102 S PACE BEND RD TX 78669
| Owner | HILL COUNTRY LAKES LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0158971006 |
| Short ID | 360621 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 10 Manufactured Commercial Bldg |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 408 SF |
| Land SF | 906,396 SF |
| Acres | 20.808 |
| Year Built | 2000 |
| Legal | ABS 754 SUR 51 SEALE MORRIS & SEALE ABS 385 SUR 801 HERONYMOS W ACR 20.8080 |
| Neighborhood | 97RVP |
| Land | $509,848 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $509,848 |
| Improvement | $1,042,786 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $1,042,786 |
| Market | $1,552,634 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,552,634 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$112,634 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,440,000 |
| Taxable Value | $1,440,000 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +118.4% from $710,819 (2021) to $1,552,634 (2025), a CAGR of 21.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +24.1%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7041% in 2025 (+0.0281% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $24,539. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 61.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($1,440,000) is $112,634 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 33% of market value ($509,848 land vs $1,042,786 improvements), about $1/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~26 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $1,552,634, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +21.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $4,122,937 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $34,296. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
6 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 511 | DECK | 636 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 408 SF | ✓ |
| 093 | HVAC COMMRCL SF | 408 SF | ✗ |
| 327 | STORAGE COMM'L | 392 SF | ✓ |
| 611 | TERRACE | 224 SF | ✗ |
| 406 | MH PARK SPACES | 40 SF | ✗ |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $14,971.68 | $14,971.68 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $5,412.17 | $5,412.17 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,699.53 | $1,699.53 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $1,339.42 | $1,339.42 | Paid |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0880% | 0.0740% | 0.0730% | 0.0750% | 0.0775% | +0.0025% | $1,116.00 | $1,116.00 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8843% | 1.7820% | 1.6334% | 1.6760% | 1.7041% | +0.0281% | $24,538.80 | $24,538.80 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,479,477 | $1,552,634 | -4.7% |
| Assessed Value | $1,479,477 | $1,440,000 | +2.7% |
| Land Value | $509,848 | $509,848 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $969,629 | $1,042,786 | -7.0% |
| Taxable Value | $1,479,477 | $1,440,000 | +2.7% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$25,212
Estimated
|
~$24,539
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,547,479 | $1,479,477 | -68,002 (-4.4%) |
| Taxable Value | $1,547,479 | $1,479,477 | -68,002 (-4.4%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,479,477 | $509,848 | $969,629 | — | $1,479,477 | $1,479,477 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,552,634 | $509,848 | $1,042,786 | −$112,634 | $1,440,000 | $1,440,000 | ~$24,539 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,000,000 | — | — | −$490,152 | $509,848 | $— | $20,112 | Verified |
| 2023 | $879,739 | — | — | −$369,891 | $509,848 | $— | $16,334 | Verified |
| 2022 | $830,000 | — | — | −$320,152 | $509,848 | $— | $15,677 | Verified |
| 2021 | $710,819 | — | — | −$200,971 | $509,848 | $— | $15,640 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.3% | +7.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +26.2% | +20.0% | 92.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +9.4% | +6.8% | 97.6% | 1.6400% | Verified |
| 2023 | +27.8% | +27.8% | ~100% | 1.4500% | Verified |
| 2022 | +2.6% | +2.6% | ~100% | 1.7800% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.2000% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +81.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -4.7% | +17.4% | +22.8% | +55.3% | 2025 | -4.7% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 72.5% | — | 100.0% | 2026 | 51.0% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.5800% | 1.5800% | — | 1.5800% | 2025 | 1.5800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$24,539 | $18,460 | ~$30,179 | $24,539 | 2025 | $15,640 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,887,542 | ~$1,584,000 | ~1.6590% | ~$26,279 | +21.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,294,691 | ~$1,742,400 | ~1.6140% | ~$28,122 | +47.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,789,662 | ~$1,916,640 | ~1.5689% | ~$30,071 | +79.7% |
| 2029 | ~$3,391,401 | ~$2,108,304 | ~1.5239% | ~$32,128 | +118.4% |
| 2030 | ~$4,122,937 | ~$2,319,134 | ~1.4788% | ~$34,296 | +165.5% |
| 2026 | ~$1,856,489 | ~$1,584,000 | ~1.7041% | ~$26,993 | +19.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,219,810 | ~$1,742,400 | ~1.7041% | ~$29,692 | +43.0% |
| 2028 | ~$2,654,234 | ~$1,916,640 | ~1.7041% | ~$32,661 | +71.0% |
| 2029 | ~$3,173,675 | ~$2,108,304 | ~1.7041% | ~$35,927 | +104.4% |
| 2030 | ~$3,794,773 | ~$2,319,134 | ~1.7041% | ~$39,520 | +144.4% |
| 2026 | ~$1,918,595 | ~$1,584,000 | ~1.6365% | ~$25,922 | +23.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,370,813 | ~$1,742,400 | ~1.5689% | ~$27,337 | +52.7% |
| 2028 | ~$2,929,621 | ~$1,916,640 | ~1.5014% | ~$28,776 | +88.7% |
| 2029 | ~$3,620,142 | ~$2,108,304 | ~1.4338% | ~$30,229 | +133.2% |
| 2030 | ~$4,473,421 | ~$2,319,134 | ~1.3662% | ~$31,684 | +188.1% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,552,634 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — +10% above the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,552,634 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↑ Above median | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $1,000,000 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $879,739 | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | ↓ Below median | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $830,000 | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | ↓ Below median | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $710,819 | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.