3500 LOHMANS FORD RD 19 TX 78645
| Owner | WALTER DAVID E JR |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0162780318 |
| Short ID | 475302 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 39,600 SF |
| Acres | 0.909 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 2191 SUR 173 C E P I & M CO ACR .783 |
| Neighborhood | S04WF |
| Land | $356,400 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $356,400 |
| Improvement | $15,107 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $15,107 |
| Market | $371,507 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $371,507 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$82,596 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $288,911 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$57,782 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $231,129 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +284.9% from $96,525 (2021) to $371,507 (2025), a CAGR of 40.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7107% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $3,954. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 35.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($288,911) is $82,596 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 96% of market value ($356,400 land vs $15,107 improvements), about $9/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $371,507, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +40.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $2,002,747 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $7,027. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
1 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 571 | STORAGE DET | 600 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 209% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $926.69 | $926.69 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $868.69 | $868.69 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $288.91 | $288.91 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $288.82 | $288.82 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $272.79 | $272.79 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8712% | 1.7799% | 1.6087% | 1.6603% | 1.7107% | +0.0504% | $2,645.90 | $2,645.90 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $371,350 | $371,507 | -0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $317,802 | $288,911 | +10.0% |
| Land Value | $356,400 | $356,400 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $14,950 | $15,107 | -1.0% |
| Taxable Value | $254,242 | $231,129 | +10.0% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$53,548 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$4,349
Estimated
|
~$2,646
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $371,350 | $371,350 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $254,242 | $254,242 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $371,350 | $356,400 | $14,950 | −$53,548 | $317,802 | $254,242 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $371,507 | $356,400 | $15,107 | −$82,596 | $288,911 | $231,129 | ~$2,646 | Partial |
| 2024 | $238,769 | — | — | — | $356,400 ! | $— | $2,572 | Verified |
| 2023 | $298,169 | — | — | −$100,169 | $198,000 | $— | $2,142 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $257,400 | $— | $3,878 | Verified |
| 2021 | $96,525 | — | — | — | $96,525 | $— | $1,806 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.0% | +10.0% | 85.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -1.3% | +10.0% | 77.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +57.6% | +10.0% | 69.8% | 0.6800% | Verified |
| 2023 | -19.9% | -19.9% | ~100% | 0.9000% | Verified |
| 2022 | +208.9% ! | +208.9% | ~100% | 1.3000% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 1.8700% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +284.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +-0.0% | +61.2% | +40.1% | +208.9% | 2023 | -19.9% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 85.6% | 95.8% | — | 149.3% | 2024 | 66.4% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.7100% | 0.7100% | — | 0.7100% | 2025 | 0.7100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$2,646 | $2,291 | ~$6,142 | $2,646 | 2025 | $1,806 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$520,354 | ~$317,802 | ~1.6706% | ~$5,309 | +40.1% |
| 2027 | ~$728,837 | ~$349,582 | ~1.6305% | ~$5,700 | +96.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,020,851 | ~$384,541 | ~1.5904% | ~$6,116 | +174.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,429,862 | ~$422,995 | ~1.5503% | ~$6,558 | +284.9% |
| 2030 | ~$2,002,747 | ~$465,294 | ~1.5102% | ~$7,027 | +439.1% |
| 2026 | ~$512,924 | ~$317,802 | ~1.7107% | ~$5,437 | +38.1% |
| 2027 | ~$708,172 | ~$349,582 | ~1.7107% | ~$5,980 | +90.6% |
| 2028 | ~$977,742 | ~$384,541 | ~1.7107% | ~$6,578 | +163.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,349,927 | ~$422,995 | ~1.7107% | ~$7,236 | +263.4% |
| 2030 | ~$1,863,786 | ~$465,294 | ~1.7107% | ~$7,960 | +401.7% |
| 2026 | ~$527,784 | ~$317,802 | ~1.6506% | ~$5,246 | +42.1% |
| 2027 | ~$749,800 | ~$349,582 | ~1.5904% | ~$5,560 | +101.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,065,209 | ~$384,541 | ~1.5302% | ~$5,884 | +186.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,513,296 | ~$422,995 | ~1.4701% | ~$6,218 | +307.3% |
| 2030 | ~$2,149,875 | ~$465,294 | ~1.4099% | ~$6,560 | +478.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $371,507 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $371,507 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $238,769 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $298,169 | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $96,525 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.