14733 ARROWHEAD DR TX 78641
| Owner | SANDERS WADE |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0164480212 |
| Short ID | 165209 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | — |
| Acres | — |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 60 BLK 1 ARROWHEAD POINT SUBD NO 1 ABS 709 SUR 700 STEWART J N ACR .618 |
| Neighborhood | T9010WF |
| Land | $800,507 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $800,507 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $800,507 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $800,507 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$70,931 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $729,576 |
| Taxable Value | $729,576 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +128.9% from $349,646 (2021) to $800,507 (2025), a CAGR of 23.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7842% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $13,017. Leander ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($729,576) is $70,931 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($800,507 land vs $0 improvements). With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $800,507, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +23.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $2,254,425 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $33,831. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.3370% | 1.2746% | 1.1087% | 1.0869% | 1.0869% | +0.0000% | $7,929.76 | $7,929.76 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,742.07 | $2,742.07 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $861.07 | $861.07 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $754.38 | $754.38 | Paid |
| E14 Travis County ESD # 14 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $729.58 | $729.58 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0110% | 1.8902% | 1.7126% | 1.7406% | 1.7842% | +0.0436% | $13,016.86 | $13,016.86 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $720,456 | $800,507 | -10.0% |
| Assessed Value | $720,456 | $729,576 | -1.3% |
| Land Value | $720,456 | $800,507 | -10.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $720,456 | $729,576 | -1.3% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$12,854
Estimated
|
~$13,017
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $720,456 | $720,456 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $720,456 | $720,456 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $720,456 | $720,456 | — | — | $720,456 | $720,456 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $800,507 | $800,507 | — | −$70,931 | $729,576 | $729,576 | ~$13,017 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $800,507 | $— | $10,583 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $506,650 | $— | $8,677 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $303,990 | $— | $5,746 | Verified |
| 2021 | $349,646 | — | — | −$45,656 | $303,990 | $— | $6,113 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -10.0% | -1.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 91.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +58.0% | +20.0% | 76.0% | 1.3200% | Verified |
| 2023 | +66.7% | +66.7% | ~100% | 1.7100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.8900% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 1.7500% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +163.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -10.0% | +59.5% | +25.7% | +128.9% | 2025 | -10.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 92.7% | — | 100.0% | 2026 | 86.9% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6300% | 1.6300% | — | 1.6300% | 2025 | 1.6300% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$13,017 | $9,565 | ~$24,734 | $13,017 | 2025 | $6,113 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$984,689 | ~$984,689 | ~1.7275% | ~$17,010 | +23.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,211,249 | ~$1,211,249 | ~1.6708% | ~$20,237 | +51.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,489,936 | ~$1,489,936 | ~1.6141% | ~$24,048 | +86.1% |
| 2029 | ~$1,832,744 | ~$1,832,744 | ~1.5574% | ~$28,542 | +128.9% |
| 2030 | ~$2,254,425 | ~$2,254,425 | ~1.5007% | ~$33,831 | +181.6% |
| 2026 | ~$968,679 | ~$968,679 | ~1.7842% | ~$17,283 | +21.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,172,182 | ~$1,172,182 | ~1.7842% | ~$20,914 | +46.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,418,436 | ~$1,418,436 | ~1.7842% | ~$25,307 | +77.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,716,424 | ~$1,716,424 | ~1.7842% | ~$30,624 | +114.4% |
| 2030 | ~$2,077,015 | ~$2,077,015 | ~1.7842% | ~$37,057 | +159.5% |
| 2026 | ~$1,000,700 | ~$1,000,700 | ~1.6991% | ~$17,003 | +25.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,250,957 | ~$1,250,957 | ~1.6141% | ~$20,191 | +56.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,563,799 | ~$1,563,799 | ~1.5290% | ~$23,911 | +95.4% |
| 2029 | ~$1,954,877 | ~$1,954,877 | ~1.4440% | ~$28,227 | +144.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,443,757 | ~$2,443,757 | ~1.3589% | ~$33,208 | +205.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $800,507 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 9× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $800,507 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $349,646 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.