LOHMANS FORD RD TX 78645
| Owner | MONTECHINO VENTURES GROUP LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0164760309 |
| Short ID | 849319 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 348,667 SF |
| Acres | 8.004 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | 8.0043AC OF LOT 3 MARSHALLS HARBOR |
| Neighborhood | S09AC |
| Land | $388,191 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $388,191 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $310,553 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $310,553 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$33,934 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $276,619 |
| Taxable Value | $276,619 |
|---|
| Total Due | $6,778.12 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | — |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1237.9% from $23,212 (2021) to $310,553 (2025), a CAGR of 91.3% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.1307% in 2025 (+0.0473% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $5,894. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 47.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($276,619) is $33,934 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 125% of market value ($388,191 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $310,553, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +91.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $7,946,295 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $134,803. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $6,778.12 in unpaid taxes . These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +87 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +28 |
| Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +25 |
| City of Lago Vista | 0.4231% | 0.4200% | -9 |
| Lago Vista ISD | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0 |
| Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0 |
Market value changed by 234% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $2,812.94 | $— | $2,812.94 |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.6070% | 0.4283% | 0.4139% | 0.4231% | 0.4200% | -0.0031% | $1,161.80 | $— | $1,161.80 |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,039.66 | $— | $1,039.66 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $326.47 | $— | $326.47 |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $276.62 | $— | $276.62 |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $276.53 | $— | $276.53 |
| Combined Rate | 2.4782% | 2.2082% | 2.0226% | 2.0834% | 2.1307% | +0.0473% | $5,894.02 | $0.00 | $5,894.02 |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $310,553 | $310,553 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $310,553 | $276,619 | +12.3% |
| Land Value | $388,191 | $388,191 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $310,553 | $276,619 | +12.3% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$6,617
Estimated
|
$5,894 | ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $310,553 | $310,553 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $310,553 | $310,553 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $310,553 | $388,191 | — | — | $310,553 | $310,553 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $310,553 | $388,191 | — | −$33,934 | $276,619 | $276,619 | $5,894 | Verified |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $388,191 | $— | $6,003 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $240,120 | $— | $4,857 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $240,120 | $— | $5,302 | Verified |
| 2021 | $23,212 | — | — | — | $116,062 ! | $— | $2,363 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +12.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -20.0% | -4.0% | 89.1% | 1.9000% | Verified |
| 2024 | +61.7% | +20.0% | 74.2% | 1.5500% | Verified |
| 2023 | -38.1% | -38.1% | ~100% | 2.0200% | Verified |
| 2022 | +234.5% ! | +234.5% | ~100% | 1.3700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 10.1800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +167.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +619.0% | +91.3% | +1237.9% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 229.7% | — | 500.0% | 2021 | 89.1% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.9000% | 1.9000% | — | 1.9000% | 2025 | 1.9000% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $5,894 | $4,129 | ~$56,779 | $5,894 | 2025 | $2,363 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$593,939 | ~$593,939 | ~2.0439% | ~$12,139 | +91.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,135,919 | ~$1,135,919 | ~1.9570% | ~$22,230 | +265.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,172,467 | ~$2,172,467 | ~1.8702% | ~$40,628 | +599.5% |
| 2029 | ~$4,154,884 | ~$4,154,884 | ~1.7833% | ~$74,094 | +1237.9% |
| 2030 | ~$7,946,295 | ~$7,946,295 | ~1.6964% | ~$134,803 | +2458.8% |
| 2026 | ~$587,727 | ~$587,727 | ~2.1307% | ~$12,523 | +89.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,112,286 | ~$1,112,286 | ~2.1307% | ~$23,700 | +258.2% |
| 2028 | ~$2,105,022 | ~$2,105,022 | ~2.1307% | ~$44,852 | +577.8% |
| 2029 | ~$3,983,794 | ~$3,983,794 | ~2.1307% | ~$84,884 | +1182.8% |
| 2030 | ~$7,539,406 | ~$7,539,406 | ~2.1307% | ~$160,645 | +2327.7% |
| 2026 | ~$600,150 | ~$600,150 | ~2.0004% | ~$12,006 | +93.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,159,801 | ~$1,159,801 | ~1.8702% | ~$21,690 | +273.5% |
| 2028 | ~$2,241,337 | ~$2,241,337 | ~1.7399% | ~$38,996 | +621.7% |
| 2029 | ~$4,331,427 | ~$4,331,427 | ~1.6096% | ~$69,717 | +1294.7% |
| 2030 | ~$8,370,565 | ~$8,370,565 | ~1.4793% | ~$123,824 | +2595.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $310,553 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $310,553 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $23,212 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.