14120 RUNNING DEER TRL TX 78734
| Owner | CRABILL DENNIS & KATHLEEN TRUST |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0145550711 |
| Short ID | 146666 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 9,014 SF |
| Acres | 0.207 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 1043 APACHE SHORES SEC 2 |
| Neighborhood | R4006 |
| Land | $369,355 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $369,355 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $369,355 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $369,355 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$218,105 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $151,250 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$52,216 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $99,034 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1131.2% from $30,000 (2021) to $369,355 (2025), a CAGR of 87.3% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 3 taxing entities is 0.5843% in 2025 (+0.0443% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $579. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 60.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($151,250) is $218,105 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($369,355 land vs $0 improvements), about $41/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $369,355, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +87.3% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $8,518,191 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $1,469. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 180% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $372.21 | $372.21 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $136.73 | $136.73 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $109.28 | $109.28 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.5692% | 0.5036% | 0.4884% | 0.5400% | 0.5843% | +0.0443% | $618.22 | $618.22 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $369,355 | $369,355 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | ~$166,375 | $151,250 | +10.0% |
| Land Value | $369,355 | $369,355 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | ~$114,159 | $99,034 | +15.3% |
| Exemptions | — | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Protection | ~-$202,980 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$667
Estimated
|
~$618
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $369,355 | $369,355 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $369,355 | $114,159 | -255,196 (-69.1%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $369,355 | $369,355 | — | — | $369,355 | $369,355 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $369,355 | $369,355 | — | −$218,105 | $151,250 | $99,034 | ~$618 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $150,000 | $— | $756 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $125,000 | $— | $718 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $140,000 | $— | $1,750 | Verified |
| 2021 | $30,000 | — | — | — | $50,000 ! | $— | $900 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +144.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +146.2% ! | +10.0% | 41.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +20.0% | +10.0% | 91.7% | 0.5000% | Verified |
| 2023 | -10.7% | -10.7% | ~100% | 0.5700% | Verified |
| 2022 | +180.0% ! | +180.0% | ~100% | 1.2500% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 3.0000% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +638.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +565.6% | +87.3% | +1131.2% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 102.5% | — | 166.7% | 2021 | 40.9% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.1700% | 0.1700% | — | 0.1700% | 2025 | 0.1700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$618 | $759 | ~$1,211 | $900 | 2021 | $618 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$691,870 | ~$166,375 | ~0.5880% | ~$978 | +87.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,296,001 | ~$183,013 | ~0.5918% | ~$1,083 | +250.9% |
| 2028 | ~$2,427,650 | ~$201,314 | ~0.5956% | ~$1,199 | +557.3% |
| 2029 | ~$4,547,437 | ~$221,445 | ~0.5994% | ~$1,327 | +1131.2% |
| 2030 | ~$8,518,191 | ~$243,590 | ~0.6031% | ~$1,469 | +2206.2% |
| 2026 | ~$684,483 | ~$166,375 | ~0.5843% | ~$972 | +85.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,268,474 | ~$183,013 | ~0.5843% | ~$1,069 | +243.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,350,717 | ~$201,314 | ~0.5843% | ~$1,176 | +536.4% |
| 2029 | ~$4,356,314 | ~$221,445 | ~0.5843% | ~$1,294 | +1079.4% |
| 2030 | ~$8,073,055 | ~$243,590 | ~0.5843% | ~$1,423 | +2085.7% |
| 2026 | ~$699,257 | ~$166,375 | ~0.5899% | ~$981 | +89.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,323,824 | ~$183,013 | ~0.5956% | ~$1,090 | +258.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,506,243 | ~$201,314 | ~0.6012% | ~$1,210 | +578.5% |
| 2029 | ~$4,744,782 | ~$221,445 | ~0.6069% | ~$1,344 | +1184.6% |
| 2030 | ~$8,982,750 | ~$243,590 | ~0.6126% | ~$1,492 | +2332.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $369,355 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $369,355 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $30,000 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.