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $741,783 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $741,783 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$75,777 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $666,006 |
| Taxable Value | $666,006 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +343.2% from $167,382 (2021) to $741,783 (2025), a CAGR of 45.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6266% in 2025 (+0.0256% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $10,833. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 63.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($666,006) is $75,777 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($741,783 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $741,783, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +45.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $4,769,656 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $67,465. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 105% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $6,924.46 | $6,924.46 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,503.15 | $2,503.15 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $786.04 | $786.04 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $619.49 | $619.49 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7963% | 1.7080% | 1.5604% | 1.6010% | 1.6266% | +0.0256% | $10,833.14 | $10,833.14 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $741,783 | $741,783 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $741,783 | $666,006 | +11.4% |
| Land Value | $1,120,361 | $741,783 | +51.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $741,783 | $666,006 | +11.4% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$12,066
Estimated
|
~$10,833
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $741,783 | $741,783 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $741,783 | $741,783 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $741,783 | $1,120,361 | — | — | $741,783 | $741,783 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $741,783 | $741,783 | — | −$75,777 | $666,006 | $666,006 | ~$10,833 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $741,783 | $— | $8,886 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $462,504 | $— | $7,217 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $462,504 | $— | $7,900 | Verified |
| 2021 | $167,382 | — | — | — | $225,092 ! | $— | $4,043 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +11.4% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 89.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +60.4% | +20.0% | 74.8% | 1.2000% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.5600% | Verified |
| 2022 | +105.5% ! | +105.5% | ~100% | 1.7100% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.4200% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +229.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +171.6% | +45.1% | +343.2% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 108.1% | — | 134.5% | 2021 | 89.8% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.4600% | 1.4600% | — | 1.4600% | 2025 | 1.4600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$10,833 | $7,438 | ~$38,091 | $10,833 | 2025 | $4,043 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,076,264 | ~$1,076,264 | ~1.5842% | ~$17,050 | +45.1% |
| 2027 | ~$1,561,568 | ~$1,561,568 | ~1.5417% | ~$24,075 | +110.5% |
| 2028 | ~$2,265,703 | ~$2,265,703 | ~1.4993% | ~$33,970 | +205.4% |
| 2029 | ~$3,287,343 | ~$3,287,343 | ~1.4569% | ~$47,893 | +343.2% |
| 2030 | ~$4,769,656 | ~$4,769,656 | ~1.4145% | ~$67,465 | +543.0% |
| 2026 | ~$1,061,429 | ~$1,061,429 | ~1.6266% | ~$17,265 | +43.1% |
| 2027 | ~$1,518,814 | ~$1,518,814 | ~1.6266% | ~$24,705 | +104.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,173,294 | ~$2,173,294 | ~1.6266% | ~$35,350 | +193.0% |
| 2029 | ~$3,109,800 | ~$3,109,800 | ~1.6266% | ~$50,583 | +319.2% |
| 2030 | ~$4,449,860 | ~$4,449,860 | ~1.6266% | ~$72,381 | +499.9% |
| 2026 | ~$1,091,100 | ~$1,091,100 | ~1.5629% | ~$17,053 | +47.1% |
| 2027 | ~$1,604,915 | ~$1,604,915 | ~1.4993% | ~$24,063 | +116.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,360,694 | ~$2,360,694 | ~1.4357% | ~$33,892 | +218.2% |
| 2029 | ~$3,472,381 | ~$3,472,381 | ~1.3720% | ~$47,642 | +368.1% |
| 2030 | ~$5,107,579 | ~$5,107,579 | ~1.3084% | ~$66,828 | +588.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $741,783 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 9× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $741,783 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $167,382 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.