1508 WATERCLIFFE DR TX 78645
| Owner | TULL ANDREW BRYAN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0154780112 |
| Short ID | 755393 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 64,322 SF |
| Acres | 1.477 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 10 BLK A WATERFORD ON LAKE TRAVIS SEC 3C |
| Neighborhood | S05WF |
| Land | $1,189,500 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,189,500 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $800,686 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $800,686 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $800,686 |
| Taxable Value | $800,686 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +143.1% from $329,400 (2021) to $800,686 (2025), a CAGR of 24.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7107% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $13,698. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 59.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 149% of market value ($1,189,500 land vs $0 improvements), about $18/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $800,686, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +24.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $2,430,164 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $36,700. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 167% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $8,142.18 | $8,142.18 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $3,009.34 | $3,009.34 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $944.99 | $944.99 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $800.69 | $800.69 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $800.42 | $800.42 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8712% | 1.7799% | 1.6087% | 1.6603% | 1.7107% | +0.0504% | $13,697.62 | $13,697.62 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $610,000 | $800,686 | -23.8% |
| Assessed Value | $610,000 | $800,686 | -23.8% |
| Land Value | $610,000 | $1,189,500 | -48.7% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $610,000 | $800,686 | -23.8% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$10,435
Estimated
|
~$13,698
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $610,000 | $610,000 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $610,000 | $610,000 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $610,000 | $610,000 | — | — | $610,000 | $610,000 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $800,686 | $1,189,500 | — | — | $800,686 | $800,686 | ~$13,698 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $800,686 | $— | $13,294 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $1,098,000 | $— | $17,664 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $878,400 | $— | $15,635 | Verified |
| 2021 | $329,400 | — | — | — | $329,400 | $— | $6,164 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -23.8% | -23.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -27.1% | -27.1% | ~100% | 1.6600% | Verified |
| 2023 | +25.0% | +25.0% | ~100% | 1.6100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +166.7% ! | +166.7% | ~100% | 1.7800% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 1.8700% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +143.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -23.8% | +59.6% | +32.7% | +143.1% | 2025 | -23.8% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.7100% | 1.7100% | — | 1.7100% | 2025 | 1.7100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$13,698 | $9,931 | ~$25,744 | $13,698 | 2025 | $6,164 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$999,763 | ~$999,763 | ~1.6706% | ~$16,702 | +24.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,248,336 | ~$1,248,336 | ~1.6305% | ~$20,354 | +55.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,558,713 | ~$1,558,713 | ~1.5904% | ~$24,790 | +94.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,946,260 | ~$1,946,260 | ~1.5503% | ~$30,173 | +143.1% |
| 2030 | ~$2,430,164 | ~$2,430,164 | ~1.5102% | ~$36,700 | +203.5% |
| 2026 | ~$983,749 | ~$983,749 | ~1.7107% | ~$16,829 | +22.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,208,666 | ~$1,208,666 | ~1.7107% | ~$20,677 | +51.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,485,006 | ~$1,485,006 | ~1.7107% | ~$25,405 | +85.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,824,527 | ~$1,824,527 | ~1.7107% | ~$31,213 | +127.9% |
| 2030 | ~$2,241,674 | ~$2,241,674 | ~1.7107% | ~$38,349 | +180.0% |
| 2026 | ~$1,015,776 | ~$1,015,776 | ~1.6506% | ~$16,766 | +26.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,288,647 | ~$1,288,647 | ~1.5904% | ~$20,495 | +60.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,634,819 | ~$1,634,819 | ~1.5302% | ~$25,017 | +104.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,073,985 | ~$2,073,985 | ~1.4701% | ~$30,489 | +159.0% |
| 2030 | ~$2,631,125 | ~$2,631,125 | ~1.4099% | ~$37,096 | +228.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $800,686 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 9× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $800,686 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $329,400 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.