4820 HUDSON BEND RD TX 78734
| Owner | FOSHAT MOE |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0158580903 |
| Short ID | 542756 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 10 Manufactured Commercial Bldg |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 128 SF |
| Land SF | 181,384 SF |
| Acres | 4.164 |
| Year Built | 1980 |
| Legal | W 590.02' OF LOT 33 *(4.164AC) LA HACIENDA ESTATES |
| Neighborhood | 1SW2 |
| Land | $603,101 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $603,101 |
| Improvement | $24,034 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $24,034 |
| Market | $627,135 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $627,135 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$6,802 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $620,333 |
| Taxable Value | $620,333 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +76.0% from $356,401 (2021) to $627,135 (2025), a CAGR of 15.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +24.1%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.6800% in 2025 (+0.0211% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $10,421. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 61.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($620,333) is $6,802 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 96% of market value ($603,101 land vs $24,034 improvements), about $3/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~46-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $627,135, this parcel sits in the bottom quartile (<25th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +15.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $1,270,980 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $14,584. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
2 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 541 | FENCE COMM LF | 884 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 128 SF | ✓ |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $6,449.60 | $6,449.60 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,331.49 | $2,331.49 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $732.14 | $732.14 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $560.77 | $560.77 | Paid |
| W17 WCID # 17 | 0.0568% | 0.0543% | 0.0533% | 0.0533% | 0.0560% | +0.0027% | $347.39 | $347.39 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8561% | 1.7700% | 1.6158% | 1.6589% | 1.6800% | +0.0211% | $10,421.39 | $10,421.39 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $627,135 | $627,135 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $627,135 | $620,333 | +1.1% |
| Land Value | $603,101 | $603,101 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $24,034 | $24,034 | +0.0% |
| Taxable Value | $627,135 | $620,333 | +1.1% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$10,536
Estimated
|
~$10,421
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $627,135 | $627,135 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $627,135 | $627,135 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $627,135 | $603,101 | $24,034 | — | $627,135 | $627,135 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $627,135 | $603,101 | $24,034 | −$6,802 | $620,333 | $620,333 | ~$10,421 | Partial |
| 2024 | $430,787 | — | — | — | $603,101 ! | $— | $8,576 | Verified |
| 2023 | $356,561 | — | — | — | $430,787 ! | $— | $6,961 | Verified |
| 2022 | $356,561 | — | — | −$11,932 | $344,629 | $— | $6,311 | Verified |
| 2021 | $356,401 | — | — | −$11,772 | $344,629 | $— | $6,618 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +1.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 98.9% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +37.9% | +13.7% | 82.4% | 1.3700% | Verified |
| 2023 | +25.3% | +25.3% | ~100% | 1.5300% | Verified |
| 2022 | +1.8% | +1.8% | ~100% | 1.7400% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 1.8600% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +75.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +13.3% | +15.2% | +45.6% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 108.9% | — | 140.0% | 2024 | 96.7% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6600% | 1.6600% | — | 1.6600% | 2025 | 1.6600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$10,421 | $7,777 | ~$12,827 | $10,421 | 2025 | $6,311 | 2022 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$722,298 | ~$682,366 | ~1.6359% | ~$11,163 | +15.2% |
| 2027 | ~$831,902 | ~$750,603 | ~1.5919% | ~$11,949 | +32.7% |
| 2028 | ~$958,137 | ~$825,663 | ~1.5479% | ~$12,780 | +52.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,103,528 | ~$908,230 | ~1.5039% | ~$13,658 | +76.0% |
| 2030 | ~$1,270,980 | ~$999,052 | ~1.4598% | ~$14,584 | +102.7% |
| 2026 | ~$709,756 | ~$682,366 | ~1.6800% | ~$11,464 | +13.2% |
| 2027 | ~$803,261 | ~$750,603 | ~1.6800% | ~$12,610 | +28.1% |
| 2028 | ~$909,085 | ~$825,663 | ~1.6800% | ~$13,871 | +45.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,028,850 | ~$908,230 | ~1.6800% | ~$15,258 | +64.1% |
| 2030 | ~$1,164,394 | ~$999,052 | ~1.6800% | ~$16,784 | +85.7% |
| 2026 | ~$734,841 | ~$682,366 | ~1.6139% | ~$11,013 | +17.2% |
| 2027 | ~$861,045 | ~$750,603 | ~1.5479% | ~$11,618 | +37.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,008,923 | ~$825,663 | ~1.4818% | ~$12,235 | +60.9% |
| 2029 | ~$1,182,198 | ~$908,230 | ~1.4158% | ~$12,859 | +88.5% |
| 2030 | ~$1,385,232 | ~$999,052 | ~1.3498% | ~$13,485 | +120.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $627,135 places it in the bottom 25% for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — -56% below the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $627,135 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↓ Bottom 25% | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $430,787 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $356,561 | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $356,561 | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $356,401 | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.