11105 FOX WAY DR TX 78759
| Owner | DEES WILLIAM A JR & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0160030129 |
| Short ID | 158231 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 15,947 SF |
| Acres | 0.366 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 17 BULL CREEK BLUFF ESTATES |
| Neighborhood | U0314 |
| Land | $589,637 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $589,637 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $589,637 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $589,637 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$349,637 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $240,000 |
| Taxable Value | $240,000 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +194.8% from $200,000 (2021) to $589,637 (2025), a CAGR of 31.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.0465% in 2025 (+0.0647% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $4,912. Austin ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($240,000) is $349,637 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($589,637 land vs $0 improvements), about $37/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $589,637, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +31.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $2,277,866 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $42,909. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 100% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU Austin ISD | 1.0617% | 0.9966% | 0.8595% | 0.9505% | 0.9252% | -0.0253% | $1,850.40 | $1,850.40 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,048.03 | $1,048.03 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $751.69 | $751.69 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $236.05 | $236.05 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $206.80 | $206.80 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.1767% | 1.9749% | 1.8092% | 1.9818% | 2.0465% | +0.0647% | $4,092.97 | $4,092.97 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $491,364 | $589,637 | -16.7% |
| Assessed Value | $240,000 | $240,000 | +0.0% |
| Land Value | $491,364 | $589,637 | -16.7% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $240,000 | $240,000 | +0.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$251,364 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$4,912
Estimated
|
~$4,093
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $491,364 | $491,364 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $240,000 | $240,000 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $491,364 | $491,364 | — | −$251,364 | $240,000 | $240,000 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $589,637 | $589,637 | — | −$349,637 | $240,000 | $240,000 | ~$4,093 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $200,000 | $— | $3,964 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $400,000 | $— | $3,618 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $400,000 | $— | $7,900 | Verified |
| 2021 | $200,000 | — | — | — | $200,000 | $— | $4,353 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -16.7% | +0.0% | 48.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +22.8% | +0.0% | 40.7% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +20.0% | -40.0% | 50.0% | 0.8300% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 0.9000% | Verified |
| 2022 | +100.0% ! | +100.0% | ~100% | 1.9700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.1800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +194.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -16.7% | +89.1% | +36.3% | +194.8% | 2025 | -16.7% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 48.8% | 63.2% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 40.7% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.6900% | 0.6900% | — | 0.6900% | 2025 | 0.6900% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$4,093 | $4,223 | ~$27,539 | $4,353 | 2021 | $4,093 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$772,633 | ~$772,633 | ~2.0139% | ~$15,560 | +31.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,012,423 | ~$1,012,423 | ~1.9814% | ~$20,060 | +71.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,326,633 | ~$1,326,633 | ~1.9488% | ~$25,854 | +125.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,738,359 | ~$1,738,359 | ~1.9163% | ~$33,312 | +194.8% |
| 2030 | ~$2,277,866 | ~$2,277,866 | ~1.8837% | ~$42,909 | +286.3% |
| 2026 | ~$760,841 | ~$760,841 | ~2.0465% | ~$15,570 | +29.0% |
| 2027 | ~$981,754 | ~$981,754 | ~2.0465% | ~$20,091 | +66.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,266,810 | ~$1,266,810 | ~2.0465% | ~$25,925 | +114.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,634,634 | ~$1,634,634 | ~2.0465% | ~$33,453 | +177.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,109,256 | ~$2,109,256 | ~2.0465% | ~$43,166 | +257.7% |
| 2026 | ~$784,426 | ~$784,426 | ~1.9977% | ~$15,670 | +33.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,043,564 | ~$1,043,564 | ~1.9488% | ~$20,337 | +77.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,388,310 | ~$1,388,310 | ~1.9000% | ~$26,378 | +135.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,846,944 | ~$1,846,944 | ~1.8512% | ~$34,191 | +213.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,457,090 | ~$2,457,090 | ~1.8024% | ~$44,286 | +316.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $589,637 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 7× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $589,637 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $200,000 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.