AUSTIN BLVD TX 78645
| Owner | SHORELINE RANCH TEXAS LP |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0166760102 |
| Short ID | 498185 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 541,015 SF |
| Acres | 12.420 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT A MARSHALLS HARBOR |
| Neighborhood | S09AC |
| Land | $574,922 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $574,922 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $574,922 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $574,922 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$367,951 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $206,971 |
| Taxable Value | $206,971 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +219.2% from $180,090 (2021) to $574,922 (2025), a CAGR of 33.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.1307% in 2025 (+0.0473% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $4,410. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 47.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($206,971) is $367,951 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($574,922 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $574,922, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +33.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $2,453,342 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $41,619. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 219% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $2,104.69 | $2,104.69 | Paid |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.6070% | 0.4283% | 0.4139% | 0.4231% | 0.4200% | -0.0031% | $869.28 | $869.28 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $777.89 | $777.89 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $244.27 | $244.27 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $206.97 | $206.97 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $206.90 | $206.90 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4782% | 2.2082% | 2.0226% | 2.0834% | 2.1307% | +0.0473% | $4,410.00 | $4,410.00 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $574,922 | $574,922 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $248,365 | $206,971 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $574,922 | $574,922 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $248,365 | $206,971 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$326,557 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$5,292
Estimated
|
~$4,410
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $574,922 | $574,922 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $248,365 | $248,365 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $574,922 | $574,922 | — | −$326,557 | $248,365 | $248,365 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $574,922 | $574,922 | — | −$367,951 | $206,971 | $206,971 | ~$4,410 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $574,922 | $— | $3,593 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $574,922 | $— | $2,907 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $574,922 | $— | $3,605 | Verified |
| 2021 | $180,090 | — | — | — | $180,090 | $— | $4,463 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 43.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 36.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | -70.0% | 30.0% | 0.6300% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 0.5100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +219.2% ! | +219.2% | ~100% | 0.6300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.4800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +219.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +109.6% | +33.7% | +219.2% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 43.2% | 59.7% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 36.0% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.7700% | 0.7700% | — | 0.7700% | 2025 | 0.7700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$4,410 | $4,436 | ~$27,168 | $4,463 | 2021 | $4,410 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$768,491 | ~$768,491 | ~2.0439% | ~$15,707 | +33.7% |
| 2027 | ~$1,027,232 | ~$1,027,232 | ~1.9570% | ~$20,103 | +78.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,373,088 | ~$1,373,088 | ~1.8702% | ~$25,679 | +138.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,835,390 | ~$1,835,390 | ~1.7833% | ~$32,730 | +219.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,453,342 | ~$2,453,342 | ~1.6964% | ~$41,619 | +326.7% |
| 2026 | ~$756,993 | ~$756,993 | ~2.1307% | ~$16,130 | +31.7% |
| 2027 | ~$996,722 | ~$996,722 | ~2.1307% | ~$21,238 | +73.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,312,372 | ~$1,312,372 | ~2.1307% | ~$27,963 | +128.3% |
| 2029 | ~$1,727,983 | ~$1,727,983 | ~2.1307% | ~$36,819 | +200.6% |
| 2030 | ~$2,275,214 | ~$2,275,214 | ~2.1307% | ~$48,479 | +295.7% |
| 2026 | ~$779,989 | ~$779,989 | ~2.0004% | ~$15,603 | +35.7% |
| 2027 | ~$1,058,202 | ~$1,058,202 | ~1.8702% | ~$19,790 | +84.1% |
| 2028 | ~$1,435,649 | ~$1,435,649 | ~1.7399% | ~$24,978 | +149.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,947,727 | ~$1,947,727 | ~1.6096% | ~$31,350 | +238.8% |
| 2030 | ~$2,642,456 | ~$2,642,456 | ~1.4793% | ~$39,089 | +359.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $574,922 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 7× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $574,922 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $180,090 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.