20317 CONTINENTAL DR TX 78645
| Owner | CARPENTER THOMAS JR & PEGGY |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0160860510 |
| Short ID | 159732 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 13,869 SF |
| Acres | 0.318 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 17006 HIGHLAND LAKE ESTATES SEC 17 |
| Neighborhood | S04WF |
| Land | $152,160 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $152,160 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $152,160 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $152,160 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $152,160 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$30,432 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $121,728 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +300.0% from $38,040 (2021) to $152,160 (2025), a CAGR of 41.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.1307% in 2025 (+0.0473% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,594. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 41.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($152,160 land vs $0 improvements), about $11/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $152,160, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +41.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $860,747 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $4,157. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 567% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $986.83 | $986.83 | Paid |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.6070% | 0.4283% | 0.4139% | 0.4231% | 0.4200% | -0.0031% | $511.26 | $511.26 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $457.51 | $457.51 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $152.16 | $152.16 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $152.11 | $152.11 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $143.67 | $143.67 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4782% | 2.2082% | 2.0226% | 2.0834% | 2.1307% | +0.0473% | $2,403.54 | $2,403.54 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $76,080 | $152,160 | -50.0% |
| Assessed Value | $76,080 | $152,160 | -50.0% |
| Land Value | $76,080 | $152,160 | -50.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $60,864 | $121,728 | -50.0% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,297
Estimated
|
~$2,404
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $76,080 | $76,080 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $60,864 | $60,864 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $76,080 | $76,080 | — | — | $76,080 | $60,864 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $152,160 | $152,160 | — | — | $152,160 | $121,728 | ~$2,404 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $152,160 | $— | $2,420 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $253,600 | $— | $4,883 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $253,600 | $— | $5,600 | Verified |
| 2021 | $38,040 | — | — | — | $38,040 | $— | $943 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -50.0% | -50.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -40.0% | -40.0% | ~100% | 1.5900% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.9300% | Verified |
| 2022 | +566.7% ! | +566.7% | ~100% | 2.2100% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.4800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +300.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -50.0% | +125.0% | +69.7% | +300.0% | 2025 | -50.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.5800% | 1.5800% | — | 1.5800% | 2025 | 1.5800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$2,404 | $1,673 | ~$3,788 | $2,404 | 2025 | $943 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$215,187 | ~$167,376 | ~2.0439% | ~$3,421 | +41.4% |
| 2027 | ~$304,320 | ~$184,114 | ~1.9570% | ~$3,603 | +100.0% |
| 2028 | ~$430,373 | ~$202,525 | ~1.8702% | ~$3,788 | +182.8% |
| 2029 | ~$608,640 | ~$222,777 | ~1.7833% | ~$3,973 | +300.0% |
| 2030 | ~$860,747 | ~$245,055 | ~1.6964% | ~$4,157 | +465.7% |
| 2026 | ~$212,144 | ~$167,376 | ~2.1307% | ~$3,566 | +39.4% |
| 2027 | ~$295,773 | ~$184,114 | ~2.1307% | ~$3,923 | +94.4% |
| 2028 | ~$412,371 | ~$202,525 | ~2.1307% | ~$4,315 | +171.0% |
| 2029 | ~$574,934 | ~$222,777 | ~2.1307% | ~$4,747 | +277.8% |
| 2030 | ~$801,580 | ~$245,055 | ~2.1307% | ~$5,221 | +426.8% |
| 2026 | ~$218,230 | ~$167,376 | ~2.0004% | ~$3,348 | +43.4% |
| 2027 | ~$312,988 | ~$184,114 | ~1.8702% | ~$3,443 | +105.7% |
| 2028 | ~$448,892 | ~$202,525 | ~1.7399% | ~$3,524 | +195.0% |
| 2029 | ~$643,807 | ~$222,777 | ~1.6096% | ~$3,586 | +323.1% |
| 2030 | ~$923,357 | ~$245,055 | ~1.4793% | ~$3,625 | +506.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $152,160 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — +79% above the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $152,160 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $38,040 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.