15404 NIGHTINGALE LN TX 78734
| Owner | POPE WILLIAM ROBERT & MARY KAY |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0141660521 |
| Short ID | 832007 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 20 Small Store (<10,000 SF) |
| Valuation | Income |
| Improvement SF | 392 SF |
| Land SF | 44,168 SF |
| Acres | 1.014 |
| Year Built | 1983 |
| Legal | LOT 2 BLK A HOLLY LANE SUBD (1-d-1) |
| Neighborhood | 20SWE |
| Land | $795,024 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $795,024 |
| Improvement | $10,395 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $10,395 |
| Market | $805,419 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $805,419 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $805,419 |
| Taxable Value | $805,419 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has fallen -0.0% from $805,779 (2024) to $805,419 (2025), a CAGR of -0.0% over 1 year. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide fell -1.5%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 1.8496% in 2025 (+0.0309% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $14,897. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 56.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the income approach, so changes in rent roll or occupancy move the appraisal more directly than they would for a cost-approach property.
Value Composition: Land carries 99% of market value ($795,024 land vs $10,395 improvements), about $18/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~43-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $805,419, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -0.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $803,621 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $13,247. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
5 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | PAVED AREA | 1,880 SF | ✗ |
| 327 | STORAGE COMM'L | 762 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 392 SF | ✓ |
| 501 | CANOPY | 72 SF | ✗ |
| 435 | FENCE IRON LF | 46 SF | ✗ |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $8,373.94 | $8,373.94 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $3,027.13 | $3,027.13 | Paid |
| CLW City of Lakeway | 0.1545% | 0.1290% | 0.1440% | 0.1598% | 0.1696% | +0.0098% | $1,366.31 | $1,366.31 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $950.58 | $950.58 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $728.09 | $728.09 | Paid |
| W17 WCID # 17 | 0.0568% | 0.0543% | 0.0533% | 0.0533% | 0.0560% | +0.0027% | $451.03 | $451.03 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0106% | 1.8990% | 1.7598% | 1.8187% | 1.8496% | +0.0309% | $14,897.08 | $14,897.08 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $806,277 | $805,419 | +0.1% |
| Assessed Value | $806,277 | $805,419 | +0.1% |
| Land Value | $795,024 | $795,024 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $11,253 | $10,395 | +8.3% |
| Taxable Value | $806,277 | $805,419 | +0.1% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$14,913
Estimated
|
~$14,897
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $806,277 | $806,277 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $806,277 | $806,277 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $806,277 | $795,024 | $11,253 | — | $806,277 | $806,277 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $805,419 | $795,024 | $10,395 | — | $805,419 | $805,419 | ~$14,897 | Partial |
| 2024 | $805,779 | — | — | −$21,726 | $784,053 | $— | $14,649 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | — | $— | $13,988 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | — | $— | $11,371 | Verified |
| 2021 | $— | — | — | — | — | $— | $14,341 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.1% | +0.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -0.0% | -0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -23.8% | +1.3% | ~100% | 1.8200% | Verified |
| 2023 | -0.3% | -0.5% | 75.2% | 1.3200% | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.6% | -24.2% | 75.3% | 1.0700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): -23.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2026 | +-0.0% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 99.1% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 97.3% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.8500% | 1.8500% | — | 1.8500% | 2025 | 1.8500% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$14,897 | $14,773 | ~$13,906 | $14,897 | 2025 | $14,649 | 2024 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$805,059 | ~$805,059 | ~1.8094% | ~$14,566 | -0.0% |
| 2027 | ~$804,699 | ~$804,699 | ~1.7691% | ~$14,236 | -0.1% |
| 2028 | ~$804,340 | ~$804,340 | ~1.7289% | ~$13,906 | -0.1% |
| 2029 | ~$803,981 | ~$803,981 | ~1.6886% | ~$13,576 | -0.2% |
| 2030 | ~$803,621 | ~$803,621 | ~1.6484% | ~$13,247 | -0.2% |
| 2026 | ~$788,951 | ~$788,951 | ~1.8496% | ~$14,592 | -2.0% |
| 2027 | ~$772,819 | ~$772,819 | ~1.8496% | ~$14,294 | -4.0% |
| 2028 | ~$757,018 | ~$757,018 | ~1.8496% | ~$14,002 | -6.0% |
| 2029 | ~$741,539 | ~$741,539 | ~1.8496% | ~$13,716 | -7.9% |
| 2030 | ~$726,377 | ~$726,377 | ~1.8496% | ~$13,435 | -9.8% |
| 2026 | ~$821,168 | ~$821,168 | ~1.7892% | ~$14,693 | +2.0% |
| 2027 | ~$837,224 | ~$837,224 | ~1.7289% | ~$14,475 | +3.9% |
| 2028 | ~$853,594 | ~$853,594 | ~1.6685% | ~$14,242 | +6.0% |
| 2029 | ~$870,285 | ~$870,285 | ~1.6081% | ~$13,995 | +8.1% |
| 2030 | ~$887,302 | ~$887,302 | ~1.5478% | ~$13,734 | +10.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $805,419 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — -43% below the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $805,419 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↓ Below median | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $805,779 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | — | +9.7% |
| 2022 | — | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | — | +3.3% |
| 2021 | — | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | — | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.